NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	109		Excitement	7.6 [369]		MVP	Zach LaVine (CHI): +35.9%
Memphis Grizzlies	107		Comeback	1.3 [563]		LVP	Wayne Selden (CHI): -10.4%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach LaVine	0.36	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.27,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.36	0.14	0.20	-0.01	19	71%	0.44	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
Ryan Arcidiacono	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.12	0.08	0.00	6	100%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille Harrison	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.05	0.10	-0.01	5	62%	0.16	0	0.00	6	100%	0.06
Otto Porter Jr.	0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.03	0.01	12	71%	0.19	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.02
Kris Dunn	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	8	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lauri Markkanen	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.03	0.02	16	54%	0.11	4	-0.13	9	89%	0.03
Cristiano Felicio	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	7	29%	-0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Selden	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.05	-0.00	8	67%	0.12	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Avery Bradley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.19,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	-0.01	0.00	18	55%	0.11	1	-0.06	6	100%	0.04
Chandler Parsons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	4	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.05	-0.00	21	46%	0.16	4	-0.15	4	100%	0.03
Tyler Dorsey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Delon Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	5	64%	0.06	3	-0.09	4	75%	0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	0.06	12	54%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bruno Caboclo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	6	58%	0.04	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Justin Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	13	46%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.6	22.6	15.4	27.5	2.3	38.8	132.4
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +43.2%

CHI +11.1%

MEM -14.8%

CHI +5.5%

CHI +5.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	MEM	NBA	CHI	MEM	NBA
this game	13.5	14.7	14.3	105.8	105.9	109.3
season	14.6	15.4		104.2	105.4
opponent	14.2	14.3		107.4	112.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	12.1	14.7	15.0	12.5	13.5
MEM	14.0	14.7	16.3	14.1	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kris Dunn	65	66	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.43	8	-6	14	13.4	13.7	-0.25	14.7	14.7	0.01
Robin Lopez	84	84	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.30	8	-6	14	13.4	14.0	-0.58	15.3	11.8	3.56
Zach LaVine	74	72	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.33	2	0	2	13.5	13.6	-0.09	14.9	14.3	0.58
Lauri Markkanen	76	75	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.34	1	1	0	13.6	13.3	0.36	14.5	15.3	-0.79
Otto Porter Jr.	70	68	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.42	-2	4	-6	13.4	13.7	-0.30	14.6	15.0	-0.37
Wayne Selden	43	42	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.18	0	2	-2	12.5	14.2	-1.74	14.1	15.2	-1.12
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	15	15	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.06	4	-2	6	13.3	13.6	-0.30	16.9	14.3	2.52
Shaquille Harrison	41	40	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.08	1	1	0	14.3	13.0	1.24	14.5	14.9	-0.41
Cristiano Felicio	9	8	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.06	-6	8	-14	16.6	13.2	3.32	10.5	15.1	-4.59
Ryan Arcidiacono	38	35	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.01	-6	8	-14	13.7	13.4	0.25	14.7	14.7	-0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bruno Caboclo	57	56	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.04	5	-7	12	15.4	13.9	1.52	14.2	12.8	1.39
Tyler Dorsey	10	10	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.03	3	-5	8	13.0	14.9	-1.91	16.6	13.2	3.41
Joakim Noah	44	46	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.18	-1	-1	0	14.4	15.0	-0.56	13.0	14.0	-0.99
CJ Miles	31	33	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.33	2	-4	6	11.7	16.1	-4.35	13.0	13.8	-0.82
Jonas Valanciunas	57	57	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.26	-1	-1	0	15.0	14.4	0.56	14.0	13.0	0.99
Chandler Parsons	40	40	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.14	-6	4	-10	14.6	14.8	-0.24	14.0	13.2	0.78
Delon Wright	47	48	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.18	-5	3	-8	15.9	13.7	2.11	13.1	13.9	-0.83
Avery Bradley	78	80	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.36	-1	-1	0	14.5	15.3	-0.81	13.6	13.2	0.45
Mike Conley	74	76	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.43	1	-3	4	15.1	13.8	1.29	13.5	13.7	-0.19
Justin Holiday	67	69	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.25	-7	5	-12	14.9	14.3	0.65	12.8	15.0	-2.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.34,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.29,0.24,0.32,0.21,0.29,0.17,0.11,0.1,0.05,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 97, IND 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.43,0.29,0.38,0.42,0.32,0.19,0.22,0.2,0.08,0.01,0.04,0	94.0%
CHI 98, DET 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.35,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.59,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.52,0.46,0.38,0.25,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.24,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.03,0,0	93.4%
MIA 99, DET 93	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.56,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.27,0.26,0.4,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.02,0.04,0	93.3%