NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	73		Excitement	3.0 [1175]		MVP	Daniel Gibson (CLE): +13.1%
Cleveland Cavaliers	97		Comeback	1.1 [1210]		LVP	Marquis Daniels (IND): -8.4%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Troy Murphy	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.00	0.02	10	71%	0.11	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
T.J. Ford	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.07	9	44%	0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Rush	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh McRoberts	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Graham	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	11	56%	0.04	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.00
Danny Granger	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	7	27%	-0.03	1	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Roy Hibbert	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	4	30%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	9	44%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	5	36%	-0.02	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	6	44%	0.00	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Marquis Daniels	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	7	29%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Daniel Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.01	-0.04	9	64%	0.13	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.00	-0.00	9	77%	0.14	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Mo Williams	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.01	9	81%	0.12	3	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Delonte West	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	12	54%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	1	75%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	15	57%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
JJ Hickson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tarence Kinsey	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darnell Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	2	0%	-0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	12	39%	-0.05	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	2.0	29.2	15.8	24.2	2.6	31.2	128.1
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +21.0%

CLE +1.2%

CLE +3.4%

CLE +21.1%

CLE +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CLE	NBA	IND	CLE	NBA
this game	14.9	18.6	15.5	84.9	112.8	106.4
season	14.1	16.9		106.5	110.6
opponent	15.2	15.3		101.0	107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.9	14.3	15.9	15.5	14.9
CLE	18.0	19.3	19.3	17.9	18.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh McRoberts	8	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-25	26	16.7	14.7	2.04	16.5	18.8	-2.31
Roy Hibbert	32	31	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.02	-1	-23	22	16.3	14.0	2.31	16.5	19.8	-3.25
Brandon Rush	20	20	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.14	4	-28	32	14.2	15.1	-0.91	17.7	18.9	-1.16
Stephen Graham	44	43	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.10	-2	-22	20	15.3	14.5	0.77	18.3	18.9	-0.63
T.J. Ford	50	49	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.39	-20	-4	-16	14.6	15.3	-0.71	18.9	18.2	0.66
Jeff Foster	38	38	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.11	-11	-13	2	14.1	15.6	-1.51	19.2	18.1	1.15
Marquis Daniels	49	50	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.29	-20	-4	-16	15.4	14.3	1.10	19.1	17.8	1.31
Jarrett Jack	36	37	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.18	-4	-20	16	15.3	14.6	0.71	18.2	18.9	-0.66
Rasho Nesterovic	30	31	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.03	-12	-12	0	15.9	14.3	1.59	20.2	17.7	2.55
Troy Murphy	64	64	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.27	-25	1	-26	14.0	17.6	-3.68	18.7	18.3	0.37
Danny Granger	59	59	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	0.35	-30	6	-36	14.5	15.9	-1.39	18.7	18.4	0.22

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	68	68	0.57	-0.07	0.65	-0.37	32	-8	40	18.1	20.3	-2.20	15.0	14.7	0.29
Delonte West	56	58	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.41	31	-7	38	18.0	19.6	-1.60	16.1	12.3	3.82
Ben Wallace	46	47	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.35	27	-3	30	18.7	18.5	0.22	16.4	13.1	3.28
Anderson Varejao	42	43	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.02	11	13	-2	18.9	18.3	0.61	13.3	16.5	-3.14
Daniel Gibson	51	53	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.10	8	16	-8	18.5	18.8	-0.30	13.4	17.3	-3.91
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	50	48	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.19	13	11	2	19.5	17.4	2.12	15.9	13.7	2.22
Mo Williams	48	47	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.20	13	11	2	19.5	17.4	2.15	15.9	13.7	2.20
JJ Hickson	9	8	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.05	-1	25	-26	17.0	18.8	-1.78	16.7	14.7	2.04
Tarence Kinsey	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	26	-28	18.7	18.6	0.16	17.0	14.8	2.18
Darnell Jackson	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	26	-28	17.0	18.7	-1.73	15.8	14.8	1.01
Wally Szczerbiak	26	27	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.01	-1	25	-26	18.5	18.6	-0.13	13.3	15.6	-2.28
Sasha Pavlovic	23	22	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.22	-9	33	-42	18.1	18.8	-0.69	11.4	16.1	-4.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.74,0.8,0.75,0.78,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 86, PHI 97	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.5,0.42,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.69,0.77,0.79,0.81,0.8,0.86,0.84,0.87,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1	96.3%
LAL 97, LAC 120	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.62,0.53,0.57,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.68,0.72,0.8,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.89,0.82,0.89,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
DEN 86, SAS 101	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.68,0.76,0.78,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.9,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%