NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	105		Excitement	4.2 [996]		MVP	Jerry Stackhouse (DAL): +12.1%
Dallas Mavericks	114		Comeback	1.2 [1161]		LVP	Steve Francis (ORL): -6.0%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Battie	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	-0.00	10	64%	0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
DeShawn Stevenson	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.11	-0.02	0.03	23	60%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Andre Barrett	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	3	87%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	15	55%	0.06	3	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Mario Kasun	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Hunter	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	67%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Pat Garrity	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	43%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Stacey Augmon	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	6	44%	-0.02	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Steve Francis	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	0.04	10	67%	0.03	4	-0.09	4	75%	-0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.01	-0.03	8	77%	0.12	1	-0.00	6	100%	0.03
Josh Howard	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.01	-0.04	9	83%	0.16	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.00	-0.04	11	69%	0.16	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.01
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.00	6	84%	0.11	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.01
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.04	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.02
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	-0.00	0.05	13	72%	0.08	3	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	60%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Alan Henderson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	11	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	10	36%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	0.7	27.3	17.4	31.4	1.8	27.4	131.4
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +21.3%

DAL +18.7%

DAL +4.1%

DAL +2.3%

DAL +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	DAL	NBA	ORL	DAL	NBA
this game	15.5	15.6	15.5	114.1	122.6	104.0
season	14.3	14.9		102.9	108.2
opponent	15.5	15.5		103.4	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	17.1	15.5	15.4	13.8	15.5
DAL	12.9	15.8	12.9	22.2	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mario Kasun	4	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-13	17	7.2	15.9	-8.63	20.5	15.4	5.08
Brandon Hunter	7	7	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.23	8	-17	25	9.4	16.0	-6.57	21.7	15.1	6.57
Kelvin Cato	27	28	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.07	1	-10	11	14.1	16.1	-2.02	17.0	15.0	1.95
Andre Barrett	25	26	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.34	8	-17	25	12.3	16.7	-4.37	18.8	14.4	4.40
Pat Garrity	37	37	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.27	4	-13	17	13.0	17.2	-4.14	17.9	14.1	3.75
Jameer Nelson	57	60	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.27	3	-12	15	13.7	18.4	-4.63	16.7	13.7	3.05
Tony Battie	65	63	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.02	-10	1	-11	16.9	12.2	4.64	14.3	18.4	-4.08
Stacey Augmon	34	35	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.18	-18	9	-27	16.5	14.9	1.54	14.9	16.1	-1.25
Steve Francis	70	70	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.09	-10	1	-11	16.7	11.6	5.08	14.6	18.7	-4.07
DeShawn Stevenson	70	68	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.12	-20	11	-31	17.1	10.3	6.87	13.9	20.5	-6.63
Dwight Howard	64	67	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.07	-15	6	-21	16.5	13.2	3.29	15.2	16.8	-1.58

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Finley	70	70	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.04	14	-5	19	15.3	16.7	-1.35	16.5	12.3	4.18
Jason Terry	63	64	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.09	11	-2	13	14.5	18.0	-3.49	16.6	13.0	3.65
Erick Dampier	54	56	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.11	17	-8	25	13.9	18.1	-4.16	17.6	12.3	5.25
Dirk Nowitzki	56	57	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.12	17	-8	25	13.6	18.8	-5.19	17.1	12.9	4.27
Josh Howard	60	61	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.17	6	3	3	14.1	18.3	-4.18	16.0	14.6	1.34
Jerry Stackhouse	41	40	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.22	-1	10	-11	17.9	13.8	4.10	13.3	17.2	-3.85
Keith Van Horn	47	45	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.38	-7	16	-23	17.6	13.6	4.01	13.4	17.5	-4.11
Shawn Bradley	16	14	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.03	2	7	-5	18.8	15.0	3.84	12.5	16.0	-3.54
Devin Harris	34	32	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.26	-6	15	-21	18.3	14.1	4.19	12.2	17.2	-4.98
Marquis Daniels	18	16	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.16	-5	14	-19	17.9	15.1	2.86	14.2	15.8	-1.51
Alan Henderson	6	5	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.05	-3	12	-15	19.5	15.4	4.13	9.8	15.8	-6.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.74,0.77,0.72,0.7,0.76,0.89,0.8,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.95,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 56, MIN 73	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.87,0.81,0.87,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
ATL 92, TOR 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.73,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.7,0.64,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.79,0.78,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
BOS 86, POR 106	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.8,0.7,0.78,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.82,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%