NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	108		Excitement	5.2 [812]		MVP	Myles Turner (IND): +12.5%
Detroit Pistons	89		Comeback	1.2 [535]		LVP	Tyreke Evans (IND): -14.9%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Myles Turner	0.12	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.13	0.02	0.03	9	68%	0.12	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.02
Doug McDermott	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.03	0.02	7	93%	0.15	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Thaddeus Young	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.14	0.00	0.07	15	68%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
TJ Leaf	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	125%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	12	60%	0.09	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	0.02	0.04	15	50%	0.00	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Aaron Holiday	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	11	32%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	0.01	-0.02	8	33%	-0.00	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Tyreke Evans	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.03	-0.02	13	19%	-0.15	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.15	-0.00	0.05	16	73%	0.13	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.08	-0.02	0.05	16	65%	0.09	4	-0.09	11	55%	-0.05
Reggie Jackson	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	13	57%	0.09	5	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02
Jon Leuer	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Kennard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	-0.01	9	50%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	7	19%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Thon Maker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	4	20%	-0.03	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Bruce Brown	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Langston Galloway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.04	-0.04	11	23%	-0.12	1	0.00	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	1.8	28.2	15.2	30.5	2.4	27.6	133.1
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +18.9%

IND +8.8%

DET -2.8%

IND +23.3%

IND +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	DET	NBA	IND	DET	NBA
this game	15.9	13.9	14.3	111.3	92.7	109.3
season	14.5	15.3		108.4	107.5
opponent	14.0	14.6		109.0	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.3	16.7	14.1	18.8	15.9
DET	12.3	15.3	15.9	12.5	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Domantas Sabonis	52	52	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.11	14	5	9	16.4	15.3	1.03	14.6	13.2	1.37
Aaron Holiday	58	56	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.04	16	3	13	16.2	15.4	0.88	14.1	13.7	0.34
Cory Joseph	70	72	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.14	18	1	17	15.3	17.3	-1.95	13.3	16.0	-2.74
Doug McDermott	41	40	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.11	8	11	-3	16.1	15.7	0.45	14.9	13.3	1.59
Bojan Bogdanovic	72	70	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.19	16	3	13	15.9	15.8	0.17	13.5	15.3	-1.81
TJ Leaf	14	12	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.06	8	11	-3	13.5	16.3	-2.79	12.5	14.2	-1.65
Thaddeus Young	70	69	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.02	5	14	-9	16.5	14.4	2.10	14.4	12.7	1.78
Myles Turner	53	54	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.21	11	8	3	15.1	16.9	-1.79	13.3	14.7	-1.40
Tyreke Evans	55	55	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.11	-1	20	-21	16.1	15.5	0.60	14.3	13.4	0.93

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bruce Brown	29	31	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.02	-1	-18	17	14.4	13.8	0.62	14.2	16.7	-2.49
Wayne Ellington	69	70	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.04	-1	-18	17	14.0	13.8	0.24	16.5	14.2	2.31
Jon Leuer	17	18	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.05	-1	-18	17	15.3	13.7	1.64	14.3	16.3	-1.98
Reggie Jackson	48	49	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.16	-10	-9	-1	12.9	15.0	-2.15	16.3	15.4	0.93
Zaza Pachulia	10	10	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.06	-7	-12	5	13.2	14.0	-0.83	16.0	15.9	0.13
Thon Maker	66	66	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.13	-7	-12	5	14.5	12.7	1.77	15.9	15.8	0.17
Langston Galloway	48	48	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.18	-18	-1	-17	12.3	15.6	-3.23	15.1	16.6	-1.51
Andre Drummond	86	87	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.01	-12	-7	-5	14.0	13.2	0.83	15.9	16.0	-0.13
Ish Smith	52	51	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.01	-16	-3	-13	15.0	12.7	2.34	16.0	15.8	0.24
Luke Kennard	55	55	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	0.12	-22	3	-25	13.9	14.0	-0.13	16.6	14.9	1.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.31,0.35,0.31,0.22,0.17,0.25,0.28,0.27,0.16,0.23,0.22,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.23,0.28,0.23,0.25,0.13,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 90, MIN 79	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.21,0.2,0.28,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.17,0.14,0.2,0.24,0.29,0.21,0.29,0.28,0.21,0.17,0.13,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.2%
DET 90, NJN 75	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.31,0.27,0.28,0.26,0.23,0.19,0.14,0.18,0.26,0.2,0.17,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.26,0.25,0.18,0.12,0.13,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.12,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%
ATL 119, MEM 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.21,0.27,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.24,0.25,0.18,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.28,0.31,0.13,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%