NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	83		Excitement	3.8 [1019]		MVP	Eddie House (BOS): +11.1%
Boston Celtics	106		Comeback	1.1 [1141]		LVP	Josh Smith (ATL): -17.3%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marvin Williams	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.00	-0.00	9	67%	0.08	1	-0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Salim Stoudamire	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	4	42%	0.01	1	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Al Horford	0.01	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	12	50%	0.06	2	-0.05	8	75%	0.01
Tyronn Lue	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.01	0.02	7	56%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Solomon Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario West	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0	0%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	14	55%	0.05	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Shelden Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Acie Law	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.00	0.03	5	64%	-0.01	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Josh Childress	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	0.03	6	58%	0.00	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	-0.17	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.18	0.01	0.00	13	27%	-0.09	4	-0.09	4	50%	-0.02

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.14	0.01	0.04	10	86%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Paul Pierce	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.02	-0.04	15	62%	0.16	5	-0.09	7	86%	0.02
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	-0.00	0.03	16	75%	0.15	6	-0.12	4	75%	-0.01
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	-0.01	0.04	9	70%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	7	43%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gabe Pruitt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	0	75%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Leon Powe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	2	50%	0.02	3	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.5	34.5	15.7	26.3	2.5	31.2	134.8
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +46.3%

ATL -3.8%

BOS +8.3%

ATL -2.3%

BOS +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	BOS	NBA	ATL	BOS	NBA
this game	15.1	16.7	15.4	91.2	117.8	105.7
season	15.4	15.6		104.2	108.0
opponent	15.9	15.7		98.3	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.9	14.4	15.6	14.7	15.1
BOS	17.5	14.4	17.9	17.4	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Solomon Jones	9	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.15	-5	-18	13	10.8	15.6	-4.81	15.9	16.8	-0.93
Mario West	10	9	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.20	-7	-16	9	11.1	15.6	-4.50	15.2	16.9	-1.67
Shelden Williams	18	18	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.01	-5	-18	13	17.2	14.6	2.63	14.7	17.2	-2.57
Marvin Williams	50	51	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.02	-4	-19	15	16.2	13.7	2.51	16.8	16.6	0.19
Salim Stoudamire	22	22	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.17	-12	-11	-1	11.9	16.1	-4.22	15.7	17.1	-1.38
Acie Law	51	50	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.12	-12	-11	-1	14.1	16.4	-2.35	17.0	16.3	0.72
Tyronn Lue	37	36	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.07	-11	-12	1	16.1	14.4	1.73	15.6	17.5	-1.85
Joe Johnson	68	67	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.00	-12	-11	-1	15.8	13.0	2.77	17.4	14.7	2.66
Al Horford	64	64	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.02	-13	-10	-3	15.1	15.1	0.05	17.4	15.0	2.37
Josh Childress	66	63	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.19	-20	-3	-17	15.1	15.0	0.10	16.5	17.2	-0.71
Josh Smith	60	62	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.03	-14	-9	-5	15.4	14.5	0.95	17.1	15.9	1.26

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie House	51	51	0.52	-0.02	0.55	-0.30	28	-5	33	15.6	18.2	-2.62	15.8	14.2	1.62
Kevin Garnett	71	71	0.48	0.02	0.45	-0.08	19	4	15	17.0	15.8	1.18	16.0	11.8	4.18
Paul Pierce	68	69	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.05	13	10	3	17.0	16.0	0.96	15.7	13.1	2.60
Kendrick Perkins	56	55	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.09	8	15	-7	17.2	15.9	1.30	14.5	16.1	-1.56
Ray Allen	64	65	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.10	14	9	5	17.3	15.3	2.04	15.1	15.0	0.10
Rajon Rondo	56	55	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.12	11	12	-1	18.0	14.6	3.34	13.7	17.3	-3.59
Brian Scalabrine	32	34	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.01	7	16	-9	15.8	17.2	-1.36	16.9	14.1	2.83
Tony Allen	33	33	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.11	8	15	-7	15.2	17.6	-2.48	15.4	15.0	0.40
Gabe Pruitt	7	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	21	-19	16.0	16.8	-0.78	10.9	15.5	-4.64
Glen Davis	8	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.15	5	18	-13	15.9	16.8	-0.93	10.8	15.6	-4.81
Leon Powe	4	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	23	-23	11.7	17.0	-5.20	9.0	15.5	-6.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.88,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 95, MIA 119	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.65,0.56,0.47,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.91,0.9,0.87,0.91,0.87,0.77,0.86,0.9,0.98,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
MIN 112, ORL 122	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.88,0.84,0.9,0.84,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
IND 73, CLE 97	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.74,0.8,0.75,0.78,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%