NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	90		Excitement	4.2 [940]		MVP	Otis Thorpe (DET): +11.3%
New Jersey Nets	75		Comeback	1.0 [1190]		LVP	Khalid Reeves (NJN): -15.0%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Otis Thorpe	0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.02	0.01	12	74%	0.13	1	-0.02	7	43%	-0.02
Grant Hill	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.03	-0.03	14	61%	0.12	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.04
Aaron McKie	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	4	60%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Joe Dumars	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	11	46%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Michael Curry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Mills	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	7	43%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	7	55%	-0.01	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Lindsey Hunter	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.02	-0.03	0.05	6	92%	0.05	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ed O'Bannon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	7	57%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yinka Dare	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	-0.02	-0.06	17	42%	0.02	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Jack Haley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.01	18	49%	0.01	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Xavier McDaniel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	0.01	12	37%	-0.08	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Jayson Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.15	-0.03	-0.04	18	28%	-0.13	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
Khalid Reeves	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.06	-0.04	0.05	10	50%	-0.05	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	2.4	22.3	14.6	27.5	1.7	25.2	115.1
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +44.5%

DET +14.8%

NJN -13.8%

DET +3.6%

DET +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	NJN	NBA	DET	NJN	NBA
this game	15.3	18.6	15.6	104.7	89.3	104.4
season	17.1	15.4		107.6	101.7
opponent	14.9	16.2		106.6	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	14.2	16.3	13.4	17.6	15.3
NJN	18.5	20.7	19.6	15.9	18.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lindsey Hunter	64	62	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.06	18	-3	21	14.6	17.4	-2.82	18.7	18.4	0.33
Joe Dumars	67	66	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.02	16	-1	17	14.8	17.2	-2.37	18.6	18.7	-0.15
Otis Thorpe	70	69	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.03	13	2	11	15.0	16.6	-1.61	18.9	17.4	1.47
Theo Ratliff	60	58	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.06	15	0	15	15.3	15.2	0.12	19.2	17.4	1.77
Grant Hill	78	76	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.10	8	7	1	15.3	15.2	0.07	17.9	25.4	-7.48
Aaron McKie	36	35	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.11	4	11	-7	16.6	14.4	2.14	18.5	18.7	-0.26
Terry Mills	38	38	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.17	0	15	-15	16.3	14.5	1.84	18.4	18.8	-0.39
Michael Curry	17	16	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.03	1	14	-13	16.2	15.1	1.15	19.5	18.4	1.10

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jack Haley	9	10	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.07	3	-18	21	12.9	19.3	-6.40	16.4	15.2	1.23
Yinka Dare	3	4	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	-12	9	18.0	18.6	-0.63	11.7	15.5	-3.74
Tony Massenburg	7	7	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.01	-3	-12	9	15.7	18.9	-3.16	13.6	15.5	-1.90
Xavier McDaniel	21	23	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.05	-5	-10	5	18.8	18.5	0.27	14.3	15.7	-1.38
Ed O'Bannon	27	25	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.11	-12	-3	-9	19.7	18.1	1.56	17.1	14.6	2.49
Khalid Reeves	71	71	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.02	-8	-7	-1	18.3	20.1	-1.74	16.2	11.1	5.14
Shawn Bradley	65	67	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.15	-5	-10	5	18.7	18.4	0.31	15.4	15.0	0.40
Kendall Gill	80	82	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.08	-12	-3	-9	18.7	16.2	2.48	15.2	18.2	-3.08
Jayson Williams	64	66	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.05	-14	-1	-13	19.2	16.8	2.31	14.8	16.9	-2.07
Kerry Kittles	73	75	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.04	-16	1	-17	18.8	17.6	1.12	14.9	18.2	-3.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.31,0.27,0.28,0.26,0.23,0.19,0.14,0.18,0.26,0.2,0.17,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.26,0.25,0.18,0.12,0.13,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.12,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 118, VAN 100	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.41,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.21,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.19,0.26,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%
CHA 89, MIN 87	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.5,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.31,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.23,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.24,0.13,0.1,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.1,0.04,0	95.5%
CHI 92, IND 87	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.24,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.2,0.17,0.2,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.19,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.28,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0,0	95.4%