NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	111		Excitement	3.8 [1073]		MVP	CJ Miles (MEM): +26.2%
Atlanta Hawks	132		Comeback	1.0 [781]		LVP	Jonas Valanciunas (MEM): -7.8%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ Miles	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.28	0.03	0.04	16	92%	0.27	2	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	0.00	0.03	7	71%	0.06	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Mike Conley	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.09	-0.01	0.06	14	56%	0.05	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.02
Bruno Caboclo	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	75%	0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Dorsey	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	7	57%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chandler Parsons	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Holiday	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	6	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ivan Rabb	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	5	29%	-0.03	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.00
Delon Wright	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	12	36%	-0.02	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.01
Avery Bradley	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	8	29%	-0.02	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Jonas Valanciunas	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	0.01	8	44%	-0.01	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trae Young	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.20	0.00	0.06	12	81%	0.14	0	0.00	3	100%	-0.00
Alex Len	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.03	0.02	13	67%	0.14	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Kevin Huerter	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.12	0.00	0.01	10	80%	0.11	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Taurean Prince	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.02	-0.00	11	68%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.16	0.01	0.08	17	69%	0.10	1	-0.01	5	80%	0.01
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.02	8	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Zeller	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
BJ Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
DeAndre' Bembry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	-0.00	-0.06	3	33%	0.01	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dewayne Dedmon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	9	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Adams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	7	57%	-0.01	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.11	0.00	-0.07	6	0%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.3	27.4	14.8	29.8	1.7	27.3	128.6
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +40.4%

MEM -11.6%

ATL +13.5%

ATL +7.3%

ATL +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	ATL	NBA	MEM	ATL	NBA
this game	15.0	13.4	14.3	109.9	129.4	109.3
season	15.4	13.6		105.4	107.2
opponent	13.9	14.2		112.6	107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	15.3	16.1	14.2	14.4	15.0
ATL	12.9	14.0	14.0	12.7	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bruno Caboclo	23	21	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.20	7	-28	35	12.3	15.8	-3.52	14.8	13.0	1.77
Chandler Parsons	32	33	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.21	-7	-14	7	16.3	14.4	1.90	12.0	14.1	-2.12
CJ Miles	69	71	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.23	6	-27	33	13.7	17.7	-4.05	13.7	12.6	1.09
Tyler Dorsey	45	45	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-19	17	13.7	16.0	-2.33	12.6	14.0	-1.36
Delon Wright	66	66	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.22	4	-25	29	13.5	17.7	-4.14	13.7	12.9	0.71
Joakim Noah	50	53	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.08	-4	-17	13	13.5	16.5	-3.01	13.9	12.9	0.97
Ivan Rabb	51	51	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.15	-16	-5	-11	16.1	13.8	2.34	13.5	13.3	0.18
Jonas Valanciunas	40	39	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.37	-24	3	-27	18.2	12.9	5.37	12.4	14.0	-1.56
Mike Conley	53	55	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.20	-21	0	-21	15.7	14.2	1.43	13.4	13.4	-0.08
Justin Holiday	37	36	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.17	-21	0	-21	16.7	14.0	2.68	13.8	13.2	0.67
Avery Bradley	39	40	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	0.23	-27	6	-33	16.3	14.2	2.12	13.6	13.3	0.28

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Huerter	57	55	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.57	35	-14	49	12.5	14.6	-2.06	17.5	12.0	5.51
Trae Young	52	49	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.29	25	-4	29	13.3	13.5	-0.19	16.5	13.6	2.93
John Collins	53	52	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.41	28	-7	35	13.0	13.8	-0.84	17.4	12.4	5.04
Taurean Prince	52	51	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.21	21	0	21	13.4	13.4	0.00	16.0	14.0	1.98
Dewayne Dedmon	43	43	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.40	26	-5	31	12.5	14.1	-1.54	18.1	12.7	5.38
Alex Len	50	49	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.11	1	20	-19	14.1	12.7	1.41	13.2	16.6	-3.41
DeAndre' Bembry	50	50	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.10	0	21	-21	13.4	13.4	-0.00	14.0	16.0	-1.98
Vince Carter	36	35	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.12	-1	22	-23	13.5	13.4	0.11	12.7	16.2	-3.55
Jaylen Adams	50	52	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.17	-4	25	-29	13.5	13.3	0.19	13.6	16.5	-2.93
Kent Bazemore	36	37	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.28	-8	29	-37	14.8	12.7	2.13	12.5	16.4	-3.89
Justin Anderson	13	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	27	-33	14.8	13.2	1.66	11.7	15.5	-3.79
Tyler Zeller	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	27	-33	13.7	13.4	0.29	9.8	15.5	-5.71
BJ Johnson	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	27	-33	13.7	13.4	0.29	9.8	15.5	-5.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.63,0.7,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.65,0.66,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.62,0.78,0.82,0.88,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 85, HOU 91	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.68,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,0.97,0.96,0.91,0.99,1	96.2%
HOU 94, SEA 118	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.66,0.73,0.77,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.73,0.82,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
MEM 95, NOP 123	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.58,0.58,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%