NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	96		Excitement	9.4 [127]		MVP	Pascal Siakam (TOR): +22.4%
Toronto Raptors	101		Comeback	7.2 [178]		LVP	Joel Embiid (PHI): -59.4%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Scott	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.13	0.04	0.03	5	86%	0.14	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Al Horford	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.05	0.00	7	79%	0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Josh Richardson	0.08	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.08,0.08	0.10	-0.01	0.01	19	58%	0.10	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.10
James Ennis III	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.05	-0.00	5	50%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raul Neto	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.05	-0.00	3	50%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matisse Thybulle	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	43%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Furkan Korkmaz	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	0.00	10	45%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.07	0.02	-0.09	0.00	17	51%	0.00	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Ben Simmons	-0.42	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.42	-0.11	-0.28	0.03	8	56%	-0.01	7	-0.41	2	100%	0.01
Joel Embiid	-0.59	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.26,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.43,-0.59,-0.59	-0.29	-0.31	-0.01	11	0%	-0.36	4	-0.23	3	0%	-0.07

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.08,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.10	0.15	0.03	19	57%	0.25	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.04
Terence Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.05	0.12	-0.00	8	69%	0.20	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Fred VanVleet	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.01	0.01	15	71%	0.21	3	-0.11	4	75%	0.03
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.00	11	57%	0.04	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.03
Norman Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.03	-0.00	11	42%	0.05	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Chris Boucher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
OG Anunoby	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.07	-0.01	10	55%	0.02	2	-0.08	2	0%	-0.04
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.11	-0.12	-0.02	8	17%	-0.19	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.12

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.5	30.4	14.6	24.3	2.7	33.8	133.7
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +14.4%

TOR +21.3%

PHI -31.9%

TOR +45.6%

TOR +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	TOR	NBA	PHI	TOR	NBA
this game	15.8	14.7	14.2	101.1	107.4	109.6
season	14.8	14.0		110.0	109.9
opponent	14.5	14.1		104.2	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.7	18.1	16.0	15.6	15.8
TOR	13.5	13.8	14.6	17.1	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Furkan Korkmaz	33	33	0.37	-0.87	1.25	0.14	8	-13	21	12.6	17.5	-4.85	16.2	13.8	2.38
Mike Scott	40	38	0.28	-0.78	1.07	0.14	5	-10	15	15.0	16.4	-1.34	15.7	14.0	1.75
Raul Neto	13	12	0.16	-0.66	0.82	0.07	3	-8	11	19.3	15.2	4.06	16.8	14.4	2.48
James Ennis III	29	27	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.05	2	-7	9	13.6	16.8	-3.19	13.8	15.0	-1.20
Matisse Thybulle	5	6	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	-2	-1	29.0	15.1	13.93	12.0	14.9	-2.85
Josh Richardson	71	73	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.46	-5	0	-5	16.4	14.1	2.24	14.4	15.6	-1.22
Tobias Harris	75	73	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.33	-10	5	-15	16.7	12.5	4.18	14.8	14.1	0.74
Al Horford	64	62	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.41	-8	3	-11	15.9	15.7	0.18	14.3	15.4	-1.16
Ben Simmons	82	82	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.43	-8	3	-11	15.2	19.3	-4.06	14.4	16.8	-2.48
Joel Embiid	63	64	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.46	-9	4	-13	16.2	15.1	1.11	14.4	15.3	-0.92

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Norman Powell	60	59	0.81	-0.31	1.13	0.52	10	-5	15	13.3	17.1	-3.83	15.5	16.4	-0.90
Pascal Siakam	79	79	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.37	12	-7	19	14.4	16.1	-1.66	15.5	17.3	-1.82
Marc Gasol	68	68	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.49	5	0	5	14.6	14.9	-0.35	16.0	15.4	0.55
Fred VanVleet	72	75	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.42	7	-2	9	14.5	15.2	-0.67	16.3	13.8	2.47
OG Anunoby	69	72	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.40	2	3	-1	14.3	15.7	-1.43	15.2	17.7	-2.56
Chris Boucher	24	24	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.02	2	3	-1	15.8	14.3	1.51	17.9	15.1	2.78
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	60	60	-0.35	0.85	-1.20	-0.23	-4	9	-13	15.5	13.2	2.34	15.5	16.3	-0.77
Terence Davis	38	38	-0.44	0.94	-1.38	-0.18	-9	14	-23	16.5	13.4	3.12	16.0	15.7	0.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.61,0.58,0.53,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.68,0.69,0.59,0.67,0.64,0.54,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.37,0.35,0.18,0.19,0.28,0.23,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 117, IND 122	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.39,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.51,0.5,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.47,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.37,0.48,0.5,0.43,0.52,0.33,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.27,0.15,0.21,0.33,0.58,1	91.3%
POR 93, MIN 94	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.36,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.37,0.37,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.38,0.21,0.17,0.58,1	91.3%
SAC 90, MEM 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.59,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.48,0.44,0.6,0.54,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.37,0.3,0.19,0.14,0.1,0.22,0.45,0.58,1	91.0%