NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	97		Excitement	4.5 [846]		MVP	Tyler Herro (MIA): +20.6%
Miami Heat	112		Comeback	1.1 [1015]		LVP	Cameron Reddish (ATL): -15.0%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Collins	0.17	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.21	0.01	0.04	17	75%	0.18	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.01
DeAndre' Bembry	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.02	-0.02	7	56%	0.07	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Damian Jones	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	1	150%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.04	8	44%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Wallace	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	2	60%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	67%	0.00
Bruno Fernando	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Trae Young	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Huerter	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	6	50%	-0.01	3	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Jabari Parker	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	0.03	11	50%	-0.03	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Alex Len	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.01	6	33%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
De'Andre Hunter	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	8	25%	-0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Reddish	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.19	-0.02	-0.06	10	27%	-0.02	6	-0.13	2	100%	0.01

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyler Herro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.25	0.03	0.08	9	85%	0.23	2	-0.03	16	75%	-0.02
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	0.00	0.03	12	75%	0.10	3	-0.03	4	50%	-0.00
Kendrick Nunn	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.04	0.03	-0.07	18	47%	0.09	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.01	11	57%	0.10	4	-0.07	15	67%	-0.01
Duncan Robinson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Meyers Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	2	75%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bam Adebayo	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.07	-0.01	0.07	7	71%	0.01	2	-0.03	10	90%	0.00
Chris Silva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.14	-0.00	-0.09	5	0%	-0.05	3	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Justise Winslow	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.16	-0.01	-0.06	7	14%	-0.06	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.0	32.2	15.4	28.2	1.7	38.3	142.1
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +16.6%

MIA +13.6%

MIA +17.6%

MIA +2.7%

ATL -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	MIA	NBA	ATL	MIA	NBA
this game	13.1	14.3	14.2	92.4	106.7	109.6
season	13.8	14.7		106.6	111.7
opponent	14.5	14.0		108.9	113.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.0	11.9	14.6	11.3	13.1
MIA	15.0	14.7	14.8	13.1	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyrone Wallace	34	34	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-17	19	11.4	13.9	-2.52	14.2	14.4	-0.16
Bruno Fernando	25	24	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.08	2	-17	19	14.6	12.6	1.93	15.9	13.9	2.04
Damian Jones	15	15	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.09	-5	-10	5	14.5	12.9	1.61	17.5	13.8	3.72
Trae Young	24	23	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.06	-4	-11	7	15.0	12.5	2.48	14.4	14.3	0.12
Vince Carter	38	40	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.04	-4	-11	7	12.3	13.6	-1.29	14.7	14.1	0.62
Jabari Parker	52	54	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.11	0	-15	15	11.7	14.5	-2.84	13.1	15.7	-2.57
Kevin Huerter	39	36	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.18	-2	-13	11	14.7	12.1	2.60	17.0	13.0	4.00
De'Andre Hunter	60	60	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.00	-10	-5	-5	13.7	12.2	1.47	14.6	14.0	0.52
DeAndre' Bembry	62	65	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.07	-10	-5	-5	11.8	15.0	-3.16	13.8	15.3	-1.55
John Collins	79	77	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.18	-7	-8	1	13.2	12.7	0.57	14.4	14.3	0.03
Alex Len	39	40	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.15	-20	5	-25	13.2	13.0	0.23	13.9	14.6	-0.76
Cameron Reddish	58	57	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.04	-17	2	-19	13.5	12.6	0.85	12.9	16.1	-3.21

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bam Adebayo	71	72	0.59	-0.09	0.68	-0.20	27	-12	39	13.9	15.2	-1.28	13.6	11.9	1.76
Jimmy Butler	66	67	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.01	15	0	15	14.6	14.0	0.59	13.4	12.5	0.88
Kendrick Nunn	65	65	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.02	14	1	13	14.6	13.9	0.76	12.9	13.3	-0.39
Meyers Leonard	50	51	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.00	13	2	11	15.6	13.2	2.32	14.2	12.0	2.20
Justise Winslow	65	64	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.02	10	5	5	14.2	14.5	-0.33	13.5	12.4	1.18
Tyler Herro	68	68	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.04	9	6	3	13.3	16.3	-2.98	11.9	15.3	-3.37
Kelly Olynyk	41	40	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.13	-1	16	-17	13.7	14.7	-1.04	12.9	13.2	-0.22
Goran Dragic	66	66	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.12	-1	16	-17	14.2	14.6	-0.35	12.9	13.4	-0.52
Duncan Robinson	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	14	-13	20.3	14.2	6.17	8.7	13.2	-4.55
Chris Silva	30	29	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.25	-12	27	-39	15.4	13.9	1.48	12.2	13.4	-1.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.74,0.82,0.82,0.78,0.84,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 87, DEN 112	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.84,0.79,0.77,0.76,0.85,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
ATL 75, MIN 93	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
MIN 112, ORL 122	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.88,0.84,0.9,0.84,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%