inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 91 Excitement7.3 [353] MVPMehmet Okur (DET): +6.0%
Sacramento Kings 97 Comeback2.3 [671] LVPChauncey Billups (DET): -18.9%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mehmet Okur0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.030.01-0.01684%0.153-0.09786%0.02
Tremaine Fowlkes0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.000.010.00250%0.0200.0000%0.00
Darko Milicic0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Bob Sura-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Lindsey Hunter-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.0000%-0.0300.0020%-0.03
Zeljko Rebraca-0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.01217%-0.031-0.02250%-0.01
Elden Campbell-0.060,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.020.011142%-0.0600.00475%0.03
Corliss Williamson-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.08-0.01-0.011448%0.054-0.14333%-0.02
Tayshaun Prince-0.100,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1-0.07-0.05-0.021242%-0.013-0.0900%0.00
Richard Hamilton-0.110,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.11-0.08-0.030.001546%-0.002-0.111191%0.05
Chauncey Billups-0.190,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19-0.07-0.110.011547%-0.063-0.126100%0.03

Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brad Miller0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.050.05-0.070.10-0.02948%0.153-0.09367%0.01
Vlade Divac0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.040.04-0.020.05-0.01859%0.092-0.05683%0.06
Gerald Wallace0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.000.00167%0.0100.0010%-0.01
Tony Massenburg0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.01-0.00744%-0.0200.00250%-0.01
Doug Christie0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.01-0.030.011158%0.032-0.05250%-0.01
Darius Songaila0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.010.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Bobby Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.01-0.040.02973%0.114-0.15450%-0.02
Peja Stojakovic0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.08-0.01-0.031735%-0.011-0.0400%0.00
Mike Bibby0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.05-0.050.02-0.050.021562%0.013-0.06786%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.51.635.416.624.32.830.2135.3
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAC +34.3%
SAC +6.6%
SAC +2.8%
SAC +13.3%
DET -7.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETSACNBADETSACNBA
this game14.614.615.792.998.0100.5
season16.214.799.2106.9
opponent15.616.0102.092.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET16.514.314.713.014.6
SAC12.914.515.315.814.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Darko Milicic980.16-0.660.81-0.057-132012.214.9-2.6415.114.60.55
Tremaine Fowlkes22230.15-0.650.790.034-101412.315.3-2.9713.714.9-1.20
Lindsey Hunter25260.04-0.540.58-0.022-81016.214.12.0615.214.40.73
Bob Sura88-0.01-0.490.470.05-2-4218.214.33.9512.614.8-2.17
Zeljko Rebraca1718-0.09-0.410.32-0.00-3-3016.914.12.8114.214.7-0.48
Elden Campbell4344-0.18-0.320.14-0.00-60-614.914.40.5114.814.40.40
Corliss Williamson5858-0.38-0.12-0.27-0.27-4-2-214.115.4-1.3115.213.71.51
Richard Hamilton8585-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.35-2-4213.919.3-5.4014.713.90.88
Mehmet Okur5859-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.29-4-2-215.213.71.4714.414.9-0.43
Tayshaun Prince8181-0.650.15-0.81-0.39-93-1215.013.01.9614.614.60.07
Chauncey Billups8485-0.700.20-0.90-0.32-137-2014.415.9-1.4414.416.1-1.78

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Vlade Divac61600.73-0.230.970.3214-82214.814.40.4014.614.7-0.10
Doug Christie81810.61-0.110.710.2811-51614.913.41.5014.116.9-2.73
Mike Bibby82810.55-0.050.610.299-31214.415.6-1.1714.515.3-0.81
Peja Stojakovic76770.55-0.050.610.4151414.315.6-1.2414.714.50.19
Brad Miller64660.300.200.110.3006-614.514.8-0.2815.213.51.67
Gerald Wallace15140.150.35-0.20-0.0360614.914.60.3716.114.41.77
Tony Massenburg62570.030.47-0.45-0.0324-214.914.20.7215.014.00.99
Darius Songaila1010-0.050.55-0.600.07-410-1413.914.7-0.8011.615.0-3.37
Bobby Jackson4444-0.380.88-1.260.00-1319-3214.614.6-0.0514.614.6-0.06


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.78,0.76,0.76,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.92,0.89,0.82,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.71,0.68,0.59,0.65,0.47,0.38,0.54,0.85,0.95,1
GameSimilarity Score
IND 88, ORL 920.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.66,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.71,0.85,0.85,192.5%
POR 100, PHI 1010.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.8,0.78,0.71,0.77,0.85,0.84,0.91,0.86,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.47,0.69,0.66,0.46,0.31,0.36,0.68,0.98,192.4%
CLE 100, PHX 1070.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.75,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.82,0.72,0.85,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.66,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.77,0.98,192.3%