NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	106		Excitement	10.6 [45]		MVP	Earl Watson (MEM): +15.4%
Minnesota Timberwolves	110		Comeback	4.6 [403]		LVP	Stromile Swift (MEM): -22.9%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Earl Watson	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.04	0.09	-0.02	8	56%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.09	0.06	0.00	6	86%	0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jason Williams	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.09,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.00	0.08	-0.00	12	52%	0.11	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Drew Gooden	0.01	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	8	55%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.02
Mike Batiste	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	11	50%	-0.03	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.03
Lorenzen Wright	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.01	-0.11	0.00	7	58%	-0.08	1	-0.04	5	20%	-0.15
Pau Gasol	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	9	43%	-0.10	1	-0.02	10	80%	-0.00
Gordan Giricek	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.15	-0.07	-0.06	0.02	11	42%	-0.10	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Wesley Person	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.08	-0.13	-0.00	8	31%	-0.12	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0,-0.07,-0.13,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.11	-0.13	-0.01	8	41%	-0.08	3	-0.15	6	83%	0.10

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.01	0.13	-0.00	5	50%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.05	0.01	9	56%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Loren Woods	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	14	54%	-0.01	0	0.00	7	14%	-0.12
Kendall Gill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	13	47%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	50%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.07	-0.06	0.04	20	62%	0.05	1	-0.09	15	80%	-0.02
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	8	60%	0.02	4	-0.09	4	100%	0.06
Rod Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Troy Hudson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19,-0.19,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.08,-0.02,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.01	-0.00	14	44%	0.02	5	-0.15	4	100%	0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	26.8	1.6	27.3	15.6	30.4	2.7	33.2	2.5	18.2	158.2
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	1.9	17.2	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +36.6%

MEM -6.8%

MIN +10.6%

MIN +4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	MIN	NBA	MEM	MIN	NBA
this game	17.1	14.7	15.5	106.0	110.0	101.6
season	15.3	14.9		101.8	104.0
opponent	15.8	15.2		102.3	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MEM	16.4	15.9	17.0	19.0	18.0	17.1
MIN	13.0	16.9	15.1	14.4	13.8	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lorenzen Wright	42	43	0.45	-0.95	1.39	-0.05	17	-21	38	16.5	17.5	-1.03	15.2	14.4	0.81
Earl Watson	37	37	0.44	-0.94	1.37	-0.06	17	-21	38	16.7	17.3	-0.67	15.8	14.0	1.76
Wesley Person	52	52	0.34	-0.84	1.18	-0.10	15	-19	34	16.4	17.9	-1.53	15.3	14.0	1.35
Shane Battier	60	59	0.24	-0.74	0.99	-0.14	13	-17	30	15.6	19.3	-3.62	15.7	13.2	2.55
Mike Batiste	38	40	0.17	-0.67	0.84	-0.18	12	-16	28	17.2	17.0	0.22	15.2	14.3	0.87
Stromile Swift	57	56	-0.73	0.23	-0.97	-0.18	-19	15	-34	17.5	16.6	0.95	14.5	14.9	-0.37
Drew Gooden	40	41	-0.74	0.24	-0.99	-0.25	-17	13	-30	19.3	15.6	3.62	13.2	15.7	-2.55
Gordan Giricek	48	48	-0.84	0.34	-1.18	-0.28	-19	15	-34	17.9	16.4	1.53	14.0	15.3	-1.35
Pau Gasol	63	61	-0.88	0.38	-1.27	-0.36	-18	14	-32	17.0	17.2	-0.14	14.2	15.5	-1.33
Jason Williams	63	63	-0.94	0.44	-1.37	-0.32	-21	17	-38	17.3	16.7	0.67	14.0	15.8	-1.76

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	88	90	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.33	14	-10	24	14.5	16.5	-2.05	17.3	15.7	1.56
Troy Hudson	75	76	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.32	8	-4	12	14.1	16.6	-2.53	17.9	14.5	3.37
Kendall Gill	83	82	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.36	5	-1	6	14.4	16.2	-1.85	17.3	16.1	1.27
Anthony Peeler	40	38	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.52	-5	9	-14	15.7	14.0	1.67	16.0	17.8	-1.77
Joe Smith	34	34	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.40	-6	10	-16	17.1	13.5	3.62	16.3	17.5	-1.27
Rasho Nesterovic	50	51	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.06	8	-4	12	14.0	15.4	-1.48	19.2	14.9	4.36
Gary Trent	61	61	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.13	6	-2	8	14.0	15.7	-1.71	16.5	18.0	-1.52
Rod Strickland	25	24	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.06	-4	8	-12	16.6	14.1	2.53	14.5	17.9	-3.37
Loren Woods	23	22	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.09	-8	12	-20	15.1	14.6	0.56	13.6	18.1	-4.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.36,0.31,0.26,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.23,0.33,0.36,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.48,0.6,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.43,0.27,0.26,0.34,0.39,0.31,0.29,0.78,0.85,0.54,0.52,0.63,0.84,0.97,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 97, SAS 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.53,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.29,0.26,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.34,0.52,0.42,0.27,0.47,0.29,0.22,0.31,0.45,0.32,0.84,0.54,0.68,0.55,0.85,0.98,1	89.0%
CHA 102, ORL 107	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.45,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.3,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.3,0.38,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.35,0.3,0.33,0.36,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.24,0.32,0.41,0.4,0.58,0.19,0.28,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.45,0.7,0.89,0.98,1	88.6%
ATL 101, MIL 108	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.39,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.35,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.28,0.23,0.3,0.37,0.43,0.37,0.31,0.33,0.45,0.39,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.41,0.4,0.31,0.45,0.44,0.58,0.46,0.61,0.54,0.68,0.99,1	88.5%