NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	132		Excitement	7.0 [481]		MVP	Paul George (OKC): +31.3%
Minnesota Timberwolves	126		Comeback	5.8 [413]		LVP	Jared Terrell (MIN): -6.1%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul George	0.31	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.26,0.31,0.31	0.10	0.20	-0.01	22	53%	0.31	0	0.00	7	100%	0.06
Jerami Grant	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.11	0.05	-0.02	7	83%	0.19	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Dennis Schroder	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,0.07,0.13,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.07	0.08	-0.01	15	62%	0.22	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.04
Terrance Ferguson	0.15	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.10	0.06	0.02	5	92%	0.15	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Markieff Morris	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.02	-0.02	12	58%	0.08	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nerlens Noel	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.06	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Patrick Patterson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	5	80%	0.06	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	-0.06	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.11,-0.06	0.01	-0.05	0.01	22	53%	0.01	4	-0.07	7	71%	-0.04

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dario Saric	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.15,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.24	0.24	0.16	0.07	-0.01	15	77%	0.27	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.18	0.18	0.14	0.07	0.03	18	70%	0.27	5	-0.09	14	93%	0.05
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.19,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.12	-0.00	-0.03	15	69%	0.15	2	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Josh Okogie	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.00	5	62%	0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Keita Bates-Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	6	58%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.01	0.02	8	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	8	56%	0.05	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Cameron Reynolds	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	5	45%	-0.00	1	-0.05	1	0%	-0.02
Jared Terrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	3.5	29.5	16.4	32.4	2.7	37.0	148.8
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +27.7%

OKC +1.2%

OKC +15.3%

MIN -0.8%

OKC +6.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	MIN	NBA	OKC	MIN	NBA
this game	13.1	14.6	14.3	125.7	122.3	109.3
season	12.9	14.4		108.9	110.2
opponent	14.0	14.9		111.8	106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	13.1	11.9	14.5	13.2	13.1
MIN	14.1	14.9	16.2	13.5	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steven Adams	61	61	1.03	-0.53	1.56	0.12	31	-25	56	12.2	14.4	-2.15	15.6	13.2	2.37
Paul George	84	82	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.18	11	-5	16	13.0	13.7	-0.69	14.6	14.5	0.09
Markieff Morris	52	52	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.43	2	4	-2	13.8	12.5	1.34	14.0	15.2	-1.12
Dennis Schroder	74	72	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.44	1	5	-4	12.9	13.6	-0.75	13.7	16.6	-2.94
Raymond Felton	21	22	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.24	7	-1	8	14.3	12.8	1.46	14.4	14.7	-0.29
Jerami Grant	67	64	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.10	0	6	-6	13.0	13.3	-0.27	14.5	14.7	-0.12
Russell Westbrook	83	80	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.10	-1	7	-8	13.0	13.6	-0.66	14.9	13.5	1.43
Terrance Ferguson	53	53	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.01	0	6	-6	13.4	12.8	0.57	15.4	13.8	1.62
Patrick Patterson	4	4	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	-0.04	-7	13	-20	13.7	13.1	0.66	14.5	14.6	-0.10
Nerlens Noel	26	25	-0.38	0.88	-1.26	0.03	-14	20	-34	14.0	12.8	1.23	13.5	14.9	-1.42

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dario Saric	67	71	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.13	6	-12	18	14.7	14.4	0.36	13.1	13.2	-0.09
Tyus Jones	74	78	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.12	3	-9	12	14.8	14.1	0.73	13.0	13.4	-0.34
Karl-Anthony Towns	70	72	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.16	3	-9	12	14.8	14.2	0.65	13.1	13.2	-0.19
Josh Okogie	76	80	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.08	-1	-5	4	14.8	14.0	0.85	12.8	14.1	-1.27
Keita Bates-Diop	38	39	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.25	3	-9	12	14.2	14.8	-0.69	14.5	12.3	2.22
Andrew Wiggins	75	74	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.15	-1	-5	4	14.8	14.1	0.72	12.8	14.0	-1.21
Gorgui Dieng	33	33	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.16	-9	3	-12	14.2	14.8	-0.65	13.2	13.1	0.19
Jared Terrell	29	27	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.20	-9	3	-12	14.1	14.8	-0.73	13.4	13.0	0.34
Cameron Reynolds	17	17	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.16	-13	7	-20	13.7	14.8	-1.06	12.9	13.2	-0.28
Anthony Tolliver	36	34	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.19	-12	6	-18	14.4	14.7	-0.36	13.2	13.1	0.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.45,0.39,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.42,0.48,0.62,0.69,0.76,0.81,0.75,0.58,0.57,0.43,0.24,0.09,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.15,0.1,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 85, WAS 77	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.43,0.34,0.28,0.23,0.17,0.16,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.09,0,0	91.9%
CHH 107, PHI 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.31,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.5,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.1,0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0	91.4%
OKC 89, POR 77	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.43,0.38,0.33,0.12,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.03,0,0,0	91.3%