NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	112		Excitement	4.2 [993]		MVP	Terrence Ross (ORL): +22.3%
Orlando Magic	122		Comeback	1.1 [883]		LVP	Jerryd Bayless (MIN): -11.3%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl-Anthony Towns	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.17	-0.00	0.03	16	82%	0.18	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Dario Saric	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.14	-0.00	0.02	11	77%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	6	56%	0.05	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Isaiah Canaan	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	0.01	0.04	8	81%	0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gorgui Dieng	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.00	0.02	5	60%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keita Bates-Diop	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
C.J. Williams	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Okogie	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.01	12	54%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	3	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.11	0.00	-0.06	28	38%	-0.02	2	-0.02	5	60%	-0.02
Anthony Tolliver	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	6	0%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.23,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.20	0.03	0.01	23	70%	0.24	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.03	-0.03	16	62%	0.15	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Aaron Gordon	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.01	-0.03	13	56%	0.12	2	-0.03	8	100%	0.04
Isaiah Briscoe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.01	3	100%	0.09	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Evan Fournier	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.02	13	67%	0.10	3	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Jonathan Isaac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	6	64%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Khem Birch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	67%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Wes Iwundu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	55%	0.01	1	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	3	60%	0.01	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	1.6	24.6	15.3	27.5	1.7	29.3	124.7
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +44.6%

ORL +10.4%

MIN -7.7%

MIN -0.6%

ORL +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	ORL	NBA	MIN	ORL	NBA
this game	14.6	15.2	14.3	115.5	127.1	109.3
season	14.4	14.9		110.2	107.2
opponent	14.3	14.0		107.2	111.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.1	14.8	14.2	14.3	14.6
ORL	16.2	12.8	15.8	16.3	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keita Bates-Diop	3	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-12	14	10.7	14.8	-4.09	16.7	15.2	1.60
C.J. Williams	3	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-12	14	10.7	14.8	-4.09	16.7	15.2	1.60
Gorgui Dieng	25	24	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-8	6	12.5	15.4	-2.90	15.7	15.1	0.60
Isaiah Canaan	47	44	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.09	0	-10	10	13.3	15.9	-2.62	15.5	15.0	0.56
Anthony Tolliver	39	37	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.14	1	-11	12	14.0	15.0	-1.01	14.6	15.6	-1.02
Luol Deng	31	29	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.05	-2	-8	6	15.0	14.5	0.50	16.1	14.9	1.22
Dario Saric	46	43	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.05	-4	-6	2	13.4	15.7	-2.27	15.2	15.3	-0.10
Taj Gibson	41	42	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.05	-9	-1	-8	15.3	14.2	1.11	14.8	15.5	-0.69
Josh Okogie	57	58	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.04	-12	2	-14	15.2	13.7	1.50	14.9	15.8	-0.90
Andrew Wiggins	71	71	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.17	-8	-2	-6	15.1	13.5	1.59	15.6	14.2	1.38
Jerryd Bayless	50	52	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.11	-10	0	-10	15.9	13.3	2.62	15.0	15.5	-0.56
Karl-Anthony Towns	72	72	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.21	-8	-2	-6	15.4	12.5	2.90	15.1	15.7	-0.60

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonathan Isaac	56	55	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.09	11	-1	12	14.7	15.9	-1.12	16.3	12.4	3.88
Terrence Ross	63	64	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.14	9	1	8	14.7	16.2	-1.42	14.3	15.2	-0.88
Nikola Vucevic	63	62	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.15	8	2	6	15.0	15.6	-0.64	14.7	14.5	0.13
D.J. Augustin	57	57	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.15	6	4	2	14.9	15.7	-0.75	14.4	14.9	-0.55
Evan Fournier	70	69	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.23	3	7	-4	15.3	15.1	0.14	14.6	14.6	0.03
Aaron Gordon	64	66	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.14	2	8	-6	16.1	13.4	2.67	13.5	17.1	-3.58
Isaiah Briscoe	39	40	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.06	4	6	-2	15.7	14.9	0.75	14.9	14.4	0.55
Wes Iwundu	35	37	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.01	5	5	0	15.1	15.3	-0.12	14.7	14.6	0.08
Khem Birch	33	35	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.05	2	8	-6	15.6	15.0	0.64	14.5	14.7	-0.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.88,0.84,0.9,0.84,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 83, MEM 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.44,0.4,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.82,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
VAN 87, SAC 112	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.75,0.8,0.9,0.89,0.86,0.87,0.83,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
ATL 83, BOS 106	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.88,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%