NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	99		Excitement	9.5 [81]		MVP	Clifford Robinson (PHX): +29.1%
Dallas Mavericks	104		Comeback	2.4 [301]		LVP	Anfernee Hardaway (PHX): -30.8%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clifford Robinson	0.29	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.16,0.11,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.06	0.23	-0.00	19	62%	0.38	2	-0.08	9	89%	0.04
Luc Longley	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	7	62%	0.04	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Rex Chapman	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	6	36%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Toby Bailey	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	16	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Jason Kidd	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.03	0.03	12	68%	0.12	4	-0.17	4	75%	0.05
Corie Blount	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	0	50%	-0.01	2	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Randy Livingston	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.11	-0.09	0.00	10	33%	-0.14	2	-0.07	4	25%	-0.12
Anfernee Hardaway	-0.31	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.25,-0.31	-0.11	-0.21	-0.01	10	32%	-0.31	0	0.00	8	37%	-0.20

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Finley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.29	0.29	0.03	0.26	-0.00	13	63%	0.34	2	-0.06	9	67%	-0.05
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.06	0.13	-0.00	11	57%	0.17	4	-0.09	8	87%	0.08
Erick Strickland	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.14,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.03	0.03	0.09	-0.04	0.02	19	65%	0.07	1	-0.03	17	76%	0.03
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.01	14	47%	0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Hubert Davis	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Robert Pack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.06	-0.08	0.00	2	17%	-0.12	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.03
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.08	-0.07	0.00	6	17%	-0.11	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Ceballos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.15	-0.04	-0.00	14	35%	-0.09	4	-0.10	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	1.8	31.4	34.4	26.6	1.6	40.6	161.0
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX -2.1%

DAL +26.2%

DAL +6.2%

DAL +19.1%

DAL +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	DAL	NBA	PHX	DAL	NBA
this game	13.5	14.1	15.2	95.2	99.0	101.7
season	14.8	14.8		101.4	104.2
opponent	14.8	15.3		104.6	96.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.2	13.2	11.2	15.5	13.5
DAL	13.0	13.5	16.1	13.9	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Rogers	66	68	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.22	10	-15	25	12.8	14.6	-1.70	14.5	13.4	1.05
Toby Bailey	2	2	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.04	2	-7	9	10.5	13.5	-3.03	12.0	14.1	-2.13
Randy Livingston	26	29	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	-3	1	14.2	13.2	0.91	13.5	14.3	-0.79
Rex Chapman	33	33	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.07	-3	-2	-1	14.3	13.1	1.17	14.3	14.0	0.36
Luc Longley	38	37	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.07	-8	3	-11	14.0	13.2	0.83	14.3	14.0	0.28
Corie Blount	20	20	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.25	-1	-4	3	14.9	13.1	1.83	14.0	14.1	-0.11
Anfernee Hardaway	73	72	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.25	-6	1	-7	13.1	14.3	-1.17	13.6	15.1	-1.42
Jason Kidd	83	83	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.36	-3	-2	-1	13.3	14.1	-0.84	14.0	14.4	-0.35
Clifford Robinson	91	93	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.36	-5	0	-5	13.3	14.4	-1.04	14.2	13.6	0.57
Shawn Marion	88	88	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.33	-9	4	-13	13.5	13.2	0.34	14.2	13.2	1.01

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Erick Strickland	95	96	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.36	12	-7	19	13.6	18.4	-4.77	13.7	10.2	3.49
Michael Finley	99	96	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.41	4	1	3	14.2	13.0	1.15	13.3	15.9	-2.60
Shawn Bradley	72	74	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.46	0	5	-5	13.8	14.7	-0.89	13.4	13.5	-0.09
Robert Pack	41	39	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.22	5	0	5	15.7	13.0	2.70	14.9	12.6	2.36
Dirk Nowitzki	88	88	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.19	6	-1	7	13.9	14.9	-0.95	13.1	15.6	-2.55
Greg Buckner	20	20	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.13	0	5	-5	13.4	14.2	-0.79	12.6	13.7	-1.02
Hubert Davis	18	18	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	5	-5	11.7	14.6	-2.92	13.8	13.4	0.44
Cedric Ceballos	68	68	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.02	0	5	-5	14.2	13.9	0.26	13.1	14.2	-1.06
Sean Rooks	24	21	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	-0.07	-2	7	-9	16.3	13.4	2.86	13.8	13.4	0.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.48,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.52,0.48,0.39,0.42,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.47,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.63,0.45,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 72, CLE 74	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.33,0.36,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.42,0.42,0.53,0.6,0.83,0.81,0.63,0.78,0.58,1	90.9%
WAS 101, BOS 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.59,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.45,0.37,0.23,0.18,0.15,0.22,0.34,0.38,0.32,0.59,0.59,0.78,0.69,0.55,0.57,0.26,1	90.9%
IND 96, CLE 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.36,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.43,0.33,0.45,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.47,0.31,0.6,0.66,0.53,0.36,0.45,0.59,1	90.9%