NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	111		Excitement	8.0 [310]		MVP	LaMarcus Aldridge (SAS): +27.6%
Atlanta Hawks	104		Comeback	1.4 [950]		LVP	Kevin Huerter (ATL): -14.5%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.28	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.27,0.28	0.15	0.16	0.04	16	74%	0.39	4	-0.12	11	82%	0.03
Derrick White	0.24	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.02,0.14,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.24	0.09	0.17	0.01	11	75%	0.32	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.00
Davis Bertans	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.02	-0.02	11	55%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.04	0.08	-0.01	11	50%	0.14	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02
Rudy Gay	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.03	0.01	10	52%	0.06	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Drew Eubanks	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	42%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bryn Forbes	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	10	30%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14	-0.06	-0.09	-0.01	14	50%	-0.02	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Taurean Prince	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.01	-0.03	6	64%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Trae Young	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.05	0.09	-0.05	24	41%	0.13	2	-0.05	6	83%	-0.01
John Collins	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.03	0.03	11	62%	0.11	1	-0.04	7	86%	0.03
DeAndre' Bembry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	-0.00	7	53%	0.10	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	6	71%	0.11	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
BJ Johnson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	11	50%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.03
Alex Poythress	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Alex Len	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.04	-0.06	0.04	8	61%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jaylen Adams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	5	30%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Huerter	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	10	32%	-0.07	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.3	25.5	14.7	29.2	2.5	31.4	130.9
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +62.4%

ATL -20.7%

SAS +2.1%

ATL -3.2%

SAS +9.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	ATL	NBA	SAS	ATL	NBA
this game	14.2	13.2	14.3	104.7	100.0	109.3
season	14.8	13.6		111.7	107.2
opponent	13.9	14.4		112.6	110.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	14.3	14.2	15.1	13.4	14.2
ATL	12.9	13.0	12.6	14.3	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rudy Gay	73	72	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.16	17	-10	27	14.3	14.1	0.17	13.7	12.0	1.66
LaMarcus Aldridge	85	83	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.23	9	-2	11	14.6	12.8	1.78	12.9	14.2	-1.26
Derrick White	64	64	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.09	12	-5	17	14.1	14.4	-0.28	13.7	12.4	1.31
Davis Bertans	51	49	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.31	0	7	-7	13.9	14.5	-0.61	13.3	13.1	0.27
DeMar DeRozan	77	75	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.18	0	7	-7	14.5	13.5	1.04	13.0	13.7	-0.70
Marco Belinelli	55	53	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.21	-1	8	-9	13.9	14.6	-0.72	12.9	13.5	-0.53
Patty Mills	47	46	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.17	-2	9	-11	14.0	14.4	-0.46	13.1	13.2	-0.13
Bryn Forbes	57	57	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.04	2	5	-3	14.7	13.7	1.08	12.4	14.1	-1.72
Drew Eubanks	21	21	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.06	-2	9	-11	12.8	14.6	-1.78	14.2	12.9	1.26

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alex Len	62	64	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.28	12	-19	31	12.4	14.3	-1.85	14.9	13.3	1.61
Kent Bazemore	60	61	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.23	9	-16	25	12.1	14.6	-2.48	14.8	13.5	1.30
Taurean Prince	42	43	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.09	4	-11	15	12.7	13.5	-0.83	14.8	13.8	0.97
BJ Johnson	2	1	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.03	0	-7	7	10.0	13.2	-3.25	22.0	14.2	7.84
Jaylen Adams	34	37	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.25	9	-16	25	11.5	14.0	-2.50	14.9	13.9	0.97
Vince Carter	61	63	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.25	0	-7	7	12.1	14.7	-2.62	15.0	13.0	2.00
Alex Poythress	31	31	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.04	-12	5	-17	13.9	12.9	0.98	13.0	14.7	-1.70
DeAndre' Bembry	41	44	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.21	-9	2	-11	13.9	12.7	1.23	14.3	14.2	0.18
John Collins	54	54	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.10	-14	7	-21	14.9	11.4	3.51	13.2	15.3	-2.07
Trae Young	70	69	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.04	-16	9	-25	14.0	11.5	2.50	13.9	14.9	-0.97
Kevin Huerter	63	63	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.09	-18	11	-29	14.1	11.7	2.40	13.1	15.9	-2.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.37,0.32,0.29,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.48,0.36,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.27,0.19,0.34,0.2,0.15,0.15,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 67, MIA 65	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.46,0.34,0.36,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.31,0.28,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.33,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.29,0.14,0.19,0.16,0.11,0.15,0	92.9%
DAL 110, NYK 108	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.23,0.27,0.37,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.29,0.28,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.24,0.17,0.19,0.08,0.16,0.09,0	92.7%
SAS 91, MIA 84	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.3,0.38,0.53,0.34,0.19,0.31,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.23,0.22,0.02,0	92.7%