NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	106		Excitement	7.9 [305]		MVP	Otto Porter Jr. (CHI): +19.9%
Chicago Bulls	112		Comeback	1.2 [738]		LVP	Derrick Rose (DET): -13.4%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luke Kennard	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14	0.06	0.09	0.00	11	68%	0.19	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Christian Wood	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.04	-0.00	6	60%	0.10	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Langston Galloway	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.04	-0.00	10	52%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Andre Drummond	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.01	17	64%	0.12	5	-0.11	5	60%	-0.04
Tony Snell	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.04,0.04,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Thon Maker	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Frazier	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	7	19%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Markieff Morris	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	12	46%	-0.03	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Bruce Brown	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	3	33%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.05,-0.11,-0.07,-0.13	0.05	-0.16	0.02	13	66%	0.10	4	-0.23	9	78%	0.02

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Otto Porter Jr.	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.14	0.06	-0.00	12	76%	0.23	2	-0.04	5	60%	0.00
Wendell Carter Jr.	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15	0.15	0.12	0.04	-0.00	9	70%	0.15	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.02	0.10	-0.00	7	57%	0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lauri Markkanen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.04	-0.00	9	67%	0.13	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Zach LaVine	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.09	0.03	20	54%	0.28	6	-0.23	8	87%	0.01
Ryan Arcidiacono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Kornet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Dunn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tomas Satoransky	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.06	4	-0.13	2	100%	0.02
Coby White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	12	37%	-0.00	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	1.7	29.2	15.3	27.3	1.8	36.2	137.7
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +52.8%

CHI +1.8%

DET -1.4%

DET -2.5%

DET -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	CHI	NBA	DET	CHI	NBA
this game	14.7	13.6	14.2	103.9	110.9	109.6
season	15.1	14.1		108.3	105.3
opponent	14.4	14.2		108.2	111.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	15.8	13.0	17.2	13.5	14.7
CHI	11.9	12.7	14.9	15.4	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Langston Galloway	49	46	0.34	-0.84	1.18	-0.07	14	-20	34	14.2	15.2	-1.06	14.5	12.9	1.67
Bruce Brown	44	45	0.30	-0.80	1.10	0.09	7	-13	20	14.9	14.6	0.31	14.3	13.1	1.14
Christian Wood	33	33	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.13	7	-13	20	13.7	15.2	-1.53	13.2	13.9	-0.67
Thon Maker	26	27	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.08	2	-8	10	14.6	14.8	-0.16	14.4	13.4	1.01
Derrick Rose	59	57	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.50	6	-12	18	13.2	16.9	-3.71	12.2	15.5	-3.27
Tim Frazier	31	33	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.07	-18	12	-30	16.9	13.8	3.11	14.7	13.1	1.53
Andre Drummond	76	74	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.25	-8	2	-10	14.8	14.6	0.16	13.4	14.4	-1.01
Luke Kennard	69	66	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.29	-10	4	-14	15.2	13.7	1.58	13.9	13.1	0.88
Tony Snell	58	59	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.30	-12	6	-18	14.5	15.0	-0.51	12.9	14.6	-1.69
Markieff Morris	65	65	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.17	-18	12	-30	15.6	13.2	2.38	13.8	13.3	0.55

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zach LaVine	69	71	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.31	10	-4	14	13.2	14.5	-1.22	14.7	14.7	-0.01
Wendell Carter Jr.	66	66	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.22	13	-7	20	14.5	12.1	2.37	14.5	15.1	-0.54
Tomas Satoransky	55	57	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.27	10	-4	14	13.7	13.6	0.09	14.9	14.6	0.28
Otto Porter Jr.	64	66	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.27	6	0	6	13.7	13.5	0.23	15.1	14.1	0.96
Lauri Markkanen	51	49	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.04	13	-7	20	14.6	12.7	1.93	15.3	14.2	1.06
Thaddeus Young	63	65	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.39	-9	15	-24	12.9	14.8	-1.94	14.3	15.6	-1.31
Kris Dunn	42	41	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.09	1	5	-4	12.9	14.1	-1.21	14.3	15.0	-0.70
Ryan Arcidiacono	32	31	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.01	-4	10	-14	14.5	13.2	1.22	14.7	14.7	0.01
Coby White	41	40	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.02	-5	11	-16	14.2	13.3	0.90	14.4	14.9	-0.51
Luke Kornet	22	24	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.01	-5	11	-16	11.0	14.4	-3.31	15.4	14.5	0.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.82,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.75,0.7,0.63,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.92,0.92,0.86,0.77,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.7,0.82,0.8,0.73,0.64,0.54,0.67,0.62,0.85,0.94,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 94, PHI 96	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.84,0.76,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.54,0.67,0.69,0.83,0.85,0.92,1	93.0%
MIL 89, GSW 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.62,0.59,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.74,0.72,0.81,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.77,0.81,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.72,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.84,0.98,1,1	93.0%
TOR 85, HOU 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.7,0.69,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.72,0.75,0.74,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.85,0.85,0.76,0.77,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.83,0.81,0.66,0.85,0.95,1	92.6%