inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 99 Excitement9.4 [135] MVPHassan Whiteside (MIA): +21.2%
Miami Heat 105 Comeback4.2 [519] LVPLuka Doncic (DAL): -30.4%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Justin Jackson0.160,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.160.100.070.001070%0.1600.0000%0.00
Maxi Kleber0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.020.05-0.00283%0.101-0.022100%0.02
Dirk Nowitzki0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.050.040.020.011350%0.0500.0000%0.00
Devin Harris0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.01344%0.0100.00367%-0.01
Dwight Powell0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.010.03-0.020.001050%0.0100.002100%0.02
Dorian Finney-Smith0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.010.00333%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ryan Broekhoff-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,00.03-0.03-0.00675%0.062-0.0600%0.00
Salah Mejri-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.020.00540%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Trey Burke-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.03-0.01831%-0.041-0.0400%0.00
Jalen Brunson-0.110,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,0,0,0,-0.11,-0.11-0.01-0.090.001150%0.012-0.12425%-0.06
Courtney Lee-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.07-0.060.0030%-0.091-0.0400%0.00
Luka Doncic-0.300,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.25,-0.3-0.11-0.22-0.031845%-0.106-0.21667%-0.04

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Hassan Whiteside0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.210.210.100.11-0.00675%0.2100.00450%-0.01
James Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.050.02-0.00575%0.091-0.02250%-0.03
Goran Dragic0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.07,0.070.070.030.050.011756%0.213-0.14771%-0.02
Derrick Jones Jr.0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.03-0.010.01660%0.031-0.023100%0.01
Duncan Robinson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.030.04-0.00932%0.0100.001100%0.00
Kelly Olynyk0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.01-0.00647%0.021-0.033100%0.01
Bam Adebayo0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.010.00955%0.032-0.05250%-0.01
Dwyane Wade0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.05,-0.13,-0.1-0.10-0.06-0.030.011437%-0.081-0.022100%0.03
Dion Waiters0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.100.01-0.11-0.001746%-0.071-0.04367%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.42.326.415.526.62.331.9128.4
league avg25.32.227.814.627.62.231.9132.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +11.5%
MIA +20.9%
MIA +8.3%
MIA +9.8%
DAL -0.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALMIANBADALMIANBA
this game14.613.614.398.0101.9109.3
season14.714.8108.5106.3
opponent14.314.1106.7109.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL15.312.315.315.914.6
MIA13.014.413.513.513.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Devin Harris21210.21-0.710.91-0.0910-162613.015.0-2.0013.713.60.13
Salah Mejri27300.10-0.600.700.013-91213.315.1-1.8314.313.31.02
Dorian Finney-Smith12120.06-0.560.620.031-7810.815.1-4.3112.413.8-1.35
Maxi Kleber3738-0.03-0.470.43-0.309-152414.814.50.2815.712.43.24
Trey Burke3438-0.14-0.360.22-0.11-1-5414.614.60.0213.513.7-0.18
Ryan Broekhoff3032-0.19-0.310.11-0.14-2-4214.714.60.1413.013.9-0.89
Justin Jackson7070-0.27-0.23-0.03-0.21-2-4214.614.7-0.1113.912.91.03
Courtney Lee1315-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.07-93-1217.714.23.5112.313.8-1.57
Jalen Brunson6968-0.37-0.13-0.23-0.19-60-614.614.7-0.1213.413.9-0.50
Dirk Nowitzki5958-0.40-0.10-0.31-0.05-126-1815.313.71.6612.814.7-1.87
Luka Doncic6565-0.43-0.07-0.37-0.20-82-1014.614.7-0.1813.913.10.89
Dwight Powell6868-0.700.20-0.90-0.32-137-2015.113.61.5313.214.4-1.24

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Goran Dragic78770.64-0.140.790.3510-41413.912.71.1815.511.83.73
Bam Adebayo64650.430.070.370.179-31213.014.6-1.6214.514.9-0.35
Dion Waiters74720.380.120.260.2060613.513.9-0.4013.916.4-2.45
James Johnson61590.380.120.260.3806-614.312.61.6414.714.50.27
Dwyane Wade60590.320.180.150.3206-613.713.40.3314.414.9-0.50
Derrick Jones Jr.42420.120.38-0.25-0.0560611.714.9-3.2413.815.3-1.49
Duncan Robinson44420.100.40-0.300.0715-414.413.01.4315.414.11.36
Hassan Whiteside39360.070.43-0.370.15-39-1214.613.01.6214.914.50.35
Kelly Olynyk53530.050.45-0.400.0215-413.314.0-0.7214.514.8-0.34


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.28,0.25,0.29,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.23,0.4,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.45,0.31,0.27,0.29,0.33,0.22,0.3,0.35,0.47,0.37,0.57,0.59,0.67,0.55,0.46,0.55,0.83,1
GameSimilarity Score
DET 91, LAC 970.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.28,0.22,0.27,0.31,0.37,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.18,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.59,0.71,0.54,0.45,0.36,0.68,0.73,191.2%
CLE 78, MEM 840.5,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.32,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.25,0.3,0.28,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.3,0.33,0.36,0.22,0.3,0.38,0.42,0.32,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.55,0.77,0.91,191.1%
LAL 92, GSW 930.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.42,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.31,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.38,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.28,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.29,0.45,0.74,190.7%