NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	101		Excitement	8.9 [140]		MVP	Gerald Henderson (CHA): +47.8%
Charlotte Bobcats	102		Comeback	7.0 [250]		LVP	Dante Cunningham (MIN): -12.6%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ricky Rubio	0.22	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.22	0.02	0.18	-0.03	9	58%	0.26	2	-0.04	6	83%	-0.03
Chris Johnson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.06	0.00	3	100%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.29,0.08	0.01	0.04	-0.03	18	51%	0.12	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0,0,-0.07,0.08	0.02	0.06	-0.00	6	56%	0.09	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.05
Luke Ridnour	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.03,0.03	0.10	-0.05	0.02	14	76%	0.11	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Greg Stiemsma	0.02	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.02	4	92%	0.08	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.01
Mickael Gelabale	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	4	44%	0.00	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Derrick Williams	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	8	28%	-0.04	2	-0.07	2	0%	-0.04
Dante Cunningham	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.04	-0.10	-0.01	11	42%	-0.08	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.08

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Henderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.48	0.48	0.03	0.44	-0.00	14	50%	0.48	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.28	0.28	0.08	0.19	-0.01	4	83%	0.29	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.13
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.05	0.20	0.01	17	62%	0.34	4	-0.10	6	100%	0.05
Jeff Adrien	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	0.01	13	60%	0.09	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.02
Hakim Warrick	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	2	75%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.03	-0.09	0.01	11	72%	0.28	6	-0.35	10	90%	0.09
Tyrus Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	6	17%	-0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.3	2.5	30.4	15.5	26.9	1.7	34.3	140.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +47.8%

CHA +31.1%

MIN -0.5%

MIN -22.5%

MIN -5.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	CHA	NBA	MIN	CHA	NBA
this game	15.9	14.4	15.4	106.3	107.4	104.1
season	15.6	15.6		101.3	99.9
opponent	15.4	14.9		109.8	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.2	16.7	16.3	15.5	15.9
CHA	12.5	14.6	15.0	15.8	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Williams	33	35	0.18	-0.68	0.87	-0.14	11	-12	23	17.4	15.1	2.25	15.0	14.0	0.92
Ricky Rubio	56	56	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.53	23	-24	47	15.4	16.7	-1.26	15.7	12.4	3.31
Greg Stiemsma	47	47	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.13	5	-6	11	15.8	16.0	-0.19	14.8	14.0	0.79
Mickael Gelabale	41	41	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.14	-4	3	-7	17.0	15.1	1.85	12.3	16.0	-3.65
Chris Johnson	25	24	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.01	-11	10	-21	16.6	15.7	0.97	13.9	14.6	-0.69
Luke Ridnour	80	79	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.58	7	-8	15	16.0	15.5	0.47	15.0	11.6	3.40
Andrei Kirilenko	64	66	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.19	-7	6	-13	15.5	16.8	-1.31	14.8	13.6	1.21
Dante Cunningham	63	61	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.34	-11	10	-21	15.1	17.6	-2.47	14.0	15.0	-1.00
Jose Juan Barea	66	66	-0.84	0.34	-1.19	-0.32	-18	17	-35	15.9	16.0	-0.11	13.4	16.7	-3.26

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ramon Sessions	69	69	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.43	12	-11	23	13.9	15.8	-1.90	15.1	18.0	-2.91
Jeff Adrien	26	27	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.09	15	-14	29	13.1	14.9	-1.75	17.5	15.3	2.22
Kemba Walker	70	70	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.49	-2	3	-5	15.5	11.2	4.38	16.4	14.7	1.69
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	28	30	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.71	-10	11	-21	13.9	14.6	-0.65	16.9	15.5	1.37
Brendan Haywood	25	26	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.10	10	-9	19	11.9	15.3	-3.41	14.7	16.4	-1.65
Gerald Henderson	62	60	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.39	-9	10	-19	15.2	12.9	2.27	16.5	15.0	1.51
Ben Gordon	61	62	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.13	8	-7	15	13.4	16.2	-2.78	14.8	18.1	-3.32
Bismack Biyombo	63	61	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.44	-12	13	-25	15.2	12.9	2.28	16.7	14.5	2.27
Jeff Taylor	27	26	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	-0.22	5	-4	9	14.2	14.5	-0.29	16.4	15.7	0.68
Tyrus Thomas	36	37	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.08	-2	3	-5	15.1	14.0	1.12	14.5	16.8	-2.27
Hakim Warrick	8	7	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	0.14	-10	11	-21	15.4	14.3	1.08	17.4	15.8	1.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.23,0.21,0.23,0.27,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.31,0.29,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.14,0.21,0.22,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.57,0.53,0.68,0.86,0.71,0.73,0.45,0.63,0.78,0.53,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 117, GSW 120	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.38,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.2,0.19,0.24,0.26,0.23,0.19,0.18,0.23,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.16,0.1,0.19,0.21,0.31,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.26,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.43,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.61,0.47,0.54,0.68,0.58,1	92.5%
TOR 89, BOS 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.32,0.42,0.35,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.21,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.23,0.32,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.32,0.42,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.62,0.53,0.65,0.61,0.62,0.8,0.85,0.42,1	90.5%
DEN 92, TOR 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.3,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.27,0.32,0.26,0.29,0.21,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.14,0.2,0.24,0.14,0.2,0.22,0.27,0.26,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.53,0.67,0.63,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.61,0.72,0.94,0.98,1	90.1%