NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	100		Excitement	8.1 [234]		MVP	Jrue Holiday (PHI): +30.0%
Philadelphia 76ers	101		Comeback	3.3 [376]		LVP	LaMarcus Aldridge (POR): -35.2%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damian Lillard	0.15	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.15	0.08	0.08	0.01	20	63%	0.30	4	-0.15	3	67%	-0.03
Luke Babbitt	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.22,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.07	0.00	4	75%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Meyers Leonard	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	3	75%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
JJ Hickson	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Freeland	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	60%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Will Barton	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Maynor	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	4	40%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Nicolas Batum	-0.07	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.07	-0.02	9	50%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	12	25%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	-0.35	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.35	0.02	-0.38	-0.01	28	52%	-0.24	4	-0.11	5	100%	0.02

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jrue Holiday	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.3	0.30	0.12	0.18	0.00	21	61%	0.33	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.03
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.04	-0.02	14	64%	0.19	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Arnett Moultrie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Lavoy Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dorell Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	0.00	14	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Charles Jenkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	0.02	8	75%	0.12	4	-0.17	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,-0.08	-0.08	0.02	-0.10	0.00	15	58%	0.16	3	-0.24	3	33%	-0.02
Evan Turner	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	8	12%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	2.4	28.5	16.4	20.6	2.7	32.5	124.5
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +58.4%

PHI +1.8%

PHI +9.0%

POR -24.5%

PHI +5.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	PHI	NBA	POR	PHI	NBA
this game	15.9	14.2	15.4	104.2	106.3	104.1
season	15.8	15.5		104.3	100.5
opponent	15.7	15.3		104.2	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	17.1	15.3	17.1	14.4	15.9
PHI	12.9	12.4	16.4	15.6	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Meyers Leonard	36	33	0.09	-0.59	0.67	0.03	2	-3	5	14.6	16.7	-2.11	14.2	14.2	-0.01
Eric Maynor	33	32	0.07	-0.57	0.63	0.10	-1	0	-1	16.1	15.9	0.20	15.3	13.7	1.69
Joel Freeland	21	21	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.10	3	-4	7	17.6	15.5	2.10	16.8	13.5	3.32
Will Barton	14	12	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.01	-6	5	-11	13.7	16.3	-2.59	10.9	14.7	-3.78
Luke Babbitt	24	24	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.42	7	-8	15	14.4	16.4	-2.01	15.6	13.8	1.82
JJ Hickson	34	35	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.04	-10	9	-19	16.7	15.5	1.16	12.0	15.5	-3.56
Wesley Matthews	78	80	-0.47	-0.04	-0.43	-0.47	0	-1	1	16.3	14.2	2.17	14.5	12.8	1.69
Damian Lillard	85	84	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.53	2	-3	5	15.7	17.4	-1.62	14.1	15.1	-0.98
Nicolas Batum	78	77	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.52	0	-1	1	16.1	15.3	0.73	14.1	14.7	-0.55
LaMarcus Aldridge	77	77	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.50	-2	1	-3	16.2	14.7	1.55	14.1	14.7	-0.55

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Spencer Hawes	78	77	0.86	-0.36	1.23	0.63	8	-7	15	14.2	14.1	0.13	16.8	12.3	4.50
Damien Wilkins	69	70	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.53	0	1	-1	14.6	13.1	1.52	16.2	15.1	1.17
Jrue Holiday	81	81	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.50	-2	3	-5	13.9	16.0	-2.09	16.5	12.8	3.71
Dorell Wright	67	69	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.47	-1	2	-3	14.7	13.1	1.58	15.6	16.8	-1.18
Thaddeus Young	80	79	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.56	-7	8	-15	14.5	12.5	2.00	15.9	16.1	-0.16
Arnett Moultrie	18	20	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.05	8	-7	15	11.8	14.8	-2.95	15.1	16.1	-1.04
Charles Jenkins	24	26	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.28	7	-6	13	13.5	14.5	-0.96	12.8	17.1	-4.23
Lavoy Allen	8	9	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.02	-4	5	-9	17.0	14.0	3.03	14.3	16.1	-1.76
Evan Turner	50	49	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	-0.03	-4	5	-9	13.7	14.8	-1.02	15.9	16.0	-0.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.8,0.78,0.71,0.77,0.85,0.84,0.91,0.86,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.47,0.69,0.66,0.46,0.31,0.36,0.68,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 91, SAC 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.78,0.76,0.76,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.92,0.89,0.82,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.71,0.68,0.59,0.65,0.47,0.38,0.54,0.85,0.95,1	92.4%
MIL 90, ORL 94	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.71,0.65,0.73,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.65,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.72,0.81,0.86,0.94,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.71,0.71,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.37,0.67,0.95,1	92.0%
CLE 100, PHX 107	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.75,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.82,0.72,0.85,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.66,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.77,0.98,1	90.6%