NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	96		Excitement	6.8 [421]		MVP	Marvin Williams (ATL): +18.7%
Atlanta Hawks	105		Comeback	1.5 [331]		LVP	Joe Johnson (ATL): -26.8%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Nash	0.18	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18	0.18	0.05	0.05	19	83%	0.36	6	-0.18	3	100%	0.01
Grant Hill	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.05	12	42%	0.02	0	0.00	7	86%	0.02
Brian Skinner	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Marks	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	14	41%	0.02	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Marcus Banks	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	7	39%	-0.03	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Raja Bell	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.02	-0.06	0.02	9	50%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Shawn Marion	-0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14	-0.03	-0.06	0.05	22	45%	-0.07	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marvin Williams	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.08	0.12	0.01	15	67%	0.24	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Salim Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.07	0.07	-0.02	6	83%	0.18	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Childress	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.06	-0.01	14	59%	0.15	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.04	0.03	19	51%	0.12	2	-0.07	5	80%	-0.01
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario West	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shelden Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Acie Law	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	7	37%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01
Al Horford	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	5	67%	0.06	5	-0.16	2	100%	0.01
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.25,-0.31,-0.31,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	-0.19	-0.08	0.01	17	34%	-0.10	5	-0.16	10	90%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.5	27.2	15.6	24.0	1.8	35.3	130.9
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +43.7%

PHX -2.6%

ATL +16.9%

PHX -6.0%

PHX -2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	ATL	NBA	PHX	ATL	NBA
this game	13.6	15.5	15.4	98.0	105.0	105.7
season	13.8	15.4		111.1	104.2
opponent	15.7	15.6		107.2	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.0	14.4	12.9	14.2	13.6
ATL	15.2	15.6	14.8	16.4	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Banks	8	9	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.03	-4	-5	1	14.7	13.5	1.25	14.4	15.6	-1.13
Shawn Marion	85	85	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.21	2	-11	13	13.6	13.4	0.25	15.4	16.0	-0.62
Sean Marks	11	13	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.07	-9	0	-9	16.6	13.2	3.42	15.5	15.5	-0.01
Brian Skinner	8	9	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.11	-5	-4	-1	19.7	13.1	6.69	16.9	15.3	1.56
Raja Bell	84	84	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.15	-5	-4	-1	13.6	13.6	0.04	15.4	15.8	-0.41
Grant Hill	85	86	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.16	-5	-4	-1	13.7	13.1	0.61	15.3	16.4	-1.11
Boris Diaw	77	78	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.14	-6	-3	-3	13.0	16.0	-2.99	15.3	16.1	-0.85
Steve Nash	80	80	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.31	-1	-8	7	12.5	18.4	-5.86	15.4	15.8	-0.41
Leandro Barbosa	52	56	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.21	-12	3	-15	14.2	12.9	1.38	16.3	14.5	1.81

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Childress	61	59	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.09	17	-8	25	16.0	14.6	1.44	13.8	13.3	0.49
Joe Johnson	82	81	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.21	7	2	5	15.2	16.6	-1.32	13.5	14.2	-0.69
Josh Smith	84	84	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.26	4	5	-1	15.3	16.5	-1.23	13.2	15.7	-2.46
Salim Stoudamire	35	32	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.07	9	0	9	16.4	15.0	1.43	16.2	12.3	3.89
Marvin Williams	88	86	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.22	3	6	-3	15.2	17.4	-2.21	13.8	12.4	1.35
Acie Law	52	52	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.21	1	8	-7	14.9	16.1	-1.14	12.2	15.2	-2.92
Al Horford	58	60	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.13	0	9	-9	15.3	15.7	-0.42	13.7	13.5	0.17
Tyronn Lue	24	21	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.01	4	5	-1	16.4	15.2	1.19	12.7	13.8	-1.13
Shelden Williams	12	11	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.00	0	9	-9	16.1	15.4	0.70	14.1	13.5	0.55
Mario West	4	4	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	9	-9	16.0	15.4	0.55	16.2	13.5	2.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.6,0.63,0.53,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.7,0.65,0.66,0.59,0.67,0.72,0.67,0.73,0.69,0.74,0.67,0.62,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.75,0.66,0.74,0.82,0.71,0.77,0.92,0.85,0.82,0.81,0.89,0.98,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 97, LAL 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.5,0.54,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.61,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.56,0.7,0.71,0.85,0.85,0.79,0.76,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.83,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.98,1	93.4%
DEN 111, MIL 116	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.74,0.77,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.66,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.85,0.87,0.76,0.83,0.75,0.78,0.9,0.98,1	93.0%
OKC 98, HOU 99	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.65,0.63,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.77,0.71,0.69,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.8,0.78,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.83,0.71,0.9,0.96,0.89,0.91,0.92,1	93.0%