NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	103		Excitement	8.4 [179]		MVP	Voshon Lenard (DEN): +31.5%
Denver Nuggets	113		Comeback	3.3 [600]		LVP	Nene (DEN): -15.0%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Finley	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.26	0.08	0.17	-0.01	15	62%	0.28	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Travis Best	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.02	-0.04	5	67%	0.08	1	-0.02	8	75%	0.03
Tony Delk	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02	-0.03	0.04	0.03	30	47%	0.03	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Josh Howard	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.04,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	7	56%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.06
Shawn Bradley	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	13	45%	-0.09	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.07
Eduardo Najera	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.12	-0.05	-0.04	11	45%	0.12	6	-0.25	0	0%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Voshon Lenard	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.23,0.23,0.39,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.32	0.10	0.21	0.00	14	65%	0.32	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Francisco Elson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.01	0.07	-0.01	6	71%	0.16	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.09,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.05	0.01	16	68%	0.21	5	-0.15	6	100%	0.02
Rodney White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	62%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.04
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	8	75%	0.08	5	-0.11	8	100%	0.04
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	5	70%	0.04	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.06	-0.00	5	55%	-0.03	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	-0.00	6	0%	-0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nene	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.04	-0.10	0.01	7	68%	0.00	4	-0.15	8	62%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.4	32.1	15.8	25.1	2.6	37.5	138.9
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +41.6%

DEN +5.2%

DEN +23.1%

DAL -21.8%

DEN +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	DEN	NBA	DAL	DEN	NBA
this game	14.5	13.9	15.7	102.0	110.8	100.5
season	14.6	14.9		109.2	101.6
opponent	15.4	15.6		101.1	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.6	13.4	16.3	13.8	14.5
DEN	12.6	12.3	15.6	15.5	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Best	37	36	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.15	-1	-9	8	14.3	14.6	-0.25	12.5	14.7	-2.19
Marquis Daniels	17	17	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.03	2	-12	14	13.0	14.8	-1.79	13.5	14.0	-0.44
Shawn Bradley	34	35	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.16	4	-14	18	15.2	14.1	1.13	15.9	12.8	3.12
Eduardo Najera	24	25	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.09	0	-10	10	15.4	14.2	1.22	13.7	13.9	-0.23
Antawn Jamison	78	78	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.17	-12	2	-14	14.2	15.5	-1.29	13.5	15.1	-1.61
Tony Delk	34	32	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.04	-11	1	-12	15.8	13.8	1.93	12.5	14.5	-1.98
Michael Finley	75	78	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.25	-1	-9	8	13.8	16.6	-2.82	13.6	15.0	-1.45
Josh Howard	47	47	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.22	-6	-4	-2	15.6	13.5	2.16	15.3	12.7	2.65
Steve Nash	74	77	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.24	-10	0	-10	13.9	16.0	-2.07	13.9	13.8	0.12
Antoine Walker	85	85	-0.84	0.34	-1.18	-0.40	-15	5	-20	14.5	14.2	0.28	14.1	12.7	1.42

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Camby	69	70	0.84	-0.34	1.17	0.25	20	-10	30	14.1	13.5	0.51	14.3	15.0	-0.74
Voshon Lenard	69	70	0.84	-0.34	1.17	0.25	20	-10	30	14.1	13.5	0.51	14.3	15.0	-0.74
Carmelo Anthony	86	85	0.81	-0.31	1.11	0.19	21	-11	32	14.1	12.7	1.43	14.4	14.9	-0.46
Andre Miller	70	69	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.30	15	-5	20	13.9	13.8	0.07	13.9	15.8	-1.94
Nene	73	71	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.30	2	8	-6	14.1	13.3	0.81	13.8	16.0	-2.20
Chris Andersen	20	18	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.06	1	9	-8	13.0	14.1	-1.05	14.8	14.4	0.42
Earl Boykins	34	34	-0.24	0.74	-0.97	-0.21	-1	11	-12	13.2	14.2	-1.07	15.6	13.9	1.66
Rodney White	15	15	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	0.01	-9	19	-28	13.5	14.0	-0.42	15.5	14.3	1.15
Francisco Elson	40	41	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	-0.07	-7	17	-24	14.2	13.7	0.47	16.0	13.5	2.51
Jon Barry	34	32	-0.39	0.89	-1.28	-0.04	-12	22	-34	13.1	14.3	-1.12	14.7	14.4	0.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.65,0.63,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.72,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.8,0.86,0.89,0.84,0.68,0.62,0.7,0.62,0.76,0.58,0.41,0.29,0.47,0.32,0.55,0.77,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 91, SAC 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.78,0.76,0.76,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.92,0.89,0.82,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.71,0.68,0.59,0.65,0.47,0.38,0.54,0.85,0.95,1	91.7%
IND 110, DET 114	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.63,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.66,0.68,0.56,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.77,0.83,0.8,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.62,0.58,0.41,0.46,0.54,0.55,0.29,0.68,0.92,1	91.6%
IND 88, ORL 92	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.66,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.71,0.85,0.85,1	90.6%