NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	111		Excitement	10.5 [73]		MVP	Marvin Williams (CHA): +43.3%
Charlotte Hornets	112		Comeback	5.1 [323]		LVP	Bradley Beal (WAS): -54.1%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thomas Bryant	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.11	0.14	-0.00	5	86%	0.24	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Bobby Portis	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.39,0.34,0.21	0.14	0.08	0.02	16	72%	0.23	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Troy Brown Jr.	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.04	0.00	6	75%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	6	79%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Sam Dekker	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	54%	0.05	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
Jabari Parker	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.00	12	58%	0.08	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Tomas Satoransky	-0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.04	0.01	7	69%	0.06	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Trevor Ariza	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	8	35%	-0.01	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.02
Bradley Beal	-0.54	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.54	-0.17	-0.38	-0.01	21	31%	-0.46	3	-0.08	6	100%	0.04

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marvin Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.28,0.28,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43	0.43	0.23	0.20	-0.01	16	86%	0.51	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.37	0.37	0.11	0.27	0.00	10	68%	0.41	1	-0.04	8	100%	0.06
Willy Hernangomez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.06	0.10	0.00	3	100%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwayne Bacon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.04	0.00	7	67%	0.11	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Miles Bridges	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.02	-0.01	8	19%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cody Zeller	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.01	-0.07	0.00	7	53%	-0.03	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	11	43%	-0.03	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Frank Kaminsky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	8	25%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.00	6	17%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,0,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.18,-0.29	-0.29	-0.09	-0.21	-0.01	19	41%	-0.15	3	-0.14	6	83%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.4	27.4	14.6	26.8	1.8	33.8	131.2
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +50.8%

WAS -4.3%

CHA +5.8%

WAS -8.4%

CHA +6.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	CHA	NBA	WAS	CHA	NBA
this game	13.5	15.4	14.3	112.1	112.0	109.3
season	13.8	14.6		109.8	110.4
opponent	14.3	14.3		111.6	112.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	13.0	11.8	12.3	17.5	13.5
CHA	15.8	14.0	17.7	14.5	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Troy Brown Jr.	37	37	0.13	-0.63	0.75	-0.02	5	-6	11	13.5	13.5	0.03	16.1	15.0	1.10
Thomas Bryant	33	32	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.03	4	-5	9	13.5	13.5	-0.02	14.8	15.7	-0.97
Sam Dekker	37	35	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.05	3	-4	7	12.8	13.9	-1.18	14.7	15.8	-1.07
Jabari Parker	54	54	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.25	4	-5	9	13.9	13.1	0.79	15.6	15.2	0.45
Bobby Portis	50	53	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.19	-5	4	-9	13.1	13.9	-0.80	15.9	15.0	0.91
Bradley Beal	84	86	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.40	-2	1	-3	13.1	15.7	-2.56	15.6	14.2	1.43
Trevor Ariza	62	65	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.42	-4	3	-7	13.9	12.8	1.18	15.8	14.7	1.07
Jeff Green	61	61	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.48	-5	4	-9	13.5	13.5	0.03	15.2	15.8	-0.54
Tomas Satoransky	77	77	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.52	-5	4	-9	13.9	12.0	1.86	14.9	17.3	-2.42

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwayne Bacon	51	50	1.08	-0.58	1.66	0.85	8	-7	15	14.7	16.2	-1.54	14.1	12.9	1.22
Kemba Walker	76	74	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.41	6	-5	11	15.8	14.4	1.35	13.2	14.3	-1.05
Marvin Williams	66	64	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.46	2	-1	3	15.6	15.1	0.49	13.3	13.9	-0.56
Nicolas Batum	81	79	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.46	-2	3	-5	15.3	16.1	-0.76	13.6	13.0	0.62
Jeremy Lamb	65	64	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.17	5	-4	9	15.3	15.7	-0.47	13.7	13.0	0.72
Willy Hernangomez	19	19	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.15	3	-2	5	14.6	15.6	-1.00	17.3	12.6	4.66
Frank Kaminsky	32	31	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.01	8	-7	15	17.1	14.6	2.48	12.8	13.8	-1.05
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	14	14	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.02	0	1	-1	17.0	15.2	1.81	12.4	13.7	-1.24
Tony Parker	24	25	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.05	-5	6	-11	14.4	15.8	-1.35	14.3	13.2	1.05
Miles Bridges	25	26	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	0.03	-8	9	-17	16.1	15.2	0.91	12.4	13.9	-1.51
Cody Zeller	47	49	-0.58	1.08	-1.67	-0.23	-12	13	-25	14.9	16.0	-1.11	12.5	14.5	-1.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.36,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.55,0.7,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.46,0.43,0.34,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.81,0.71,0.22,0.16,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 102, WAS 104	0.5,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.51,0.44,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.55,0.47,0.55,0.68,0.71,0.65,0.63,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.22,0.43,1	89.8%
UTA 86, NOH 88	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.5,0.58,0.57,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.47,0.52,0.68,0.47,0.59,0.54,0.75,0.64,0.55,0.27,1	89.5%
PHI 91, MEM 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.64,0.52,0.65,0.65,0.72,0.66,0.56,0.68,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.77,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.68,0.55,0.43,0.58,1	89.2%