NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	102		Excitement	4.4 [966]		MVP	LaMarcus Aldridge (SAS): +15.3%
San Antonio Spurs	116		Comeback	1.1 [1020]		LVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): -13.2%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raymond Felton	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.00	0.01	9	72%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.00	0.02	11	63%	0.06	2	-0.03	5	60%	-0.01
Markieff Morris	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	-0.00	0.04	6	71%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Nerlens Noel	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Terrance Ferguson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	6	58%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Hamidou Diallo	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deonte Burton	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerami Grant	-0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	-0.01	14	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Abdel Nader	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	6	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.02	0.03	15	47%	-0.03	3	-0.07	8	62%	-0.02
Russell Westbrook	-0.13	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.03	-0.03	17	46%	0.00	7	-0.13	7	57%	-0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.15	0.01	0.01	18	63%	0.15	0	0.00	7	100%	0.03
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.01	-0.02	16	65%	0.14	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Derrick White	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	-0.00	-0.00	10	67%	0.10	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Bryn Forbes	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.11	0.01	0.09	9	80%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Drew Eubanks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Pondexter	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lonnie Walker IV	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	25%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Davis Bertans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.05	0.00	0.06	4	78%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	6	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	5	20%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jakob Poeltl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	5	42%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	16	50%	-0.00	4	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.5	1.8	32.2	15.4	24.3	2.0	24.0	129.2
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +22.4%

SAS +5.7%

SAS +5.0%

SAS +10.3%

SAS +6.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	SAS	NBA	OKC	SAS	NBA
this game	12.4	15.8	14.3	100.0	113.7	109.3
season	12.9	14.8		108.9	111.7
opponent	14.4	14.9		110.4	106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	12.3	12.4	12.4	12.5	12.4
SAS	14.3	15.3	17.1	16.8	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hamidou Diallo	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-17	20	11.7	12.4	-0.67	10.2	16.1	-5.93
Deonte Burton	5	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-17	20	14.2	12.3	1.90	12.0	16.1	-4.08
Raymond Felton	45	45	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.23	7	-21	28	12.1	12.6	-0.46	16.6	15.3	1.27
Nerlens Noel	17	19	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.06	-2	-12	10	15.2	11.8	3.34	14.7	16.1	-1.36
Abdel Nader	54	56	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.25	4	-18	22	11.9	12.9	-0.95	15.1	16.7	-1.63
Markieff Morris	49	50	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.24	2	-16	18	11.5	13.2	-1.66	16.1	15.6	0.50
Steven Adams	52	50	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.15	-12	-2	-10	12.9	11.9	1.00	16.3	15.4	0.90
Russell Westbrook	73	72	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.07	-15	1	-16	12.0	13.4	-1.43	16.2	15.0	1.19
Jerami Grant	68	66	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.02	-16	2	-18	11.8	13.6	-1.88	15.3	16.8	-1.49
Terrance Ferguson	78	77	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.10	-21	7	-28	12.4	12.3	0.08	16.2	14.6	1.65
Dennis Schroder	65	64	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.16	-23	9	-32	13.5	10.5	2.95	16.2	15.2	1.01

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMar DeRozan	70	72	0.48	0.02	0.45	-0.14	21	-7	28	16.0	15.5	0.50	12.1	13.2	-1.10
LaMarcus Aldridge	75	77	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.04	13	1	12	15.6	16.6	-1.02	11.9	13.8	-1.81
Derrick White	61	63	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.12	16	-2	18	16.2	15.3	0.88	12.5	12.2	0.26
Rudy Gay	59	57	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.16	5	9	-4	15.7	16.0	-0.27	11.7	13.3	-1.64
Bryn Forbes	52	54	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.09	13	1	12	16.6	15.1	1.50	13.0	11.7	1.29
Jakob Poeltl	54	53	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.12	14	0	14	16.6	15.0	1.63	13.3	11.4	1.93
Patty Mills	41	39	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.21	-2	16	-18	15.3	16.2	-0.88	12.2	12.5	-0.26
Davis Bertans	41	43	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.02	4	10	-6	16.7	15.3	1.36	12.9	12.0	0.85
Marco Belinelli	35	34	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.13	-2	16	-18	16.0	15.8	0.24	11.9	12.6	-0.76
Drew Eubanks	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	17	-20	12.0	16.1	-4.08	14.2	12.3	1.90
Quincy Pondexter	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	17	-20	10.2	16.1	-5.93	11.7	12.4	-0.67
Lonnie Walker IV	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	17	-20	12.0	16.1	-4.08	14.2	12.3	1.90
Dante Cunningham	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	17	-20	10.2	16.1	-5.93	11.7	12.4	-0.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.67,0.66,0.59,0.66,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.75,0.71,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.81,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 95, ATL 118	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.8,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.74,0.79,0.73,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.7,0.76,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
ORL 105, DAL 114	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.74,0.77,0.72,0.7,0.76,0.89,0.8,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.95,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
IND 97, DAL 118	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.68,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.84,0.82,0.79,0.72,0.78,0.76,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%