NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	101		Excitement	10.3 [56]		MVP	Tony Allen (BOS): +22.6%
Boston Celtics	105		Comeback	9.3 [177]		LVP	Antoine Walker (BOS): -22.6%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Laron Profit	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Etan Thomas	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	83%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Michael Ruffin	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	-0.02	5	60%	0.01	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.04
Jared Jeffries	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	7	57%	-0.01	1	-0.04	9	78%	-0.01
Kwame Brown	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	7	39%	-0.08	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.06
Antawn Jamison	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.09,-0.09	-0.02	-0.08	-0.01	13	50%	-0.05	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.03
Gilbert Arenas	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.14,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16	-0.12	-0.05	-0.00	22	44%	-0.08	2	-0.08	13	77%	-0.03
Larry Hughes	-0.18	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.09,-0.18	-0.04	-0.15	-0.01	20	57%	0.16	5	-0.34	6	50%	-0.09

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23	0.23	0.08	0.14	0.00	6	80%	0.23	0	0.00	3	100%	0.06
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.12	-0.02	0.02	14	68%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.00	0.08	-0.00	12	50%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Banks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	7	56%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.01	-0.01	-0.13	0.11	-0.01	14	39%	0.16	4	-0.17	3	100%	0.08
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.07,-0.03	-0.03	0.07	-0.13	-0.03	15	61%	0.14	1	-0.16	3	67%	0.00
Mark Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Delonte West	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	7	31%	-0.04	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.06	-0.17	-0.00	12	42%	-0.05	2	-0.17	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.0	30.2	18.8	26.8	1.7	43.3	147.8
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +30.7%

BOS +13.4%

WAS -1.0%

BOS +7.2%

WAS -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	BOS	NBA	WAS	BOS	NBA
this game	15.4	14.6	15.5	105.2	109.4	104.0
season	14.7	14.4		104.7	104.7
opponent	16.0	15.5		104.1	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	16.1	16.4	14.7	14.6	15.4
BOS	15.2	14.2	15.3	13.7	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antawn Jamison	75	74	0.34	-0.84	1.19	0.02	11	-15	26	14.9	17.4	-2.55	15.0	13.2	1.73
Brendan Haywood	64	63	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.24	4	-8	12	15.0	16.2	-1.17	15.3	13.1	2.20
Laron Profit	3	2	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.08	-7	3	-10	10.7	15.6	-4.92	1.5	14.8	-13.34
Jared Jeffries	76	77	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.39	8	-12	20	15.4	15.5	-0.14	15.3	11.5	3.79
Larry Hughes	83	83	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.39	7	-11	18	14.7	19.9	-5.19	14.9	12.5	2.43
Etan Thomas	30	30	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.12	-5	1	-6	17.0	14.7	2.27	14.4	14.6	-0.19
Michael Ruffin	2	1	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.26	-3	-1	-2	15.0	15.4	-0.45	7.0	14.6	-7.64
Kwame Brown	31	32	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.13	-11	7	-18	17.5	14.5	2.97	13.0	15.4	-2.39
Gilbert Arenas	95	94	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.32	-9	5	-14	15.6	3.0	12.57	14.5	18.5	-4.02
Steve Blake	21	24	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.17	-15	11	-26	16.4	15.2	1.27	11.8	15.5	-3.64

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Allen	25	23	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.42	12	-8	20	9.6	16.3	-6.71	15.9	15.3	0.57
Ricky Davis	67	66	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.41	4	0	4	14.9	13.9	1.00	15.8	14.6	1.17
Marcus Banks	29	30	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.27	5	-1	6	13.1	15.2	-2.04	15.9	15.2	0.72
Antoine Walker	62	61	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.18	6	-2	8	14.9	13.9	0.96	15.4	15.4	0.01
Al Jefferson	35	37	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.11	7	-3	10	13.2	15.4	-2.19	15.0	15.7	-0.76
Paul Pierce	75	76	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.23	-3	7	-10	15.4	11.4	4.01	14.9	17.5	-2.61
Raef LaFrentz	61	62	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.24	-4	8	-12	16.5	11.2	5.34	15.9	14.7	1.18
Gary Payton	67	66	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.12	-1	5	-6	15.2	13.1	2.04	15.2	15.9	-0.72
Delonte West	28	29	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.01	-2	6	-8	14.4	14.6	-0.29	15.1	15.6	-0.43
Mark Blount	31	30	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	-0.06	-4	8	-12	13.0	15.3	-2.26	15.7	15.3	0.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.59,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.45,0.37,0.23,0.18,0.15,0.22,0.34,0.38,0.32,0.59,0.59,0.78,0.69,0.55,0.57,0.26,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 99, DAL 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.48,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.52,0.48,0.39,0.42,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.47,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.63,0.45,0.58,1	90.9%
DET 72, CLE 74	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.33,0.36,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.42,0.42,0.53,0.6,0.83,0.81,0.63,0.78,0.58,1	90.8%
NYK 84, CHI 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.29,0.21,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.46,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.58,1	89.5%