NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	100		Excitement	7.0 [407]		MVP	Markieff Morris (PHX): +28.6%
Phoenix Suns	107		Comeback	1.4 [773]		LVP	Kyrie Irving (CLE): -34.9%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
J.R. Smith	0.18	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.24	0.01	0.07	19	74%	0.18	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
LeBron James	0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.28,0.19,0.13,0.16	0.10	0.08	0.02	18	67%	0.30	5	-0.14	13	62%	-0.03
Tristan Thompson	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.04	0.00	5	100%	0.18	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.05	-0.01	7	37%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Love	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	11	37%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
James Jones	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	3	33%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Timofey Mozgov	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	3	25%	-0.02	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Kyrie Irving	-0.35	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.14,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.21,-0.35,-0.35	-0.23	-0.14	-0.02	14	32%	-0.12	8	-0.23	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.22,0.28,0.33,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.29	0.29	0.22	0.08	0.01	21	76%	0.33	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Alex Len	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.07	-0.00	8	65%	0.19	1	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Brandan Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	2	83%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	8	55%	0.06	1	-0.03	6	83%	-0.01
Marcus Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	9	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
PJ Tucker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	6	62%	0.05	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Miles Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	5	38%	0.00	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0.00	15	56%	0.02	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	1.8	32.4	15.4	28.5	1.6	39.3	142.9
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +34.3%

PHX +3.7%

CLE -11.8%

PHX +23.3%

PHX +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	PHX	NBA	CLE	PHX	NBA
this game	16.7	15.0	15.1	111.1	116.3	104.2
season	15.9	14.4		108.7	103.7
opponent	15.0	14.9		104.9	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	17.4	15.3	16.9	17.3	16.7
PHX	13.3	14.7	15.9	16.2	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Marion	41	41	0.22	-0.72	0.94	0.10	4	-11	15	17.0	16.4	0.60	14.8	15.1	-0.29
Matthew Dellavedova	10	9	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.00	3	-10	13	15.8	16.8	-1.01	14.1	15.1	-0.95
Mike Miller	17	17	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-5	3	13.6	17.4	-3.76	15.0	15.0	0.04
James Jones	21	21	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.38	5	-12	17	16.4	16.8	-0.42	14.7	15.0	-0.33
Timofey Mozgov	29	31	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.01	-8	1	-9	17.1	16.5	0.65	16.5	14.2	2.34
LeBron James	70	72	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.37	4	-11	15	16.1	18.8	-2.76	14.8	15.7	-0.94
Tristan Thompson	61	60	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.29	-4	-3	-1	16.8	16.5	0.27	14.8	15.3	-0.53
Kevin Love	51	51	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.09	-20	13	-33	17.0	16.4	0.60	14.9	15.0	-0.06
Kyrie Irving	81	85	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.31	-7	0	-7	16.9	14.8	2.14	14.9	15.3	-0.34
J.R. Smith	69	73	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.31	-10	3	-13	17.4	14.4	3.02	15.0	14.9	0.03

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Markieff Morris	73	71	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.21	21	-14	35	15.0	15.0	-0.04	17.2	14.8	2.36
Eric Bledsoe	70	69	0.78	-0.28	1.07	0.26	18	-11	29	15.3	13.9	1.45	17.4	14.4	2.96
Alex Len	71	69	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.15	19	-12	31	15.1	14.6	0.45	17.2	15.0	2.28
PJ Tucker	61	58	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.26	6	1	5	15.1	14.7	0.44	16.9	16.3	0.55
Goran Dragic	66	62	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.27	1	6	-5	15.2	14.5	0.65	16.2	17.9	-1.73
Marcus Morris	38	40	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	7	-7	14.3	15.4	-1.07	16.0	17.3	-1.26
Miles Plumlee	4	5	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.13	-7	14	-21	18.7	14.8	3.95	16.4	16.7	-0.32
Isaiah Thomas	36	35	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.02	-5	12	-17	13.9	15.6	-1.73	16.7	16.7	0.02
Gerald Green	16	16	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.04	-7	14	-21	12.9	15.4	-2.53	14.1	17.3	-3.21
Brandan Wright	25	25	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.13	-11	18	-29	16.1	14.6	1.53	15.6	17.1	-1.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.75,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.82,0.72,0.85,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.66,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.77,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 86, CLE 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.57,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.79,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.83,0.81,0.91,0.9,0.87,0.96,0.92,0.87,0.81,0.82,0.7,0.63,0.58,0.53,0.66,0.53,0.62,0.83,0.91,0.97,1	92.4%
DET 91, SAC 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.78,0.76,0.76,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.92,0.89,0.82,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.71,0.68,0.59,0.65,0.47,0.38,0.54,0.85,0.95,1	92.3%
WAS 84, CLE 94	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.81,0.93,0.93,0.89,0.9,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.87,0.66,0.58,0.42,0.59,0.54,0.52,0.61,0.79,0.95,0.99,1	92.2%