NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	98		Excitement	5.1 [641]		MVP	Leandro Barbosa (IND): +13.5%
Indiana Pacers	103		Comeback	1.2 [993]		LVP	James Johnson (TOR): -10.9%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Linas Kleiza	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13	0.09	0.03	-0.00	10	60%	0.13	0	0.00	10	100%	0.07
Alan Anderson	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.00	0.00	9	85%	0.14	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Amir Johnson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.13	0.00	0.07	9	80%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jamaal Magloire	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	7	61%	0.04	2	-0.05	4	25%	-0.04
Ben Uzoh	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Aaron Gray	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.02	5	42%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jose Calderon	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05	0.01	-0.00	0.06	6	67%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Gary Forbes	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	10	45%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	12	38%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
James Johnson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	6	33%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.05	-0.01	9	70%	0.16	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
George Hill	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1	0.10	0.14	0.01	0.05	9	72%	0.10	0	0.00	7	100%	0.02
Danny Granger	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.03	-0.00	14	62%	0.11	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Paul George	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.01	9	62%	0.07	1	-0.02	6	67%	0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.03	4	43%	0.02	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David West	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	8	53%	0.06	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Roy Hibbert	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.02	-0.01	5	50%	0.04	3	-0.05	6	67%	-0.02
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
A.J. Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	4	62%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.5	32.8	16.0	27.4	2.6	36.3	139.9
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +36.2%

IND +7.6%

IND +5.9%

TOR -3.0%

IND +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	IND	NBA	TOR	IND	NBA
this game	17.2	14.6	15.6	107.7	114.4	102.8
season	16.5	15.7		98.9	104.2
opponent	15.6	15.2		101.1	102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	18.5	17.3	17.1	16.0	17.2
IND	13.4	13.4	15.6	16.0	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Uzoh	15	14	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.05	1	-6	7	13.0	18.1	-5.08	12.1	15.0	-2.95
Ed Davis	35	35	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.07	1	-6	7	15.0	18.7	-3.69	13.9	15.0	-1.16
Linas Kleiza	31	32	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.27	5	-10	15	15.3	18.3	-3.01	14.9	14.4	0.53
Jamaal Magloire	12	10	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.08	-7	2	-9	20.0	16.8	3.18	15.1	14.5	0.60
Gary Forbes	42	39	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.12	-3	-2	-1	17.0	17.4	-0.40	14.0	15.0	-1.05
James Johnson	37	36	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.09	-6	1	-7	15.8	18.2	-2.46	14.6	14.5	0.07
Alan Anderson	51	52	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.01	-9	4	-13	16.6	18.0	-1.44	13.7	15.8	-2.07
Amir Johnson	60	59	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.28	-1	-4	3	18.2	15.3	2.96	14.5	14.8	-0.32
Aaron Gray	43	44	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.34	0	-5	5	18.6	16.0	2.54	15.3	13.8	1.47
Jose Calderon	69	70	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.34	-1	-4	3	18.1	14.6	3.50	15.3	12.0	3.24
DeMar DeRozan	60	59	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.29	-5	0	-5	18.7	14.3	4.43	15.1	13.5	1.65

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyler Hansbrough	38	40	0.51	-0.01	0.53	-0.10	21	-16	37	13.6	15.2	-1.62	15.8	18.4	-2.53
Paul George	52	53	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.35	0	5	-5	15.2	13.7	1.44	18.6	15.4	3.17
George Hill	62	65	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.32	1	4	-3	15.4	12.8	2.53	18.7	13.6	5.13
Roy Hibbert	53	51	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.32	1	4	-3	15.5	13.2	2.34	19.3	14.6	4.67
Leandro Barbosa	45	45	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.16	4	1	3	14.4	14.7	-0.29	15.4	19.1	-3.69
Danny Granger	56	56	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.25	-2	7	-9	14.6	14.4	0.20	18.6	15.1	3.46
Dahntay Jones	28	30	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.03	7	-2	9	13.0	15.3	-2.22	14.4	18.6	-4.24
A.J. Price	28	26	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.04	4	1	3	12.8	15.4	-2.53	13.6	18.7	-5.13
David West	56	57	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.38	-8	13	-21	15.0	13.9	1.05	18.5	15.1	3.34
Lou Amundson	32	32	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	8	-11	13.8	15.0	-1.17	14.3	18.8	-4.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.68,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.8,0.81,0.71,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.86,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.81,0.85,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.86,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.9,0.92,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 99, SEA 113	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.7,0.77,0.81,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.76,0.82,0.78,0.85,0.88,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.85,0.89,0.84,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.89,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.97,1,1	94.6%
MIN 97, CLE 107	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.44,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.84,0.84,0.8,0.73,0.79,0.74,0.8,0.89,0.83,0.83,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.91,0.87,0.8,0.87,0.96,0.95,1,1,1	94.4%
POR 77, UTA 86	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.69,0.78,0.8,0.85,0.8,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.89,0.88,0.84,0.93,0.9,0.98,1,1	94.2%