NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	106		Excitement	8.9 [182]		MVP	Langston Galloway (DET): +72.5%
Charlotte Hornets	109		Comeback	12.9 [107]		LVP	Blake Griffin (DET): -18.5%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Langston Galloway	0.72	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.44,0.44,0.72	0.31	0.42	0.01	16	91%	0.72	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Markieff Morris	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.06	0.04	-0.05	9	44%	0.08	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Luke Kennard	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thon Maker	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Snell	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Christian Wood	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.00	3	83%	0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.05,0.12,0.12,-0.04	0.04	-0.07	0.00	7	100%	0.29	6	-0.32	2	100%	0.01
Bruce Brown	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.03	0.01	4	62%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Svi Mykhailiuk	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	-0.11	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	16	50%	0.06	4	-0.17	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.19,-0.19	-0.09	-0.12	-0.02	19	43%	-0.10	4	-0.08	6	100%	0.04

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malik Monk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.54	0.54	0.10	0.46	0.01	12	73%	0.58	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.29	0.29	0.00	0.27	-0.02	8	50%	0.34	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Washington	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.00	-0.01	7	79%	0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Cody Zeller	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.06	0.00	9	53%	0.11	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	7	50%	0.03	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Terry Rozier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.04	0.02	18	51%	0.02	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Miles Bridges	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	6	58%	0.04	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Cody Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,0,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.09	-0.00	6	39%	-0.11	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.03
Devonte' Graham	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.03,-0.06,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.10	-0.03	23	39%	-0.06	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	1.8	29.2	15.3	27.3	1.8	33.3	134.7
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +8.3%

DET -6.5%

CHA +13.1%

CHA +39.7%

DET -4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	CHA	NBA	DET	CHA	NBA
this game	15.0	14.7	14.2	108.2	113.5	109.6
season	15.1	15.1		108.3	105.4
opponent	14.7	14.2		112.4	111.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	12.4	14.4	15.2	18.7	15.0
CHA	14.8	13.9	14.8	15.4	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Kennard	73	74	0.79	-1.29	2.08	0.26	18	-21	39	15.5	13.4	2.08	15.3	12.7	2.56
Tony Snell	17	17	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.08	7	-10	17	14.2	15.2	-0.98	15.0	14.6	0.37
Thon Maker	8	7	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.03	2	-5	7	13.6	15.1	-1.49	14.1	14.7	-0.60
Blake Griffin	59	58	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.19	3	-6	9	15.6	14.1	1.47	15.1	14.0	1.11
Christian Wood	13	12	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.08	-7	4	-11	18.5	14.5	4.00	14.9	14.7	0.25
Svi Mykhailiuk	27	25	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.06	-11	8	-19	13.4	15.6	-2.24	13.5	15.1	-1.59
Derrick Rose	54	51	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.17	-3	0	-3	15.0	15.0	-0.02	14.1	15.3	-1.20
Markieff Morris	39	38	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.22	-6	3	-9	14.1	15.6	-1.47	14.0	15.1	-1.11
Andre Drummond	77	77	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.46	2	-5	7	14.5	16.6	-2.07	14.7	14.6	0.08
Langston Galloway	77	75	-0.75	0.25	-1.01	-0.34	-14	11	-25	15.3	13.7	1.62	14.6	15.0	-0.33
Bruce Brown	46	46	-1.13	0.63	-1.76	-0.96	-6	3	-9	14.8	15.1	-0.31	15.0	14.4	0.62

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Monk	44	48	1.40	-0.90	2.29	0.72	23	-20	43	13.5	15.7	-2.21	14.9	15.1	-0.14
Devonte' Graham	76	78	0.77	-0.27	1.03	0.53	8	-5	13	14.9	14.0	0.88	15.1	14.5	0.55
Cody Zeller	55	56	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.33	11	-8	19	14.8	14.6	0.20	15.7	14.1	1.61
Cody Martin	49	53	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.05	14	-11	25	14.7	14.7	0.08	15.9	14.0	1.91
Marvin Williams	58	59	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.08	2	1	1	14.6	14.8	-0.20	14.5	15.7	-1.12
P.J. Washington	38	38	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.03	-2	5	-7	14.8	14.6	0.20	16.1	14.3	1.78
Bismack Biyombo	41	42	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.08	-8	11	-19	14.6	14.8	-0.20	14.1	15.7	-1.61
Terry Rozier	67	66	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.28	-15	18	-33	15.0	14.1	0.90	14.5	15.9	-1.41
Miles Bridges	52	50	-0.41	0.91	-1.33	0.11	-18	21	-39	15.1	14.3	0.78	14.3	15.7	-1.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.28,0.26,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.31,0.24,0.22,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.23,0.27,0.3,0.36,0.29,0.25,0.28,0.23,0.2,0.29,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.77,0.9,0.85,0.73,0.81,0.9,0.56,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 89, BOS 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.32,0.42,0.35,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.21,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.23,0.32,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.32,0.42,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.62,0.53,0.65,0.61,0.62,0.8,0.85,0.42,1	90.0%
MIN 101, CHA 102	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.23,0.21,0.23,0.27,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.31,0.29,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.14,0.21,0.22,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.57,0.53,0.68,0.86,0.71,0.73,0.45,0.63,0.78,0.53,1	89.4%
NOP 94, CHA 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.35,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.16,0.23,0.28,0.33,0.26,0.28,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.58,0.47,0.64,0.71,0.82,0.9,0.92,0.77,0.42,1	88.9%