NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	97		Excitement	10.3 [55]		MVP	Kawhi Leonard (SAS): +51.0%
San Antonio Spurs	104		Comeback	4.8 [512]		LVP	Gordon Hayward (UTA): -21.1%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marvin Williams	0.37	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37	-0.00	0.35	-0.02	9	50%	0.39	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.09	0.06	-0.00	9	78%	0.20	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15	0.03	0.10	-0.02	17	59%	0.23	3	-0.08	5	60%	-0.01
Randy Foye	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.03	0.01	5	80%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	-0.02	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02	-0.08	0.05	-0.02	23	39%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.04	0.00	6	46%	0.09	4	-0.13	1	0%	-0.03
Enes Kanter	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	4	25%	-0.08	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Paul Millsap	-0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17	-0.05	-0.12	-0.00	13	39%	-0.14	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.03
Gordon Hayward	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.13	-0.08	0.01	10	25%	-0.05	3	-0.16	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.31,0.31,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.51	0.51	0.12	0.41	0.01	14	75%	0.56	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.06	0.13	-0.00	13	65%	0.25	3	-0.07	8	75%	-0.08
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.06	0.12	0.00	2	125%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.13	0.03	0.00	9	83%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeJuan Blair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	13	49%	0.04	2	-0.06	13	85%	-0.01
Nando De Colo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tiago Splitter	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.13	-0.06	-0.02	9	24%	-0.10	3	-0.08	3	33%	-0.03
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.19,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.15	-0.03	-0.00	9	28%	0.12	5	-0.30	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	22.9	1.6	24.2	15.4	22.5	2.3	36.0	0.7	14.2	139.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	2.0	17.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +25.6%

SAS +18.9%

SAS +9.0%

UTA -5.8%

SAS +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	SAS	NBA	UTA	SAS	NBA
this game	15.2	14.9	15.4	92.4	98.1	104.1
season	16.0	15.2		104.6	106.4
opponent	15.1	15.1		99.5	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
UTA	14.0	15.1	16.5	15.4	15.3	15.2
SAS	16.7	16.2	14.8	12.9	13.4	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alec Burks	44	46	0.46	-0.96	1.42	0.05	14	-21	35	14.5	15.8	-1.21	14.2	15.4	-1.24
Derrick Favors	39	37	0.26	-0.76	1.03	-0.18	15	-22	37	14.6	15.6	-0.97	15.6	14.5	1.16
Enes Kanter	24	21	0.16	-0.66	0.83	-0.07	8	-15	23	14.4	15.5	-1.08	16.2	14.6	1.67
Randy Foye	53	53	-0.14	-0.35	0.21	0.18	-11	4	-15	15.7	14.8	0.87	15.7	14.1	1.64
Marvin Williams	71	72	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.43	-1	-6	5	14.6	16.6	-1.94	14.2	16.4	-2.27
Mo Williams	81	82	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.32	-7	0	-7	15.3	15.1	0.16	15.2	13.8	1.43
Al Jefferson	80	85	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.16	-13	6	-19	15.6	14.2	1.32	14.6	16.2	-1.67
Gordon Hayward	66	65	-0.83	0.33	-1.17	-0.37	-16	9	-25	16.0	14.0	2.03	15.1	14.5	0.59
Paul Millsap	67	69	-0.89	0.39	-1.28	-0.18	-24	17	-41	15.5	14.8	0.76	14.5	15.6	-1.16

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Duncan	72	71	1.14	-0.64	1.78	0.55	20	-13	33	15.3	14.1	1.15	15.8	14.0	1.85
Tony Parker	75	72	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.27	19	-12	31	15.1	14.5	0.63	15.2	15.3	-0.12
Kawhi Leonard	84	84	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.24	12	-5	17	15.0	14.7	0.27	15.4	14.7	0.73
Danny Green	66	67	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.06	17	-10	27	14.7	15.1	-0.41	16.0	13.9	2.12
Manu Ginobili	60	58	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.40	-12	19	-31	14.0	16.1	-2.07	13.8	17.0	-3.13
Tiago Splitter	67	64	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.11	5	2	3	15.0	14.7	0.24	15.1	15.5	-0.39
Matt Bonner	19	18	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.03	2	5	-3	13.0	15.3	-2.31	15.8	15.1	0.64
Boris Diaw	36	38	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.04	-1	8	-9	15.1	14.8	0.28	15.2	15.3	-0.06
Cory Joseph	8	10	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.17	-8	15	-23	17.5	14.7	2.82	14.7	15.3	-0.61
Stephen Jackson	16	15	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.04	-6	13	-19	16.3	14.6	1.67	14.1	15.4	-1.30
Nando De Colo	17	17	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	-0.13	-1	8	-9	13.3	15.2	-1.91	17.4	14.8	2.58
DeJuan Blair	10	11	-0.28	0.78	-1.05	0.07	-12	19	-31	17.5	14.6	2.87	12.1	15.6	-3.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.53,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.29,0.26,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.34,0.52,0.42,0.27,0.47,0.29,0.22,0.31,0.45,0.32,0.84,0.54,0.68,0.55,0.85,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 101, MIL 108	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.39,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.35,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.28,0.23,0.3,0.37,0.43,0.37,0.31,0.33,0.45,0.39,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.41,0.4,0.31,0.45,0.44,0.58,0.46,0.61,0.54,0.68,0.99,1	89.3%
LAC 87, SAS 95	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.44,0.43,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.67,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.27,0.3,0.15,0.28,0.23,0.29,0.22,0.59,0.54,0.55,0.85,0.92,1,1	89.0%
MEM 106, MIN 110	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.36,0.31,0.26,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.23,0.33,0.36,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.48,0.6,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.43,0.27,0.26,0.34,0.39,0.31,0.29,0.78,0.85,0.54,0.52,0.63,0.84,0.97,1	89.0%