NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	90		Excitement	8.8 [156]		MVP	Mike Conley (MEM): +22.2%
Memphis Grizzlies	91		Comeback	10.4 [195]		LVP	Rudy Gay (SAC): -47.3%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Williams	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.00	0.00	7	62%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ben McLemore	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.00	6	58%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Acy	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Thornton	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	4	62%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.03	0.07	-0.08	0.02	7	71%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gray	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jimmer Fredette	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	4	37%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Thomas	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.06,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.09	-0.04	14	45%	0.14	3	-0.23	3	67%	-0.02
DeMarcus Cousins	-0.14	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14	-0.04	-0.06	0.04	20	42%	-0.10	2	-0.04	13	77%	-0.02
Rudy Gay	-0.47	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,0,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.1,-0.47	-0.07	-0.40	-0.00	18	46%	-0.03	4	-0.44	5	100%	0.06

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.28,0.35,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.17	0.06	0.01	13	74%	0.25	1	-0.02	8	75%	-0.14
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.02	13	57%	0.12	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.06
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.06	0.00	2	50%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Nick Calathes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	4	87%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.09,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.02	14	57%	0.08	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.05
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	3	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Zach Randolph	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	12	46%	-0.01	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
James Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	10	35%	-0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	1.8	30.8	15.5	26.4	1.0	39.3	137.3
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +40.6%

SAC -7.5%

SAC -29.7%

MEM +50.3%

SAC -3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	MEM	NBA	SAC	MEM	NBA
this game	16.6	14.7	15.1	97.8	98.9	105.2
season	15.4	16.4		104.5	104.5
opponent	15.2	14.7		103.4	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	15.0	17.6	17.1	16.9	16.6
MEM	15.7	15.1	14.2	13.8	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Williams	50	52	0.41	-0.91	1.33	0.30	4	-5	9	16.7	16.5	0.20	14.5	14.8	-0.31
Ben McLemore	26	26	0.24	-0.74	0.98	0.12	4	-5	9	16.6	16.7	-0.07	13.5	15.1	-1.64
Quincy Acy	23	22	0.15	-0.65	0.81	0.01	5	-6	11	16.5	16.7	-0.14	14.0	14.9	-0.83
Aaron Gray	24	23	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.01	1	-2	3	16.3	16.7	-0.46	15.1	14.5	0.61
Jimmer Fredette	18	18	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.29	6	-7	13	16.9	16.6	0.39	13.9	14.9	-0.91
Jason Thompson	52	51	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.20	-6	5	-11	16.6	16.6	-0.03	15.2	14.0	1.17
Rudy Gay	70	69	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.48	-3	2	-5	16.6	16.7	-0.07	15.2	13.0	2.23
DeMarcus Cousins	75	76	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.51	-5	4	-9	16.7	16.4	0.27	14.5	15.7	-1.23
Isaiah Thomas	74	75	-0.77	0.27	-1.03	-0.56	-7	6	-13	16.6	16.9	-0.39	14.7	14.7	-0.04
Marcus Thornton	48	48	-0.88	0.38	-1.25	-0.76	-4	3	-7	16.7	16.5	0.25	14.8	14.5	0.25

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tayshaun Prince	50	52	0.91	-0.41	1.32	0.64	9	-8	17	14.9	14.4	0.54	16.5	16.8	-0.26
Courtney Lee	60	63	0.88	-0.38	1.26	0.59	10	-9	19	14.8	14.3	0.51	16.7	16.4	0.37
Mike Conley	72	72	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.60	7	-6	13	14.8	14.3	0.48	16.6	16.6	0.04
Marc Gasol	58	59	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.52	6	-5	11	14.9	14.3	0.60	16.7	16.5	0.18
Zach Randolph	68	68	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.19	5	-4	9	15.2	13.2	2.04	16.6	16.8	-0.27
James Johnson	43	40	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.20	-8	9	-17	14.1	15.2	-1.13	16.8	16.5	0.26
Kosta Koufos	32	31	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	-0.04	-5	6	-11	14.1	15.0	-0.89	16.3	16.8	-0.46
Ed Davis	23	24	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	-0.09	-4	5	-9	13.7	15.0	-1.30	16.8	16.6	0.27
Nick Calathes	28	27	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	-0.11	-5	6	-11	14.9	14.6	0.37	16.3	16.8	-0.53
Mike Miller	26	24	-0.43	0.93	-1.35	-0.13	-10	11	-21	13.9	15.0	-1.05	17.0	16.5	0.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.59,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.48,0.44,0.6,0.54,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.37,0.3,0.19,0.14,0.1,0.22,0.45,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 99, ORL 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.47,0.55,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.38,0.4,0.48,0.55,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.62,0.43,0.29,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.27,0.25,0.21,0.32,0.58,1	91.7%
CHI 105, MIN 112	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.36,0.46,0.44,0.33,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.61,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.48,0.58,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.41,0.35,0.27,0.2,0.22,0.31,0.73,1	90.8%
HOU 104, DAL 107	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.47,0.48,0.54,0.58,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.55,0.59,0.4,0.4,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.42,0.36,0.24,0.22,0.07,0.05,0.22,0.58,1	90.8%