NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	126		Excitement	11.7 [35]		MVP	Josh Jackson (PHX): +41.9%
Phoenix Suns	133		Comeback	8.8 [137]		LVP	Julius Randle (NOP): -39.5%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Christian Wood	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.13	0.07	0.00	7	77%	0.20	0	0.00	8	87%	0.04
Cheick Diallo	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.07	0.06	-0.00	9	67%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Clark	0.11	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.13,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.11	0.12	-0.02	-0.00	17	67%	0.14	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.06
Dairis Bertans	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.02	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenrich Williams	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	-0.06	-0.01	7	56%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jahlil Okafor	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	11	44%	0.00	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.01
Elfrid Payton	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.03	-0.09	0.02	14	50%	-0.09	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Hill	-0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29	-0.10	-0.21	-0.02	8	29%	-0.21	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Julius Randle	-0.39	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.03,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39	-0.02	-0.39	-0.01	24	53%	-0.18	5	-0.21	11	45%	-0.32

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Jackson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.42	0.42	0.18	0.25	0.01	29	60%	0.42	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray Spalding	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.13	0.02	0.01	13	75%	0.17	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
De'Anthony Melton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.16,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.00	0.12	0.02	7	50%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Dragan Bender	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.07	-0.01	7	55%	0.13	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.03
Troy Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.12	-0.03	0.00	9	78%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elie Okobo	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	7	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.09	-0.13	0.01	21	58%	0.00	3	-0.05	6	100%	0.02
Mikal Bridges	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.06	-0.15	0.00	11	33%	-0.21	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.2	2.4	28.5	14.7	23.8	1.8	33.3	2.3	14.6	146.7
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	3.3	15.6	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +79.7%

NOP -2.0%

NOP -35.2%

PHX +30.5%

NOP -23.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	PHX	NBA	NOP	PHX	NBA
this game	15.8	13.6	14.3	115.6	124.3	109.3
season	13.4	14.4		110.2	104.8
opponent	14.0	14.2		114.0	111.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
NOP	15.2	13.6	15.8	19.9	14.1	15.8
PHX	13.6	12.1	15.5	13.0	15.0	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cheick Diallo	46	45	0.29	-0.79	1.08	0.06	8	-15	23	16.8	15.1	1.63	13.3	13.6	-0.29
Dairis Bertans	31	30	0.17	-0.67	0.84	0.11	2	-9	11	16.8	15.4	1.43	11.1	14.4	-3.25
Solomon Hill	58	60	0.13	-0.63	0.75	-0.11	8	-15	23	15.5	16.1	-0.60	13.8	13.1	0.68
Christian Wood	34	33	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.22	6	-13	19	15.3	16.1	-0.76	13.2	13.6	-0.34
Jahlil Okafor	49	48	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.03	-7	0	-7	15.6	16.0	-0.33	13.9	13.1	0.82
Julius Randle	77	77	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.25	-14	7	-21	16.2	14.9	1.29	13.5	13.4	0.13
Ian Clark	81	81	-0.67	0.17	-0.85	-0.44	-8	1	-9	15.2	17.7	-2.51	13.9	12.3	1.63
Kenrich Williams	79	77	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.32	-13	6	-19	16.1	15.1	1.03	13.3	13.9	-0.59
Elfrid Payton	90	89	-0.83	0.33	-1.16	-0.33	-17	10	-27	15.5	17.5	-2.01	13.7	12.3	1.48

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mikal Bridges	90	92	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.37	16	-9	25	13.2	14.7	-1.49	15.6	17.0	-1.40
Dragan Bender	75	77	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.40	12	-5	17	14.2	11.8	2.44	15.5	16.7	-1.23
Josh Jackson	92	94	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.28	12	-5	17	13.7	12.3	1.37	15.8	16.1	-0.29
De'Anthony Melton	55	54	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.30	9	-2	11	13.0	14.0	-0.94	16.5	15.1	1.43
Jamal Crawford	71	72	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.28	-3	10	-13	13.1	14.2	-1.12	15.6	16.3	-0.69
Elie Okobo	46	47	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	5	-3	14.7	12.6	2.08	15.8	15.8	-0.05
Ray Spalding	61	59	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.11	3	4	-1	12.7	14.5	-1.86	16.7	14.7	2.03
Troy Daniels	50	50	-0.50	1.00	-1.50	-0.03	-16	23	-39	13.4	13.6	-0.19	15.3	16.2	-0.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.27,0.2,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.24,0.36,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.27,0.31,0.24,0.18,0.24,0.36,0.43,0.26,0.5,0.69,0.79,0.9,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 87, GSW 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.33,0.34,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.26,0.25,0.2,0.32,0.41,0.24,0.13,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.28,0.54,0.81,0.85,0.97,0.99,1	91.3%
PHI 109, DET 112	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.31,0.42,0.28,0.33,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.38,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.37,0.31,0.35,0.33,0.46,0.21,0.15,0.17,0.54,0.75,0.72,0.97,0.99,1	89.1%
LAC 87, SAS 95	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.44,0.43,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.67,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.27,0.3,0.15,0.28,0.23,0.29,0.22,0.59,0.54,0.55,0.85,0.92,1,1	89.1%