inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 111 Excitement8.9 [195] MVPBuddy Hield (SAC): +38.1%
Sacramento Kings 109 Comeback2.2 [645] LVPCorey Brewer (SAC): -5.2%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jayson Tatum0.350,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.350.080.280.011760%0.412-0.076100%0.10
Gordon Hayward0.310,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,0,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.31-0.030.33-0.001055%0.403-0.0920%-0.05
Al Horford0.300,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.30.140.160.011087%0.393-0.094100%0.03
Marcus Morris0.210,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.210.060.15-0.001656%0.231-0.022100%0.03
Terry Rozier0.050,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.07-0.010.001362%0.091-0.0300%0.00
Jaylen Brown0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.020.00667%0.092-0.05367%-0.01
Semi Ojeleye-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Aron Baynes-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Marcus Smart-0.020,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.00656%0.053-0.084100%0.03
Daniel Theis-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.02-0.030.0000%0.001-0.0500%0.00

Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Buddy Hield0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.08,0.380.380.050.33-0.001956%0.493-0.113100%0.16
Harrison Barnes0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.240.240.170.080.001473%0.271-0.03580%0.01
Bogdan Bogdanovic0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.190.080.10-0.01978%0.222-0.0300%0.00
Willie Cauley-Stein0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.120.120.120.020.02986%0.212-0.09475%0.00
De'Aaron Fox0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.001353%0.093-0.11450%-0.04
Alec Burks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Harry Giles III0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.01733%-0.0300.00450%-0.04
Yogi Ferrell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.02-0.00250%0.011-0.0400%0.00
Nemanja Bjelica0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.00542%0.002-0.052100%0.03
Corey Brewer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.020.0010%-0.021-0.0400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.71.724.614.829.61.839.2133.3
league avg25.32.227.814.627.62.231.9132.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +40.2%
BOS +2.5%
SAC -2.6%
BOS +4.8%
BOS +5.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSSACNBABOSSACNBA
this game15.013.114.3109.9104.8109.3
season13.913.3109.9109.2
opponent14.314.7110.5106.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS15.414.514.016.215.0
SAC13.414.311.313.813.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Al Horford62640.96-0.461.420.4318-163415.114.70.4314.610.83.77
Terry Rozier66680.75-0.251.000.634-2615.513.91.5912.414.5-2.12
Jayson Tatum70730.62-0.120.740.3011-92015.015.00.0213.412.50.99
Gordon Hayward56590.55-0.050.600.5502-216.013.72.3713.512.60.92
Marcus Morris72730.330.170.150.44-46-1015.214.30.9412.315.2-2.87
Marcus Smart68690.170.33-0.160.025-3814.715.5-0.8412.913.7-0.77
Semi Ojeleye30300.070.43-0.36-0.023-1413.615.6-2.0114.512.61.91
Daniel Theis1314-0.220.72-0.94-0.05-68-1413.215.2-2.109.913.6-3.72
Aron Baynes2020-0.320.82-1.140.06-1315-2814.615.1-0.4711.413.5-2.10
Jaylen Brown4850-0.400.90-1.30-0.17-810-1814.315.6-1.3113.812.61.19

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Yogi Ferrell20200.15-0.650.80-0.036-81414.112.91.1815.714.80.96
Harry Giles III4543-0.03-0.470.44-0.092-4614.012.51.4315.614.61.01
Buddy Hield8482-0.23-0.270.04-0.478-101812.615.5-2.9215.114.50.56
Alec Burks76-0.24-0.260.010.08-119-2021.312.68.7313.215.1-1.93
Corey Brewer2120-0.25-0.25-0.00-0.02-86-1415.012.72.2714.315.1-0.79
Nemanja Bjelica6665-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.373-5813.312.90.4315.015.0-0.03
Harrison Barnes8280-0.35-0.15-0.21-0.474-61012.117.1-5.0615.114.50.64
Bogdan Bogdanovic5755-0.36-0.14-0.23-0.04-119-2014.411.72.7114.915.0-0.08
De'Aaron Fox7976-0.43-0.07-0.35-0.461-3412.415.5-3.1314.915.3-0.45
Willie Cauley-Stein5958-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.35-42-612.514.0-1.4314.615.6-1.01


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.65,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.46,0.39,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.38,0.22,0.31,0.41,0.37,0.21,0.3,0.34,0.3,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.17,0.24,0.11,0.16,0.27,0
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 100, GSW 990.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.27,0.21,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.21,0.24,0.27,0.19,0.11,0.22,0.42,091.5%
BKN 111, LAL 1060.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.43,0.55,0.42,0.42,0.23,0.25,0.31,0.44,0.37,0.25,0.3,0.38,0.43,0.52,0.42,0.47,0.39,0.42,0.19,0.07,0.06,0.02,091.5%
HOU 114, WAS 1090.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.59,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.28,0.3,0.18,0.25,0.17,0.42,0.47,0.29,0.13,0.08,0.15,0.04,0.15,091.5%