NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	97		Excitement	6.3 [566]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +21.8%
Los Angeles Lakers	101		Comeback	1.2 [1013]		LVP	Derek Fisher (LAL): -10.1%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David West	0.08	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.03	18	53%	0.08	0	0.00	7	100%	0.06
Emeka Okafor	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	10	59%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Marco Belinelli	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.03	0.06	-0.02	0.01	11	65%	0.11	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.01
Jason Smith	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	75%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Trevor Ariza	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	12	65%	0.15	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Chris Paul	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	6	67%	0.11	3	-0.10	6	83%	0.02
Jarrett Jack	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	7	41%	0.00	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Quincy Pondexter	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	7	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gray	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.10	0.12	-0.00	19	58%	0.22	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.13,0.1,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.05	0.09	-0.04	15	53%	0.18	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	8	60%	0.10	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.02	0.04	8	75%	0.14	4	-0.10	12	75%	0.02
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	13	59%	0.10	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.01
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shannon Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	6	42%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.5	29.9	15.8	25.0	2.4	38.3	137.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +38.9%

NOH -14.0%

LAL +14.0%

LAL +8.2%

LAL +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	LAL	NBA	NOH	LAL	NBA
this game	16.2	16.9	15.5	110.2	117.4	105.7
season	16.2	15.9		104.6	108.8
opponent	15.5	15.9		103.1	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	16.7	15.9	15.5	16.7	16.2
LAL	19.3	16.1	16.5	16.0	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Smith	13	12	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.04	-1	-3	2	15.5	16.3	-0.85	16.6	17.0	-0.40
Jarrett Jack	25	25	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	0	-4	17.8	15.5	2.26	16.6	17.1	-0.52
Emeka Okafor	65	66	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.38	7	-11	18	16.8	14.4	2.42	17.7	14.5	3.10
Marco Belinelli	49	49	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.30	2	-6	8	15.5	17.1	-1.56	17.4	16.3	1.16
Chris Paul	75	74	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.33	3	-7	10	15.8	18.4	-2.58	17.0	16.3	0.69
Quincy Pondexter	30	28	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.10	-6	2	-8	17.1	15.7	1.34	15.4	17.7	-2.28
Willie Green	19	17	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.01	-9	5	-14	16.9	16.0	0.91	14.2	17.6	-3.36
Aaron Gray	19	15	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.02	-10	6	-16	14.7	16.6	-1.91	16.1	17.1	-1.05
David West	70	69	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.34	0	-4	4	16.2	16.0	0.23	16.9	17.2	-0.38
Trevor Ariza	75	75	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.34	-2	-2	0	15.9	18.1	-2.22	17.5	13.2	4.30

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lamar Odom	54	56	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.38	8	-4	12	15.8	18.9	-3.10	16.8	15.1	1.71
Pau Gasol	64	65	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.27	5	-1	6	16.9	17.1	-0.28	15.2	18.9	-3.70
Kobe Bryant	71	71	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.37	1	3	-2	17.2	15.6	1.61	16.2	16.3	-0.14
Shannon Brown	29	32	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.16	6	-2	8	16.2	17.3	-1.04	17.0	15.7	1.33
Metta World Peace	65	66	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.30	-2	6	-8	16.9	17.1	-0.22	16.5	15.4	1.09
Steve Blake	21	24	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.09	5	-1	6	17.0	16.9	0.16	15.1	16.6	-1.45
Derek Fisher	56	55	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.19	1	3	-2	16.7	17.4	-0.72	15.6	17.2	-1.60
Matt Barnes	16	16	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.03	1	3	-2	17.9	16.7	1.16	17.1	16.0	1.15
Andrew Bynum	54	55	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.12	-5	9	-14	18.2	14.8	3.32	16.7	15.3	1.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.5,0.54,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.61,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.56,0.7,0.71,0.85,0.85,0.79,0.76,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.83,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 84, CLE 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.73,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.59,0.71,0.64,0.78,0.74,0.83,0.89,0.91,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.97,1,1,1	93.9%
PHX 96, ATL 105	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.6,0.63,0.53,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.7,0.65,0.66,0.59,0.67,0.72,0.67,0.73,0.69,0.74,0.67,0.62,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.75,0.66,0.74,0.82,0.71,0.77,0.92,0.85,0.82,0.81,0.89,0.98,0.99,1	93.4%
LAL 74, HOU 84	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.7,0.7,0.64,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.74,0.81,0.74,0.8,0.77,0.86,0.92,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.86,0.96,1	93.3%