NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	78		Excitement	7.4 [338]		MVP	Quincy Pondexter (MEM): +18.9%
Memphis Grizzlies	84		Comeback	4.0 [648]		LVP	Dion Waiters (CLE): -20.1%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Samardo Samuels	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.03	0.00	5	67%	0.09	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Daniel Gibson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.03	-0.01	10	48%	0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Anderson Varejao	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	11	62%	0.09	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Alonzo Gee	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02	-0.05	0.03	0.00	11	41%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Zeller	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Omri Casspi	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	3	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Pargo	-0.09	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.03	12	37%	-0.06	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.19,-0.19	-0.03	-0.16	0.00	7	56%	-0.01	3	-0.18	2	50%	-0.01
Dion Waiters	-0.20	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2	-0.07	-0.14	-0.02	16	39%	-0.11	2	-0.09	6	83%	0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quincy Pondexter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.09	0.10	0.00	6	83%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.04	0.01	10	76%	0.20	3	-0.07	5	100%	0.04
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	9	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.04
Josh Selby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.05	-0.00	11	68%	0.17	5	-0.21	6	50%	-0.03
Rudy Gay	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.1,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	0.02	13	54%	0.04	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Arthur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	5	20%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.19	-0.19	-0.10	-0.07	0.01	11	36%	-0.11	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	1.8	28.1	15.5	26.5	2.6	31.1	127.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +32.3%

MEM +5.2%

CLE -7.1%

MEM +17.1%

MEM +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	MEM	NBA	CLE	MEM	NBA
this game	17.6	16.3	15.4	91.8	98.8	104.1
season	15.5	16.5		102.5	102.9
opponent	15.5	15.2		99.1	107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.9	17.5	19.5	18.9	17.6
MEM	18.7	14.6	15.0	17.1	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyler Zeller	23	25	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.04	5	-11	16	15.0	18.6	-3.66	17.1	15.9	1.16
Omri Casspi	28	26	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.08	4	-10	14	16.8	18.0	-1.20	17.2	15.8	1.40
Samardo Samuels	25	24	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.01	-3	-3	0	18.4	17.3	1.10	13.5	17.3	-3.84
Jeremy Pargo	56	56	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	-1	-4	17.4	18.0	-0.52	16.0	16.7	-0.71
Anderson Varejao	66	66	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.29	-3	-3	0	17.7	17.5	0.19	16.1	16.7	-0.62
Daniel Gibson	52	51	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.41	-1	-5	4	17.7	17.5	0.28	17.1	14.9	2.20
Dion Waiters	62	63	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.28	-6	0	-6	17.7	17.4	0.26	15.8	17.7	-1.92
Alonzo Gee	57	59	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.24	-10	4	-14	18.0	16.8	1.20	15.8	17.2	-1.40
Tristan Thompson	56	55	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.32	-11	5	-16	18.3	16.3	2.05	17.3	14.4	2.82

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zach Randolph	63	64	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.33	12	-6	18	17.0	14.3	2.68	17.2	19.0	-1.76
Jerryd Bayless	61	63	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.41	9	-3	12	16.8	15.0	1.81	16.6	20.6	-4.06
Tony Allen	53	52	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.30	11	-5	16	15.9	16.9	-1.04	17.6	17.7	-0.12
Rudy Gay	74	75	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.34	8	-2	10	16.1	17.1	-0.96	17.7	17.3	0.37
Marc Gasol	64	64	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.26	5	1	4	15.7	18.0	-2.31	18.3	15.5	2.85
Darrell Arthur	33	33	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.04	-1	7	-8	15.0	17.1	-2.06	18.3	17.2	1.16
Josh Selby	7	8	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	-0.02	-2	8	-10	15.9	16.3	-0.44	18.2	17.6	0.69
Marreese Speights	10	9	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.03	-4	10	-14	19.7	15.8	3.90	13.1	18.2	-5.05
Wayne Ellington	20	18	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.09	-2	8	-10	15.3	16.6	-1.25	21.0	16.7	4.28
Quincy Pondexter	40	39	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.02	-6	12	-18	16.8	15.8	0.97	17.6	17.6	-0.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.32,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.25,0.3,0.28,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.3,0.33,0.36,0.22,0.3,0.38,0.42,0.32,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.55,0.77,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 91, DET 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.34,0.27,0.31,0.33,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.28,0.22,0.25,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.3,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.41,0.27,0.39,0.54,0.68,0.95,1	92.2%
VAN 102, POR 108	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.23,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.2,0.21,0.3,0.22,0.3,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.66,0.62,0.55,0.68,0.92,1	91.5%
MIN 87, LAC 95	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.3,0.31,0.29,0.26,0.23,0.27,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.2,0.24,0.3,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.26,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.65,0.61,0.38,0.63,0.86,0.95,1	91.4%