NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	117		Excitement	9.3 [106]		MVP	Kevin Martin (SAC): +58.7%
Indiana Pacers	122		Comeback	11.6 [174]		LVP	John Salmons (SAC): -15.4%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Martin	0.59	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.26,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.4,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.68,0.59	0.25	0.33	-0.01	24	75%	0.76	5	-0.17	12	100%	0.14
Bobby Jackson	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.14	0.08	0.03	-0.03	10	60%	0.14	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Francisco Garcia	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.05	0.00	7	62%	0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Brad Miller	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	9	57%	0.08	1	-0.05	5	40%	-0.04
Beno Udrih	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	6	58%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Bobby Brown	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	9	43%	0.02	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
John Salmons	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15	-0.01	-0.13	0.02	12	54%	-0.03	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Granger	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.12,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.31,0.46	0.46	0.13	0.30	-0.03	20	62%	0.63	4	-0.17	16	81%	0.08
T.J. Ford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.07	0.10	0.00	9	67%	0.28	2	-0.11	6	67%	-0.01
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.05	0.01	8	60%	0.10	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	5	80%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	4	60%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	-0.01	0.01	6	86%	0.10	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	12	46%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	9	68%	0.14	3	-0.12	1	100%	0.00
Stephen Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	6	43%	-0.00	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh McRoberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Diener	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.9	2.3	30.6	16.6	26.0	1.8	37.0	142.1
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +10.2%

IND +25.1%

IND +30.5%

SAC -14.1%

SAC -1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	IND	NBA	SAC	IND	NBA
this game	16.0	13.0	15.5	118.2	122.0	106.4
season	15.0	14.1		104.0	106.5
opponent	15.3	15.1		107.7	112.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	15.4	16.3	15.7	16.4	16.0
IND	14.0	12.0	14.9	11.3	13.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mikki Moore	59	60	0.05	-0.55	0.61	0.05	0	-5	5	15.9	16.0	-0.13	13.2	12.7	0.53
Bobby Brown	16	16	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.04	-1	-4	3	16.2	15.9	0.33	13.8	12.8	0.98
Jason Thompson	48	47	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.13	-6	1	-7	16.3	15.6	0.67	13.4	12.7	0.70
Beno Udrih	24	26	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.05	-6	1	-7	16.3	15.9	0.42	14.3	12.5	1.83
Brad Miller	76	77	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.45	3	-8	11	15.7	17.0	-1.34	13.2	12.4	0.72
Kevin Martin	78	79	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.45	2	-7	9	15.5	17.6	-2.09	12.5	14.7	-2.18
Francisco Garcia	43	43	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.33	-5	0	-5	16.5	15.5	1.00	12.9	13.1	-0.19
Bobby Jackson	72	71	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.39	-6	1	-7	16.0	16.0	-0.04	12.2	14.8	-2.59
John Salmons	79	81	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.42	-6	1	-7	16.1	15.5	0.59	13.0	12.8	0.18

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarrett Jack	71	71	0.94	-0.44	1.38	0.38	19	-14	33	12.6	13.8	-1.18	16.3	15.2	1.00
Danny Granger	85	83	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.40	10	-5	15	12.8	13.9	-1.11	15.9	16.3	-0.41
T.J. Ford	60	61	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.41	7	-2	9	12.9	13.1	-0.27	15.1	17.4	-2.27
Jeff Foster	57	55	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.39	5	0	5	12.8	13.3	-0.51	16.0	15.9	0.15
Marquis Daniels	46	46	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.39	-3	8	-11	12.8	13.2	-0.38	17.4	14.7	2.70
Josh McRoberts	12	13	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.00	6	-1	7	13.9	12.9	1.05	15.1	16.1	-1.03
Stephen Graham	31	30	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.05	2	3	-1	13.0	13.0	0.01	15.8	16.1	-0.29
Roy Hibbert	39	38	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.01	0	5	-5	13.7	12.5	1.24	15.7	16.2	-0.51
Rasho Nesterovic	12	13	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.00	-1	6	-7	13.5	12.9	0.58	16.2	15.9	0.30
Travis Diener	11	10	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.07	-4	9	-13	12.6	13.0	-0.40	18.3	15.7	2.59
Brandon Rush	18	18	-0.25	0.75	-1.01	0.01	-9	14	-23	14.6	12.6	1.91	13.6	16.5	-2.95
Troy Murphy	58	57	-0.31	0.81	-1.13	-0.11	-7	12	-19	12.9	13.1	-0.18	16.2	15.6	0.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.39,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.51,0.5,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.47,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.37,0.48,0.5,0.43,0.52,0.33,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.27,0.15,0.21,0.33,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 86, DAL 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.39,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.46,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.26,0.34,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.27,0.19,0.29,0.33,0.42,1	91.6%
MIN 81, VAN 86	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.5,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.51,0.32,0.26,0.46,0.28,0.1,0.28,0.41,0.91,1	91.3%
POR 93, MIN 94	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.36,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.37,0.37,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.38,0.21,0.17,0.58,1	91.1%