NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	101		Excitement	5.0 [809]		MVP	Keith Bogans (BKN): +20.1%
New Orleans Hornets	97		Comeback	1.1 [598]		LVP	Eric Gordon (NOH): -16.9%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keith Bogans	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.14	0.07	0.01	4	133%	0.22	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.14	0.10	0.04	-0.00	14	67%	0.16	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
CJ Watson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	7	62%	0.09	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Gerald Wallace	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	6	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0	0.10	-0.06	0.05	21	63%	0.09	4	-0.09	10	90%	0.03
Andray Blatche	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	9	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
MarShon Brooks	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	8	44%	-0.00	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Mirza Teletovic	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	4	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.01	4	87%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	0.00	0.04	9	61%	0.04	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	-0.00	6	53%	0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	4	87%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	60%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	8	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lance Thomas	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.04	0.03	11	54%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Greivis Vasquez	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	0.04	20	49%	-0.01	3	-0.05	1	0%	-0.04
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.09	-0.06	0.01	15	31%	-0.15	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	2.5	29.3	15.4	25.4	2.4	36.4	134.3
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +42.4%

BKN +1.6%

BKN +12.2%

NOH -12.8%

BKN +6.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	NOH	NBA	BKN	NOH	NBA
this game	18.9	14.4	15.4	117.4	111.5	104.1
season	16.5	16.3		106.5	103.9
opponent	15.6	15.4		108.1	104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	17.0	19.3	21.1	18.6	18.9
NOH	15.7	14.3	15.7	12.2	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Deron Williams	68	72	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.26	7	-3	10	18.1	22.2	-4.11	14.0	16.5	-2.57
Keith Bogans	36	37	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.20	7	-3	10	18.9	19.0	-0.10	13.2	15.3	-2.02
Brook Lopez	55	55	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.30	3	1	2	18.8	19.1	-0.23	14.9	13.6	1.28
Gerald Wallace	61	62	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.47	-3	7	-10	18.4	20.2	-1.75	14.3	14.6	-0.22
Kris Humphries	38	36	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.03	12	-8	20	19.4	18.5	0.95	14.7	14.2	0.45
Reggie Evans	43	45	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.41	-5	9	-14	19.0	18.8	0.21	14.1	14.7	-0.56
CJ Watson	57	54	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.28	-3	7	-10	19.5	17.9	1.59	15.1	13.2	1.97
Andray Blatche	27	28	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.04	5	-1	6	20.3	18.3	2.01	14.4	14.4	-0.01
MarShon Brooks	41	41	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.10	-1	5	-6	19.2	18.7	0.48	14.5	14.3	0.16
Mirza Teletovic	4	5	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.02	-2	6	-8	17.2	19.0	-1.75	16.8	14.3	2.54

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Davis	35	35	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.14	3	-7	10	16.1	13.3	2.77	20.5	17.9	2.59
Brian Roberts	18	18	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.05	0	-4	4	12.6	14.9	-2.26	18.3	19.1	-0.74
Lance Thomas	9	10	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	-1	-2	14.7	14.4	0.29	18.6	19.0	-0.36
Jason Smith	28	29	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.16	3	-7	10	14.7	14.3	0.41	20.8	18.0	2.78
Austin Rivers	32	33	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.18	2	-6	8	13.7	14.8	-1.08	19.8	18.4	1.46
Al-Farouq Aminu	51	50	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.13	-2	-2	0	15.5	12.9	2.63	19.0	18.9	0.10
Eric Gordon	54	52	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.35	1	-5	6	14.5	14.2	0.36	18.4	19.7	-1.25
Robin Lopez	54	51	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.23	-5	1	-6	14.4	14.5	-0.13	18.0	20.3	-2.31
Roger Mason Jr.	31	31	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.14	-8	4	-12	13.8	14.7	-0.93	19.8	18.4	1.44
Greivis Vasquez	66	64	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.32	-2	-2	0	14.5	14.0	0.47	18.6	19.9	-1.27
Ryan Anderson	57	57	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.24	-9	5	-14	13.3	16.5	-3.20	17.9	21.0	-3.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.28,0.22,0.18,0.16,0.21,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.17,0.24,0.13,0.09,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.17,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.28,0.19,0.15,0.07,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 93, BOS 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.15,0.22,0.15,0.14,0.18,0.3,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.33,0.31,0.15,0.22,0.05,0	94.4%
PHI 118, MIN 109	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.35,0.25,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.21,0.15,0.12,0.16,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.09,0.1,0.15,0.18,0.27,0.2,0.21,0.19,0.27,0.15,0.16,0.01,0.04,0	94.4%
NJN 101, DEN 92	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.22,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.17,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.22,0.15,0.16,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.22,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.14,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.14,0.07,0.04,0,0	94.3%