NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	118		Excitement	5.8 [694]		MVP	Jonah Bolden (PHI): +20.1%
Minnesota Timberwolves	109		Comeback	1.1 [1056]		LVP	Jimmy Butler (PHI): -13.4%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jonah Bolden	0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.17	0.05	0.02	10	95%	0.22	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0.13	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.13,0.13	0.09	0.06	0.02	20	56%	0.13	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.01
JJ Redick	0.10	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.03	-0.02	10	64%	0.13	2	-0.03	5	80%	0.02
Ben Simmons	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04	0.02	-0.01	-0.03	11	71%	0.17	5	-0.13	6	67%	-0.01
Amir Johnson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Scott	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	10	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Ennis III	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	6	36%	0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.06
Boban Marjanovic	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	5	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	17	32%	-0.08	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.04	0.00	3	125%	0.15	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Cameron Reynolds	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.06	0.03	5	83%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.01	0.02	18	60%	0.10	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Keita Bates-Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	-0.00	0.02	4	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	9	45%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Josh Okogie	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.00	5	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.04	0.04	8	81%	0.07	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.02,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	0.01	17	50%	-0.03	2	-0.02	8	62%	-0.03
Dario Saric	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	6	29%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.03	11	22%	-0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	2.4	27.2	14.6	25.8	1.7	33.5	126.6
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +40.7%

MIN -5.9%

PHI +19.0%

MIN -10.6%

PHI +6.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	MIN	NBA	PHI	MIN	NBA
this game	14.4	14.1	14.3	116.8	107.9	109.3
season	14.0	14.4		110.9	110.2
opponent	14.0	14.1		111.8	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	12.0	15.4	14.8	15.9	14.4
MIN	13.7	14.0	15.8	13.0	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonah Bolden	66	67	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.06	22	-13	35	13.8	15.7	-1.99	14.1	14.1	0.02
Ben Simmons	79	78	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.03	20	-11	31	13.8	16.9	-3.15	14.4	13.0	1.38
JJ Redick	71	70	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.02	16	-7	23	13.9	15.8	-1.97	14.4	13.4	0.94
Tobias Harris	82	84	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.35	4	5	-1	14.7	13.5	1.13	13.7	15.8	-2.04
Jimmy Butler	73	76	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.30	4	5	-1	14.9	13.2	1.70	13.7	15.1	-1.34
James Ennis III	37	34	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.00	6	3	3	13.5	15.0	-1.56	14.8	13.7	1.05
Boban Marjanovic	16	16	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.10	-3	12	-15	14.8	14.4	0.44	13.7	14.1	-0.38
Mike Scott	40	39	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.04	-3	12	-15	15.1	14.0	1.08	14.3	13.9	0.43
T.J. McConnell	22	23	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.21	-11	20	-31	16.9	13.8	3.15	13.0	14.4	-1.38
Amir Johnson	19	18	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	0.08	-10	19	-29	16.5	14.0	2.56	14.3	14.0	0.32

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keita Bates-Diop	41	43	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.04	3	-12	15	14.7	13.7	0.99	15.0	14.1	0.88
Gorgui Dieng	32	33	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.20	7	-16	23	14.2	14.0	0.26	14.7	14.3	0.42
Cameron Reynolds	37	37	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.23	2	-11	13	13.4	14.4	-1.01	15.3	14.0	1.30
Tyus Jones	48	47	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.08	-3	-6	3	14.2	13.9	0.26	13.9	14.9	-1.03
Anthony Tolliver	48	50	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.05	-5	-4	-1	14.1	14.1	-0.01	14.3	14.6	-0.25
Dario Saric	53	51	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.18	-4	-5	1	14.1	14.1	0.01	14.6	14.3	0.25
Jerryd Bayless	53	54	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.15	-6	-3	-3	13.9	14.2	-0.26	14.9	13.9	1.03
Josh Okogie	46	47	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.12	-18	9	-27	14.5	13.7	0.83	13.0	15.7	-2.62
Andrew Wiggins	78	75	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.33	-5	-4	-1	13.8	15.0	-1.21	14.6	13.9	0.70
Karl-Anthony Towns	69	68	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.03	-16	7	-23	14.0	14.2	-0.26	14.3	14.7	-0.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.35,0.25,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.21,0.15,0.12,0.16,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.09,0.1,0.15,0.18,0.27,0.2,0.21,0.19,0.27,0.15,0.16,0.01,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 101, NOH 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.28,0.22,0.18,0.16,0.21,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.17,0.24,0.13,0.09,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.17,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.28,0.19,0.15,0.07,0,0	94.4%
IND 102, GSW 94	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.27,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.25,0.17,0.14,0.16,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.13,0.16,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.16,0.14,0.22,0.16,0.2,0.16,0.13,0.19,0.26,0.29,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.22,0.29,0.07,0.09,0.01,0	94.4%
WAS 97, IND 90	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.18,0.19,0.13,0.09,0.28,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.14,0.03,0.03,0.02,0	94.0%