NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	104		Excitement	8.4 [259]		MVP	Luka Doncic (DAL): +39.5%
Dallas Mavericks	107		Comeback	20.6 [64]		LVP	Dwight Powell (DAL): -15.5%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.17,0.17,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.06,0.15	0.12	0.06	0.03	22	69%	0.35	6	-0.20	7	100%	0.05
Clint Capela	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.04	-0.00	8	75%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Ennis III	0.06	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.04	0.02	7	62%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Chris Paul	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	20	55%	0.11	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.13
Nene	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.03	-0.01	2	67%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Danuel House Jr.	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	5	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.1	0.01	-0.11	-0.00	12	50%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
PJ Tucker	-0.11	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.05	0.01	9	28%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luka Doncic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,0.01,0.12,0.39	0.39	0.02	0.35	-0.02	17	54%	0.49	3	-0.09	5	80%	0.01
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.11	0.09	-0.00	8	78%	0.20	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jalen Brunson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.17	0.17	0.06	0.13	0.02	9	78%	0.23	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.02	0.02	13	64%	0.13	2	-0.05	7	71%	-0.03
Harrison Barnes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	13	50%	0.05	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
J.J. Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	8	56%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.01	-0.07	0.02	9	67%	0.04	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.15	-0.07	-0.09	0.00	4	25%	-0.06	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.4	24.4	15.4	27.5	1.8	32.0	129.0
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +56.8%

HOU -4.5%

DAL +16.2%

HOU -17.4%

HOU -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	DAL	NBA	HOU	DAL	NBA
this game	15.1	16.2	14.3	110.6	118.9	109.3
season	14.8	14.7		114.0	108.5
opponent	14.1	14.4		109.7	109.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.1	12.9	17.3	16.5	15.1
DAL	15.9	16.6	14.6	17.9	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nene	31	31	0.38	-0.88	1.26	0.00	13	-16	29	16.5	14.5	1.96	16.6	16.0	0.60
Gerald Green	27	26	0.19	-0.69	0.88	-0.05	8	-11	19	15.1	15.2	-0.09	15.2	16.6	-1.46
Danuel House Jr.	19	18	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.02	3	-6	9	12.3	15.9	-3.54	17.1	16.0	1.08
James Ennis III	48	48	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.08	-9	6	-15	13.9	16.4	-2.45	16.0	16.4	-0.45
Eric Gordon	63	59	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.39	3	-6	9	15.6	14.2	1.41	16.1	16.5	-0.40
PJ Tucker	75	72	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.39	-6	3	-9	15.9	12.3	3.54	16.0	17.1	-1.08
Chris Paul	75	72	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.49	-3	0	-3	14.7	17.1	-2.40	16.7	14.3	2.39
James Harden	69	65	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.39	-8	5	-13	16.1	12.5	3.62	16.4	15.8	0.59
Clint Capela	63	59	-0.88	0.38	-1.26	-0.41	-16	13	-29	14.5	16.5	-1.96	16.0	16.6	-0.60

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wesley Matthews	61	62	0.85	-0.35	1.21	0.56	10	-7	17	16.3	15.9	0.43	14.6	16.2	-1.64
Harrison Barnes	67	71	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.44	8	-5	13	16.2	16.1	0.08	15.6	13.6	2.03
Luka Doncic	57	61	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.44	8	-5	13	16.0	16.5	-0.56	15.8	13.9	1.94
DeAndre Jordan	57	61	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.44	8	-5	13	16.0	16.5	-0.56	15.8	13.9	1.94
Jalen Brunson	56	58	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.32	11	-8	19	15.8	16.8	-0.93	15.9	13.8	2.11
Devin Harris	33	33	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	-0.03	-5	8	-13	16.5	16.0	0.56	13.9	15.8	-1.94
Dwight Powell	33	33	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	-0.03	-5	8	-13	16.5	16.0	0.56	13.9	15.8	-1.94
J.J. Barea	34	34	-0.24	0.74	-0.99	-0.01	-8	11	-19	16.8	15.8	0.93	14.1	15.7	-1.65
Dorian Finney-Smith	52	57	-0.43	0.93	-1.35	-0.07	-12	15	-27	16.0	16.4	-0.45	14.9	15.5	-0.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.47,0.48,0.54,0.58,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.55,0.59,0.4,0.4,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.42,0.36,0.24,0.22,0.07,0.05,0.22,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 91, DEN 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.5,0.62,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.76,0.74,0.78,0.56,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.46,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.37,0.31,0.19,0.2,0.19,0.15,0.14,0.73,1	91.3%
ORL 118, PHX 123	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.59,0.71,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.34,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.31,0.29,0.14,0.25,0.15,0.15,0.42,1	91.2%
MIN 105, POR 113	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.57,0.64,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.56,0.44,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.41,0.47,0.29,0.19,0.36,0.23,0.58,1	91.1%