NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	87		Excitement	9.2 [127]		MVP	Michael Finley (SAS): +26.3%
San Antonio Spurs	95		Comeback	5.6 [358]		LVP	Cuttino Mobley (LAC): -25.1%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Wilcox	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.07	0.09	-0.00	6	69%	0.21	1	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Quinton Ross	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	-0.03	0.14	-0.00	8	33%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Chris Kaman	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	0.03	-0.04	-0.01	12	48%	0.00	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Daniel Ewing	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	4	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Walter McCarty	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11	-0.02	-0.07	0.02	23	44%	-0.08	1	-0.03	8	75%	0.03
Sam Cassell	-0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.07	-0.16	-0.01	22	39%	-0.06	1	-0.17	7	86%	0.03
Cuttino Mobley	-0.25	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.24,-0.25,-0.25	-0.12	-0.13	-0.00	16	25%	-0.23	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.13	0.16	0.03	15	66%	0.26	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.04	0.00	22	54%	0.15	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Fabricio Oberto	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	8	39%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Tim Duncan	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	25	43%	0.14	1	-0.19	13	23%	-0.13
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.04,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.06	-0.00	8	50%	-0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	6	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	6	17%	-0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.2	2.5	26.3	16.7	25.2	2.6	40.0	1.8	16.7	157.0
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	1.8	17.8	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +72.6%

LAC -31.6%

SAS +7.5%

LAC -0.3%

SAS +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	SAS	NBA	LAC	SAS	NBA
this game	16.8	15.5	15.6	89.7	95.0	104.4
season	15.2	16.3		103.9	106.0
opponent	15.6	15.5		99.4	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
LAC	16.7	18.0	15.1	17.2	17.6	16.8
SAS	16.0	14.9	17.6	14.1	14.2	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Wilcox	36	37	0.32	-0.82	1.14	0.17	5	-13	18	17.5	16.4	1.09	15.5	15.5	-0.01
Daniel Ewing	48	51	0.27	-0.77	1.04	0.16	4	-12	16	17.4	16.3	1.07	15.4	15.6	-0.20
Howard Eisley	13	15	0.11	-0.61	0.73	0.09	1	-9	10	18.5	16.6	1.90	14.0	15.8	-1.75
Walter McCarty	9	9	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.04	-5	-3	-2	14.1	17.1	-2.98	13.9	15.6	-1.76
Quinton Ross	64	65	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.28	-6	-2	-4	16.7	17.1	-0.37	15.5	15.5	0.05
Elton Brand	84	85	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.50	-1	-7	6	16.7	17.5	-0.84	15.8	13.7	2.15
Chris Kaman	72	77	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.20	-14	6	-20	17.0	16.2	0.88	15.2	16.4	-1.17
Cuttino Mobley	81	83	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.34	-11	3	-14	16.7	17.4	-0.75	15.4	16.1	-0.69
Sam Cassell	78	78	-0.77	0.27	-1.05	-0.39	-13	5	-18	16.3	18.7	-2.39	16.1	13.5	2.55

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Parker	85	81	0.84	-0.34	1.17	0.43	14	-6	20	15.6	14.9	0.65	16.4	18.8	-2.39
Rasho Nesterovic	54	52	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.34	11	-3	14	16.4	14.4	2.07	17.1	16.5	0.52
Tim Duncan	85	82	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.22	13	-5	18	15.3	16.5	-1.23	17.0	15.8	1.20
Michael Finley	76	73	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.03	11	-3	14	15.0	17.0	-1.93	16.7	17.1	-0.41
Bruce Bowen	67	67	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.20	0	8	-8	15.9	14.7	1.23	17.4	15.5	1.90
Nick Van Exel	32	31	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.14	1	7	-6	15.1	15.7	-0.63	17.8	16.4	1.41
Nazr Mohammed	33	31	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.02	4	4	0	14.8	15.8	-1.00	16.5	16.9	-0.39
Brent Barry	39	38	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.05	-2	10	-12	15.9	15.2	0.71	16.1	17.3	-1.25
Fabricio Oberto	5	4	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.01	-3	11	-14	12.8	15.6	-2.83	16.2	16.8	-0.59
Robert Horry	23	25	-0.32	0.82	-1.14	-0.06	-9	17	-26	15.5	15.5	-0.02	16.1	17.1	-0.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.44,0.43,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.67,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.27,0.3,0.15,0.28,0.23,0.29,0.22,0.59,0.54,0.55,0.85,0.92,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 96, MIN 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.36,0.32,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.41,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.35,0.28,0.31,0.15,0.1,0.42,0.54,0.69,0.86,0.95,1,1	89.1%
NOP 126, PHX 133	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.27,0.2,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.24,0.36,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.27,0.31,0.24,0.18,0.24,0.36,0.43,0.26,0.54,0.69,0.79,0.9,1,1	89.0%
UTA 97, SAS 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.53,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.29,0.26,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.34,0.52,0.42,0.27,0.47,0.29,0.22,0.31,0.45,0.32,0.84,0.54,0.68,0.55,0.85,0.98,1	89.0%