NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	120		Excitement	6.2 [618]		MVP	Jaylen Brown (BOS): +25.1%
Boston Celtics	129		Comeback	1.4 [1021]		LVP	John Collins (ATL): -9.0%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kent Bazemore	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.03	-0.01	6	67%	0.11	0	0.00	6	100%	0.05
Taurean Prince	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.03	13	57%	0.06	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Alex Len	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Jaylen Adams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.10	-0.07	0.04	11	73%	0.06	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre' Bembry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dewayne Dedmon	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02	-0.09	0.04	-0.03	10	24%	0.00	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Trae Young	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.17,0.17,0.09,0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.07	-0.06	0.04	17	72%	0.19	6	-0.22	2	50%	-0.02
Kevin Huerter	-0.06	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	13	38%	-0.01	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
John Collins	-0.09	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	0.01	19	43%	-0.03	3	-0.06	9	67%	-0.02

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jaylen Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.17	0.09	0.01	14	68%	0.25	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.03	0.02	24	59%	0.11	3	-0.01	3	67%	0.01
Marcus Morris	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	-0.04	14	56%	0.16	3	-0.11	6	83%	0.02
Aron Baynes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	83%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jayson Tatum	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.02	15	53%	0.07	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Marcus Smart	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.12	-0.03	0.06	9	73%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Daniel Theis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Semi Ojeleye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Gordon Hayward	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	8	45%	0.03	3	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Terry Rozier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	5	36%	-0.02	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	1.6	27.5	15.3	28.5	2.6	37.3	139.9
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +30.8%

ATL -0.2%

ATL -2.5%

BOS +18.9%

BOS +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	BOS	NBA	ATL	BOS	NBA
this game	14.3	12.5	14.3	112.1	119.4	109.3
season	13.6	13.9		107.2	109.9
opponent	14.7	13.9		106.3	112.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	13.8	15.0	14.3	14.0	14.3
BOS	11.4	13.8	12.9	12.2	12.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeAndre' Bembry	40	40	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.06	5	-14	19	13.8	14.5	-0.74	14.7	11.3	3.44
Jaylen Adams	28	28	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.26	11	-20	31	14.1	14.3	-0.21	16.4	11.2	5.25
John Collins	77	76	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.00	-3	-6	3	14.4	13.9	0.46	12.7	12.2	0.41
Kent Bazemore	43	45	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.27	2	-11	13	14.9	13.8	1.08	14.4	11.2	3.23
Alex Len	24	24	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.04	-6	-3	-3	13.6	14.5	-0.87	12.0	12.7	-0.69
Vince Carter	43	44	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.29	0	-9	9	14.5	14.1	0.38	14.0	11.5	2.51
Kevin Huerter	66	67	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.03	-13	4	-17	13.8	15.0	-1.24	11.0	15.0	-3.93
Dewayne Dedmon	70	71	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.16	-8	-1	-7	14.2	14.4	-0.14	11.7	14.2	-2.47
Trae Young	73	72	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.06	-16	7	-23	14.4	13.9	0.56	11.4	14.8	-3.44
Taurean Prince	71	73	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.08	-17	8	-25	14.5	13.9	0.56	11.2	15.4	-4.19

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Horford	64	63	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.18	11	-2	13	12.0	13.4	-1.39	15.2	12.9	2.30
Jaylen Brown	60	56	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.39	3	6	-3	12.7	12.3	0.40	14.4	14.1	0.35
Marcus Morris	74	75	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.08	13	-4	17	12.0	13.7	-1.66	14.8	13.0	1.80
Kyrie Irving	86	84	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.07	13	-4	17	11.3	17.3	-6.00	13.9	15.5	-1.55
Marcus Smart	80	80	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.05	10	-1	11	11.7	15.0	-3.37	14.3	14.0	0.35
Aron Baynes	42	41	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.25	18	-9	27	11.6	13.1	-1.46	13.4	14.8	-1.37
Terry Rozier	32	33	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.19	-3	12	-15	15.4	11.3	4.12	15.1	13.9	1.20
Gordon Hayward	1	2	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.07	5	4	1	12.0	12.5	-0.54	23.5	14.1	9.41
Jayson Tatum	74	74	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.07	0	9	-9	12.7	12.1	0.66	13.6	15.7	-2.03
Daniel Theis	17	17	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.27	-13	22	-35	17.5	11.6	5.93	12.4	14.6	-2.27
Semi Ojeleye	10	10	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.21	-12	21	-33	21.0	11.7	9.33	12.2	14.5	-2.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.77,0.81,0.8,0.76,0.75,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.9,0.93,0.89,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.94,0.91,0.91,0.86,0.85,0.69,0.59,0.66,0.9,0.95,0.99,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 101, DAL 107	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.96,0.94,0.88,0.69,0.76,0.73,0.9,0.96,0.9,0.85,1	93.3%
TOR 98, IND 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.68,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.8,0.81,0.71,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.86,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.81,0.85,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.86,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.9,0.92,0.98,1,1	93.3%
BOS 82, PHI 88	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.69,0.74,0.73,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.82,0.82,0.92,0.94,0.85,0.81,0.85,0.8,0.68,0.64,0.59,0.66,0.76,0.93,0.98,0.99,1	93.3%