NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	122		Excitement	7.3 [428]		MVP	Trae Young (ATL): +35.9%
Atlanta Hawks	130		Comeback	2.2 [354]		LVP	Ben Simmons (PHI): -16.5%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jimmy Butler	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11	0.03	0.05	-0.04	11	50%	0.11	0	0.00	10	50%	-0.03
JJ Redick	0.11	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11	0.15	-0.02	0.03	22	59%	0.11	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.04
Amir Johnson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	-0.03	0.02	14	60%	0.10	2	-0.07	7	100%	0.02
Mike Scott	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	8	37%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	5	60%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jonah Bolden	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	9	54%	0.03	2	-0.07	6	50%	-0.02
Boban Marjanovic	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	7	57%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
James Ennis III	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	3	50%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ben Simmons	-0.17	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.17,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.13	-0.03	0.01	17	36%	-0.09	3	-0.08	8	37%	-0.08

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trae Young	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.31,0.36	0.36	0.22	0.08	-0.05	18	77%	0.31	2	0.05	7	100%	0.02
DeAndre' Bembry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.06	-0.00	9	74%	0.21	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.01
Alex Len	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.04	-0.02	6	79%	0.16	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
John Collins	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.02	0.02	18	61%	0.16	2	-0.07	5	80%	0.00
Justin Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	0.00	5	77%	0.11	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Kevin Huerter	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	-0.01	0.03	12	58%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Taurean Prince	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	12	46%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Deyonta Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaac Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	4	50%	-0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Adams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	4	25%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	2.4	30.6	15.3	26.4	1.8	39.5	142.4
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +38.6%

ATL +12.6%

PHI -19.9%

ATL +16.0%

ATL +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	ATL	NBA	PHI	ATL	NBA
this game	14.3	13.7	14.3	118.4	126.2	109.3
season	14.0	13.6		110.9	107.2
opponent	13.9	14.1		112.6	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.8	13.0	14.8	13.3	14.3
ATL	11.8	14.7	13.4	14.9	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Ennis III	26	27	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.05	1	-9	10	12.7	14.8	-2.09	14.6	13.4	1.25
Ben Simmons	74	73	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.21	6	-14	20	13.3	16.8	-3.49	14.2	12.6	1.61
Boban Marjanovic	38	40	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.02	-1	-7	6	14.9	13.9	1.02	12.9	14.2	-1.24
Jonah Bolden	53	51	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.14	0	-8	8	13.1	15.5	-2.46	14.1	13.3	0.77
JJ Redick	77	77	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.25	0	-8	8	13.7	15.8	-2.13	14.0	13.0	1.00
Tobias Harris	79	80	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.29	0	-8	8	14.1	14.7	-0.54	13.8	13.3	0.46
Amir Johnson	12	12	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.10	-7	-1	-6	17.5	13.8	3.68	14.6	13.6	0.99
Jimmy Butler	72	70	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.11	-7	-1	-6	14.4	13.9	0.50	13.5	14.1	-0.52
T.J. McConnell	29	30	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.06	-14	6	-20	16.8	13.3	3.49	12.6	14.2	-1.61
Mike Scott	55	55	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.09	-18	10	-28	15.7	12.6	3.16	13.0	14.6	-1.60

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Taurean Prince	70	72	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.16	7	1	6	13.6	14.0	-0.43	14.4	13.8	0.64
DeAndre' Bembry	48	46	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.21	5	3	2	13.7	13.7	0.04	13.6	14.8	-1.16
John Collins	74	75	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.15	7	1	6	13.6	14.1	-0.55	14.4	14.0	0.40
Trae Young	70	71	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.17	6	2	4	13.5	14.1	-0.52	14.4	13.9	0.50
Kent Bazemore	43	41	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.17	5	3	2	13.5	13.8	-0.30	14.8	13.9	0.84
Justin Anderson	33	32	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.05	8	0	8	15.1	13.1	2.03	15.0	13.9	1.04
Alex Len	31	32	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.13	2	6	-4	12.5	14.2	-1.71	15.4	13.7	1.72
Jaylen Adams	33	32	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.09	2	6	-4	14.1	13.5	0.52	13.9	14.4	-0.50
Kevin Huerter	63	65	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.11	1	7	-6	13.7	13.7	0.01	14.1	14.6	-0.52
Deyonta Davis	39	38	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.07	0	8	-8	13.6	13.8	-0.23	13.8	14.5	-0.73
Isaac Humphries	11	11	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.01	-3	11	-14	15.9	13.4	2.46	10.3	14.7	-4.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.48,0.46,0.34,0.36,0.46,0.58,0.58,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.69,0.66,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.82,0.72,0.81,0.9,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 98, CLE 111	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.48,0.5,0.45,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.9,0.97,0.99,1,1,0.98,1,1	93.6%
NYK 81, CLE 91	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.42,0.47,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.44,0.54,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.52,0.65,0.52,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	93.5%
BOS 100, MIA 108	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.5,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.62,0.59,0.73,0.67,0.6,0.74,0.62,0.7,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,1	93.5%