NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	101		Excitement	5.0 [824]		MVP	Cartier Martin (WAS): +28.3%
Dallas Mavericks	107		Comeback	1.4 [1152]		LVP	Darren Collison (DAL): -11.7%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cartier Martin	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.14,0.14,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.28	0.16	0.13	0.01	6	117%	0.28	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.05	0.02	10	80%	0.16	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
A.J. Price	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	7	79%	0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Earl Barron	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	5	58%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Martell Webster	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	6	53%	0.03	3	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Chris Singleton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jan Vesely	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	8	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	7	29%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bradley Beal	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	14	29%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Crawford	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.06	-0.05	0.09	11	75%	0.03	5	-0.11	6	100%	0.01
Jannero Pargo	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	3	33%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.22	0.22	0.11	0.10	-0.01	15	66%	0.25	2	-0.03	8	75%	-0.01
Chris Kaman	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1	0.10	0.16	0.00	0.06	12	85%	0.17	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.11	0.00	0.02	5	86%	0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	5	71%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Elton Brand	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.04	10	44%	0.05	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.00
Rodrigue Beaubois	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.02	-0.03	7	29%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Cunningham	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.03	0.00	8	37%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Bernard James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.13,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.05	-0.03	10	35%	-0.04	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	1.7	29.4	15.7	27.4	2.5	32.2	133.2
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +0.3%

DAL +16.0%

DAL +21.2%

DAL +7.7%

DAL +4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	DAL	NBA	WAS	DAL	NBA
this game	16.0	16.2	15.4	113.5	118.9	104.1
season	15.1	14.5		98.8	104.3
opponent	15.6	15.7		105.0	101.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	16.3	17.2	16.9	13.4	16.0
DAL	15.6	12.3	16.6	20.9	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cartier Martin	16	17	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.37	13	-19	32	13.5	16.6	-3.06	21.6	14.9	6.68
Jannero Pargo	29	30	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.45	15	-21	36	14.3	16.8	-2.52	19.7	14.4	5.25
Earl Barron	7	7	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-6	6	13.6	16.2	-2.65	17.0	16.1	0.90
Jan Vesely	28	28	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.44	14	-20	34	13.7	17.1	-3.35	19.5	14.7	4.84
Chris Singleton	18	20	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.15	-10	4	-14	14.6	16.4	-1.82	16.6	16.0	0.62
Martell Webster	33	33	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.01	-7	1	-8	15.6	16.3	-0.69	15.7	16.4	-0.74
Kevin Seraphin	41	42	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.34	4	-10	14	14.6	17.2	-2.55	17.1	15.3	1.83
Emeka Okafor	40	40	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.02	-7	1	-8	18.0	14.4	3.61	15.2	16.9	-1.70
Jordan Crawford	63	64	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.50	9	-15	24	14.8	18.9	-4.06	17.5	12.9	4.62
Trevor Ariza	37	37	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.07	-12	6	-18	17.7	14.8	2.94	14.1	17.6	-3.59
A.J. Price	36	36	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.14	-16	10	-26	16.9	15.4	1.52	14.0	17.6	-3.66
Trevor Booker	44	43	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.09	-16	10	-26	17.8	14.2	3.57	13.7	18.4	-4.68
Bradley Beal	53	53	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.09	-17	11	-28	17.7	13.6	4.08	14.0	19.3	-5.36

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darren Collison	63	61	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.15	10	-4	14	15.9	16.7	-0.82	16.3	15.4	0.95
Chris Kaman	59	59	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.20	8	-2	10	16.1	16.4	-0.29	16.5	15.0	1.48
Elton Brand	56	55	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.19	8	-2	10	15.9	16.6	-0.63	16.6	15.0	1.59
Jae Crowder	42	41	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.00	13	-7	20	14.3	17.8	-3.48	15.8	16.2	-0.43
O.J. Mayo	69	70	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.37	0	6	-6	16.4	15.3	1.09	16.4	14.5	1.89
Vince Carter	41	39	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.23	-2	8	-10	18.6	14.1	4.49	14.2	17.4	-3.17
Dahntay Jones	28	28	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.04	1	5	-4	14.7	16.8	-2.06	17.8	15.2	2.64
Troy Murphy	34	34	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.12	-2	8	-10	16.8	15.8	1.06	15.1	16.6	-1.49
Bernard James	30	29	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.12	-2	8	-10	16.6	15.9	0.65	15.0	16.5	-1.55
Rodrigue Beaubois	27	28	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.17	-4	10	-14	16.7	15.9	0.82	15.4	16.3	-0.95
Jared Cunningham	1	1	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.01	0	6	-6	0.0	16.3	-16.35	15.0	16.0	-1.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.96,0.94,0.88,0.69,0.76,0.73,0.9,0.96,0.9,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 89, GSW 99	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.61,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.75,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.86,0.92,0.9,0.95,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.89,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.94,1,1	93.8%
CLE 92, LAL 97	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.71,0.83,0.83,0.89,0.93,0.91,0.86,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.87,0.88,0.84,0.83,0.89,0.95,0.92,0.9,0.88,0.83,0.72,0.69,0.76,0.82,0.93,0.93,0.99,1,1	93.4%
ATL 120, BOS 129	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.77,0.81,0.8,0.76,0.75,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.9,0.93,0.89,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.94,0.91,0.91,0.86,0.85,0.69,0.59,0.66,0.9,0.95,0.99,0.96,1	93.3%