NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	129		Excitement	12.9 [19]		MVP	Damian Lillard (POR): +50.0%
Portland Trail Blazers	121		Comeback	2.3 [385]		LVP	Paul George (OKC): -47.1%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steven Adams	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.02	0.19	0.00	11	55%	0.23	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Terrance Ferguson	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.02	0.17	0.00	3	75%	0.21	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jerami Grant	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1	0.11	0.02	0.03	9	74%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.02,0.13,-0.05,-0.12,-0.22,-0.22,-0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	28	60%	0.32	8	-0.27	6	67%	0.02
Dennis Schroder	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,0.07,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.05	0.09	-0.00	16	44%	0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nerlens Noel	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.00	5	46%	0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Abdel Nader	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.03	-0.00	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	6	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	-0.47	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.43,-0.43,-0.49,-0.48,-0.48,-0.47	-0.01	-0.44	0.02	23	48%	-0.33	3	-0.14	20	85%	0.07

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.26,0.38,0.31,0.51,0.36,0.36,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.5	0.50	0.28	0.20	-0.02	28	67%	0.69	3	-0.19	20	90%	0.15
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,-0.14,0.24,0.24,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	-0.06	0.21	0.01	8	41%	0.28	2	-0.14	6	83%	0.18
Rodney Hood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.04	0.07	-0.02	8	56%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Seth Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	6	57%	0.06	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
CJ McCollum	0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.03	-0.01	24	48%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Meyers Leonard	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	25%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jusuf Nurkic	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	8	54%	0.01	3	-0.08	8	62%	-0.04
Skal Labissiere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	0	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.07
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	6	23%	-0.03	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Jake Layman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	30.9	3.0	36.3	16.4	26.3	2.7	41.0	2.4	13.5	172.6
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	3.3	15.6	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +15.0%

POR -49.2%

OKC +82.2%

OKC +2.9%

POR -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	POR	NBA	OKC	POR	NBA
this game	12.9	14.8	14.3	112.2	105.2	109.3
season	12.9	14.9		108.9	112.6
opponent	13.9	14.9		109.4	106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
OKC	11.6	13.3	11.9	14.7	13.5	12.9
POR	13.7	14.9	16.9	14.1	13.8	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerami Grant	58	59	0.99	-0.49	1.48	0.67	11	-3	14	12.4	13.4	-1.04	14.4	15.2	-0.79
Paul George	95	94	0.97	-0.47	1.43	0.41	19	-11	30	12.8	13.4	-0.63	14.8	14.6	0.19
Terrance Ferguson	65	66	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.24	11	-3	14	12.0	14.0	-1.91	14.4	15.2	-0.82
Steven Adams	84	86	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.22	4	4	0	12.5	14.0	-1.58	14.8	14.7	0.11
Russell Westbrook	87	89	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.18	1	7	-6	12.5	13.9	-1.39	14.7	15.2	-0.49
Nerlens Noel	31	29	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.05	4	4	0	14.0	12.5	1.58	14.7	14.8	-0.11
Dennis Schroder	57	55	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.05	5	3	2	13.6	12.2	1.42	15.1	14.5	0.64
Raymond Felton	4	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	10	-12	12.0	12.9	-0.91	19.8	14.5	5.25
Abdel Nader	46	45	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	-0.02	-9	17	-26	14.1	12.1	2.01	14.8	14.7	0.08
Markieff Morris	48	47	-0.54	1.04	-1.59	-0.43	-4	12	-16	13.5	12.4	1.10	14.9	14.7	0.24

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maurice Harkless	48	48	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.08	6	-14	20	15.0	14.6	0.35	12.1	13.5	-1.40
Jake Layman	34	34	0.08	-0.58	0.67	0.11	-1	-7	6	14.8	14.8	0.03	12.7	13.0	-0.29
Meyers Leonard	2	1	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.06	2	-10	12	12.0	14.8	-2.82	20.0	12.8	7.18
Jusuf Nurkic	73	72	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.30	5	-13	18	15.0	14.4	0.62	12.8	13.0	-0.16
Enes Kanter	40	41	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.06	-12	4	-16	14.5	14.9	-0.42	12.9	12.9	-0.04
Damian Lillard	103	102	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.19	-5	-3	-2	14.9	13.5	1.42	12.7	14.3	-1.61
CJ McCollum	98	98	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.25	-4	-4	0	14.6	15.9	-1.30	12.9	12.8	0.13
Al-Farouq Aminu	81	82	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.15	-10	2	-12	14.8	14.8	-0.03	12.9	12.7	0.21
Seth Curry	29	30	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.28	-7	-1	-6	14.9	14.7	0.16	13.4	12.7	0.75
Rodney Hood	67	67	-1.01	0.51	-1.52	-0.54	-16	8	-24	14.6	15.0	-0.35	13.5	12.1	1.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.4,0.47,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.44,0.36,0.42,0.34,0.31,0.17,0.32,0.36,0.59,0.54,0.69,0.28,0.32,0.42,0.54,0.61,0.36,0.04,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 120, LAL 116	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.67,0.59,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.52,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.34,0.39,0.47,0.46,0.33,0.17,0.54,0.39,0.29,0.15,0.08,0	89.5%
TOR 101, IND 94	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.62,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.41,0.53,0.53,0.66,0.6,0.61,0.55,0.23,0.26,0.46,0.32,0.45,0.23,0.02,0	89.2%
UTA 105, HOU 100	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.69,0.63,0.63,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.38,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.47,0.55,0.47,0.32,0.29,0.45,0.27,0.54,0.69,0.37,0.09,0.08,0	88.8%