NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	102		Excitement	9.2 [97]		MVP	Earl Boykins (WAS): +44.5%
Washington Wizards	104		Comeback	3.6 [380]		LVP	Andrew Bogut (MIL): -19.8%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hakim Warrick	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.11	0.10	0.00	9	77%	0.33	3	-0.12	8	100%	0.09
Luke Ridnour	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.28,0.2,0.2,0.13	0.11	0.02	0.00	16	62%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Bell	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.07	0.10	-0.03	-0.00	11	68%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Jennings	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,0.04	-0.04	0.10	0.01	21	39%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Carlos Delfino	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.02	0.00	10	45%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	-0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.03	0.02	7	56%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04
Kurt Thomas	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.11,-0.2,-0.2	-0.14	-0.07	-0.01	14	29%	-0.14	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.45	0.45	0.02	0.41	-0.02	5	65%	0.57	2	-0.12	10	70%	0.08
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.10	0.12	0.00	5	100%	0.21	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.01	5	73%	0.21	1	-0.15	1	0%	-0.02
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.11	-0.07	0.00	8	75%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.02	0.03	12	68%	0.16	5	-0.14	7	100%	0.05
DeShawn Stevenson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dominic McGuire	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fabricio Oberto	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	10	50%	0.07	3	-0.08	10	70%	0.00
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	0.00	24	44%	-0.01	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.4	29.0	15.5	29.6	2.3	35.4	138.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +39.4%

WAS +46.1%

MIL -2.6%

MIL -36.8%

WAS +4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	WAS	NBA	MIL	WAS	NBA
this game	14.8	14.3	15.3	103.0	105.1	106.0
season	15.5	15.7		103.3	102.6
opponent	15.3	15.5		107.9	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	14.6	13.7	14.3	16.7	14.8
WAS	15.3	13.5	13.4	15.3	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kurt Thomas	19	19	0.12	-0.62	0.75	0.09	1	-3	4	13.8	15.0	-1.15	15.4	14.0	1.32
Jodie Meeks	37	35	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.00	4	-6	10	14.9	14.7	0.24	14.3	14.3	-0.03
Ersan Ilyasova	29	29	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.08	-6	4	-10	14.1	15.0	-0.89	15.6	13.8	1.77
Luke Ridnour	66	66	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.49	11	-13	24	14.6	15.1	-0.44	14.6	13.6	1.00
Hakim Warrick	67	68	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.47	7	-9	16	14.6	15.0	-0.39	13.7	15.6	-1.86
Carlos Delfino	72	70	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.09	-12	10	-22	15.4	13.0	2.38	13.4	16.4	-2.99
Brandon Jennings	72	74	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.54	2	-4	6	14.7	15.0	-0.37	14.6	13.6	0.99
Andrew Bogut	80	80	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.53	-3	1	-4	15.0	13.8	1.15	14.0	15.4	-1.32
Charlie Bell	53	54	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.25	-14	12	-26	14.6	15.0	-0.35	14.8	13.8	1.00

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brendan Haywood	74	73	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.37	10	-8	18	14.3	14.2	0.14	14.2	16.5	-2.35
Antawn Jamison	82	82	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.46	7	-5	12	13.8	16.6	-2.76	14.9	14.2	0.64
Gilbert Arenas	77	78	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.46	7	-5	12	14.0	15.3	-1.25	15.1	13.7	1.34
Caron Butler	76	76	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.23	9	-7	16	14.7	13.1	1.53	14.8	14.6	0.26
Earl Boykins	38	38	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.38	0	2	-2	15.2	13.8	1.39	15.6	14.3	1.27
DeShawn Stevenson	15	16	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.24	0	2	-2	13.9	14.4	-0.44	16.1	14.5	1.62
Fabricio Oberto	5	5	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	-0.02	-1	3	-4	13.4	14.4	-0.95	14.8	14.8	0.03
Nick Young	73	73	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	-0.06	0	2	-2	13.9	15.3	-1.36	14.2	16.5	-2.35
Randy Foye	10	9	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.02	-3	5	-8	15.8	14.1	1.67	14.0	14.8	-0.84
Dominic McGuire	8	7	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.10	-7	9	-16	11.6	14.5	-2.91	11.0	15.1	-4.05
Andray Blatche	37	38	-0.32	0.82	-1.15	0.03	-12	14	-26	15.4	13.6	1.76	15.7	14.2	1.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.51,0.44,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.55,0.47,0.55,0.68,0.71,0.65,0.63,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.22,0.43,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 104, MIN 108	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.44,0.38,0.34,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.59,0.71,0.61,0.81,0.64,0.56,0.58,1	90.7%
PHX 99, DAL 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.48,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.52,0.48,0.39,0.42,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.47,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.63,0.45,0.58,1	90.5%
SAS 117, TOR 120	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.62,0.49,0.47,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.29,0.33,0.37,0.47,0.81,0.73,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.42,1	90.0%