NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	84		Excitement	5.9 [613]		MVP	LeBron James (CLE): +12.1%
Cleveland Cavaliers	92		Comeback	1.4 [1070]		LVP	Randy Foye (MIN): -17.6%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Brewer	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	10	60%	0.05	1	-0.00	5	100%	0.03
Craig Smith	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.03	-0.01	5	67%	0.07	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.05
Al Jefferson	-0.00	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	22	48%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Chris Richard	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marko Jaric	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	-0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	16	41%	0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.01	-0.08	0.00	11	50%	-0.01	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Rashad McCants	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.01	-0.00	0.08	11	50%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18	-0.16	-0.04	-0.03	9	20%	-0.13	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.04	-0.02	22	57%	0.14	3	-0.02	9	78%	-0.01
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.03	-0.00	9	58%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.03	0.02	5	80%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Delonte West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	10	55%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kaniel Dickens	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Billy Thomas	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwayne Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Devin Brown	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	10	54%	0.02	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	8	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	8	25%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.4	30.5	15.4	23.4	1.7	34.2	133.9
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +44.2%

CLE +1.6%

MIN -7.4%

CLE +15.0%

MIN -3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	CLE	NBA	MIN	CLE	NBA
this game	17.7	16.6	15.4	100.0	109.5	105.7
season	15.9	16.4		102.2	104.0
opponent	15.2	15.0		104.1	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	19.5	16.9	19.1	15.5	17.7
CLE	15.7	16.6	17.8	16.5	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Richard	8	8	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.15	1	-9	10	13.2	18.1	-4.87	15.6	16.7	-1.11
Marko Jaric	12	12	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.05	-8	0	-8	17.0	17.8	-0.76	14.0	17.1	-3.07
Randy Foye	59	58	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.03	-7	-1	-6	18.5	15.6	2.87	16.1	17.7	-1.59
Ryan Gomes	55	57	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.20	-2	-6	4	17.5	18.0	-0.58	17.1	15.7	1.42
Corey Brewer	67	67	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.27	0	-8	8	17.4	18.6	-1.17	17.3	14.2	3.08
Al Jefferson	71	71	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.12	-5	-3	-2	18.7	11.8	6.87	16.6	16.8	-0.16
Craig Smith	34	32	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.06	-10	2	-12	16.8	18.2	-1.45	16.1	16.9	-0.82
Rashad McCants	48	50	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.34	-1	-7	6	16.7	18.9	-2.11	17.0	16.1	0.91
Sebastian Telfair	66	65	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.20	-8	0	-8	17.9	16.7	1.19	16.6	16.6	-0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	74	75	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.11	12	-4	16	17.1	13.5	3.55	17.9	15.2	2.72
Delonte West	72	73	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.27	6	2	4	16.5	17.2	-0.62	17.9	15.9	2.01
Devin Brown	69	68	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.11	9	-1	10	16.1	18.9	-2.80	17.7	17.4	0.27
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	41	43	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.08	15	-7	22	16.3	17.0	-0.66	19.4	15.8	3.66
Joe Smith	30	31	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.07	8	0	8	16.7	16.6	0.11	17.2	17.9	-0.78
Ben Wallace	50	49	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.00	10	-2	12	15.9	17.7	-1.81	18.5	16.5	1.96
Damon Jones	34	34	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.10	4	4	0	17.0	16.4	0.62	17.0	18.1	-1.10
Anderson Varejao	42	41	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.16	-4	12	-16	18.0	15.3	2.64	16.3	19.0	-2.71
Kaniel Dickens	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	14	-20	14.5	16.7	-2.18	6.5	17.9	-11.43
Billy Thomas	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	15	-22	15.7	16.7	-1.00	6.5	17.9	-11.43
Dwayne Jones	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	15	-22	15.7	16.7	-1.00	6.5	17.9	-11.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.73,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.59,0.71,0.64,0.78,0.74,0.83,0.89,0.91,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.97,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 103, CHH 110	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.5,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.66,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.59,0.62,0.7,0.74,0.56,0.66,0.78,0.74,0.8,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.87,0.81,0.9,0.91,0.97,1	94.1%
NOH 97, LAL 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.5,0.54,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.61,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.56,0.7,0.71,0.85,0.85,0.79,0.76,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.83,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.98,1	93.9%
NYK 91, POR 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.64,0.63,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.69,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.97,1,1,1,1	93.8%