NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	101		Excitement	10.4 [54]		MVP	George Hill (IND): +28.0%
Indiana Pacers	94		Comeback	2.4 [370]		LVP	Monta Ellis (IND): -23.4%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bismack Biyombo	0.19	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.10	0.10	0.01	6	70%	0.19	0	0.00	11	55%	-0.02
Jason Thompson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	100%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Kyle Lowry	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.07,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.21,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,0.01,0.01	-0.05	0.05	-0.01	21	55%	0.33	8	-0.32	9	89%	0.08
Terrence Ross	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.03	0.01	8	44%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,0.1,0.08,0,0.13,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	0.01	0.02	26	44%	0.00	1	-0.04	12	83%	-0.01
Luis Scola	-0.05	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	10	45%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Norman Powell	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	9	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	5	0%	-0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.14	0.16	0.02	10	75%	0.28	0	0.00	4	75%	0.02
Solomon Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2	0.20	0.06	0.15	0.01	8	63%	0.20	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.01,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.08	0.03	9	65%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Myles Turner	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.02	0.01	7	60%	0.08	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Shayne Whittington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	5	25%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Joe Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.06,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,0.07,0.07,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.11	-0.11	-0.17	0.03	-0.03	24	33%	0.04	4	-0.15	6	50%	0.00
Jordan Hill	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	0.02	-0.18	0.01	10	52%	-0.15	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.11	-0.13	-0.01	11	31%	-0.15	2	-0.08	4	50%	-0.15

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	27.5	2.3	32.5	16.5	22.3	2.5	33.3	3.3	16.6	156.9
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	2.2	17.3	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND -14.8%

TOR +16.2%

TOR +49.0%

IND -7.3%

TOR +6.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	IND	NBA	TOR	IND	NBA
this game	16.5	14.4	14.9	97.1	92.2	105.1
season	16.1	14.6		107.2	103.2
opponent	14.9	14.8		101.6	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
TOR	14.6	13.8	20.0	19.1	15.1	16.5
IND	13.6	13.8	16.0	14.3	14.9	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bismack Biyombo	79	78	0.81	-0.31	1.11	0.31	17	-10	27	17.4	13.6	3.75	14.8	13.0	1.83
DeMar DeRozan	86	83	0.75	-0.25	1.01	0.46	10	-3	13	16.9	14.2	2.76	14.3	14.8	-0.48
Cory Joseph	59	57	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.50	0	7	-7	15.9	17.2	-1.24	15.2	13.4	1.71
Patrick Patterson	63	61	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.41	2	5	-3	16.6	16.2	0.34	14.8	13.8	0.96
Kyle Lowry	84	84	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.10	12	-5	17	16.9	14.7	2.17	14.2	15.5	-1.33
Norman Powell	38	40	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.10	7	0	7	17.5	15.8	1.69	14.0	14.7	-0.66
Luis Scola	41	41	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.11	5	2	3	16.2	16.6	-0.34	13.8	14.8	-0.96
Jason Thompson	25	23	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	0.04	-12	19	-31	13.6	17.4	-3.75	13.3	14.7	-1.42
Terrence Ross	45	43	-0.32	0.82	-1.14	-0.14	-6	13	-19	14.6	17.9	-3.34	14.2	14.5	-0.33

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ Miles	26	25	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.02	5	-12	17	13.7	14.6	-0.95	13.2	17.5	-4.28
Shayne Whittington	8	7	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.01	1	-8	9	15.2	14.3	0.92	14.9	16.6	-1.71
Myles Turner	37	37	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-7	7	13.3	15.0	-1.69	16.9	16.2	0.68
Rodney Stuckey	32	34	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.04	0	-7	7	15.9	13.7	2.15	15.6	16.9	-1.24
Joe Young	10	10	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.01	-2	-5	3	15.4	14.3	1.11	14.2	16.7	-2.49
Solomon Hill	63	64	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.29	2	-9	11	15.0	13.5	1.48	16.2	16.8	-0.61
Jordan Hill	72	73	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.21	-3	-4	1	14.2	15.0	-0.85	16.9	15.4	1.52
George Hill	79	80	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.22	-5	-2	-3	14.2	15.3	-1.11	16.9	14.9	2.00
Lavoy Allen	23	25	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.02	-18	11	-29	15.4	14.1	1.33	16.8	16.3	0.46
Monta Ellis	81	83	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.35	-6	-1	-5	14.1	15.5	-1.41	16.8	15.0	1.76
Paul George	79	82	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.34	-9	2	-11	14.4	14.6	-0.21	16.9	14.9	1.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.62,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.41,0.53,0.53,0.66,0.6,0.61,0.55,0.23,0.26,0.46,0.32,0.45,0.23,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 119, SAC 112	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.26,0.26,0.33,0.4,0.37,0.41,0.47,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.32,0.26,0.38,0.3,0.43,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.71,0.81,0.54,0.15,0.04,0.54,0.55,0.37,0.16,0.05,0	91.0%
DEN 124, ORL 118	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.37,0.33,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.69,0.63,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.21,0.33,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.39,0.28,0.06,0.08,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.22,0.02,0	90.2%
OKC 129, POR 121	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.4,0.47,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.44,0.36,0.42,0.34,0.31,0.17,0.32,0.36,0.59,0.54,0.69,0.28,0.32,0.42,0.54,0.61,0.36,0.04,0.02,0	89.2%