NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	105		Excitement	7.7 [350]		MVP	Mike Conley (MEM): +31.9%
Memphis Grizzlies	110		Comeback	1.5 [394]		LVP	Rajon Rondo (LAL): -19.9%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Ingram	0.24	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.20	0.06	0.02	18	76%	0.34	3	-0.09	6	83%	0.00
Kyle Kuzma	0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.16	0.13	0.03	0.01	15	65%	0.17	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Reggie Bullock	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.00	0.01	11	64%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Muscala	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Hart	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	-0.07	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	8	37%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.16,-0.13,-0.09,-0.12,-0.21,-0.21,-0.2,-0.2,-0.1,-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	0.00	23	43%	0.01	5	-0.15	10	80%	-0.03
Rajon Rondo	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.12	-0.07	0.00	6	17%	-0.11	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.25,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.32	0.32	0.19	0.14	0.00	17	71%	0.36	2	-0.04	8	87%	0.05
Bruno Caboclo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.05	-0.00	5	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	8	64%	0.11	2	-0.08	6	67%	0.00
Ivan Rabb	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	4	75%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,0	0.00	-0.00	0.01	0.00	14	50%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Julian Washburn	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	15	57%	0.09	5	-0.11	5	80%	0.01
Delon Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	9	45%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Justin Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.01	-0.00	11	27%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chandler Parsons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	-0.00	10	25%	-0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.5	28.5	14.8	26.0	1.8	41.6	140.6
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +12.3%

MEM +4.7%

MEM +21.7%

MEM +9.5%

MEM +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	MEM	NBA	LAL	MEM	NBA
this game	13.8	13.7	14.3	101.0	104.8	109.3
season	13.5	15.4		107.2	105.4
opponent	14.2	14.2		107.4	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.2	14.3	16.4	10.4	13.8
MEM	14.8	11.9	14.9	13.6	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lance Stephenson	7	8	0.13	-0.63	0.75	-0.02	5	-10	15	10.0	14.1	-4.12	10.6	14.0	-3.34
JaVale McGee	39	41	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.15	2	-7	9	13.9	13.8	0.12	14.6	13.1	1.47
Mike Muscala	28	27	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.08	-1	-4	3	13.7	13.9	-0.18	12.4	14.2	-1.81
Kyle Kuzma	71	72	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.37	7	-12	19	14.0	13.5	0.48	14.3	12.5	1.84
Brandon Ingram	84	87	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.29	2	-7	9	13.4	15.7	-2.36	13.4	15.4	-2.09
LeBron James	87	86	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.34	2	-7	9	13.7	14.4	-0.61	13.9	12.7	1.26
Tyson Chandler	30	31	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.01	-10	5	-15	17.0	12.6	4.39	14.6	13.3	1.32
Reggie Bullock	85	85	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.41	3	-8	11	13.6	14.8	-1.15	14.4	10.7	3.66
Rajon Rondo	33	33	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.04	-10	5	-15	14.8	13.4	1.38	13.6	13.7	-0.11
Josh Hart	12	13	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.09	-15	10	-25	16.4	13.5	2.91	11.1	14.1	-3.01
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	44	42	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.15	-10	5	-15	12.2	15.1	-2.92	12.4	14.6	-2.26

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Justin Holiday	83	83	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.34	11	-6	17	13.5	14.5	-0.94	12.8	18.1	-5.32
Bruno Caboclo	61	59	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.29	9	-4	13	13.5	14.0	-0.41	12.8	15.2	-2.31
Jonas Valanciunas	53	53	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.23	9	-4	13	14.6	12.8	1.72	14.0	13.7	0.31
Avery Bradley	72	72	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.31	2	3	-1	13.7	13.8	-0.15	14.2	13.0	1.18
Mike Conley	73	71	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.27	-2	7	-9	13.4	14.4	-1.00	13.4	14.8	-1.34
Chandler Parsons	38	37	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.04	2	3	-1	14.3	13.4	0.98	15.0	13.2	1.79
Ivan Rabb	38	40	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.03	2	3	-1	14.8	13.1	1.68	16.1	12.4	3.74
Julian Washburn	0	1	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	5	-5	0.0	13.7	-13.71	5.0	13.9	-8.93
Delon Wright	56	54	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.10	-3	8	-11	13.3	14.2	-0.96	14.2	13.5	0.74
Joakim Noah	51	50	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.14	-5	10	-15	13.1	14.3	-1.24	13.8	13.9	-0.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.44,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.85,0.79,0.65,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.98,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 84, CLE 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.73,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.59,0.71,0.64,0.78,0.74,0.83,0.89,0.91,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.97,1,1,1	93.2%
UTA 71, LAL 82	0.5,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.52,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.8,0.73,0.83,0.76,0.78,0.9,0.98,1,1,1	93.2%
MIN 88, SAS 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.38,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.65,0.61,0.68,0.75,0.67,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.62,0.59,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.82,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.9,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.0%