NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	98		Excitement	7.1 [401]		MVP	Shane Battier (HOU): +25.1%
Houston Rockets	99		Comeback	1.3 [593]		LVP	Kevin Durant (OKC): -21.7%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Serge Ibaka	0.12	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.16	0.01	0.04	7	94%	0.12	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Russell Westbrook	0.09	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,-0.01,0.09	0.06	0.04	0.01	19	52%	0.09	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.06
Jeff Green	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	13	54%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
DJ White	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	8	50%	0.07	3	-0.09	4	75%	-0.00
Eric Maynor	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	4	75%	0.06	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	5	43%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Kevin Durant	-0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.22	-0.03	-0.19	-0.01	18	45%	-0.16	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shane Battier	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.25	0.25	0.14	0.11	-0.00	11	82%	0.27	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.02	0.09	-0.01	21	50%	0.16	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	6	79%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Jordan Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.05	-0.01	10	48%	0.08	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.06
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	12	50%	0.07	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.04
Chase Budinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	5	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.18	-0.11	-0.08	-0.00	14	42%	-0.02	5	-0.17	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.6	29.0	15.6	24.5	2.7	36.0	134.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +34.9%

HOU +5.9%

HOU +13.1%

OKC -11.5%

HOU +7.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	HOU	NBA	OKC	HOU	NBA
this game	14.8	17.9	15.5	111.4	112.5	105.7
season	15.0	15.2		108.8	109.5
opponent	14.9	15.6		107.5	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	15.1	14.1	15.2	14.8	14.8
HOU	18.4	17.8	18.2	17.3	17.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thabo Sefolosha	56	57	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.32	9	-10	19	14.3	15.7	-1.38	18.6	16.6	1.97
Eric Maynor	23	22	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	0	-1	16.6	14.2	2.44	17.0	18.2	-1.23
Serge Ibaka	42	41	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.02	-5	4	-9	14.7	14.9	-0.22	18.4	17.5	0.93
Nick Collison	37	37	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.16	-3	2	-5	15.7	14.2	1.55	16.6	18.9	-2.24
Jeff Green	72	73	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.34	3	-4	7	14.5	16.2	-1.76	18.1	16.9	1.27
DJ White	24	22	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.16	-4	3	-7	17.3	13.9	3.42	15.4	18.8	-3.41
Russell Westbrook	65	66	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.45	0	-1	1	14.2	16.6	-2.44	18.2	17.0	1.23
Kevin Durant	69	70	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.38	-4	3	-7	14.2	17.0	-2.80	18.4	16.2	2.13
James Harden	52	52	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.50	0	-1	1	14.9	14.7	0.24	17.9	18.0	-0.09

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brad Miller	44	46	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.30	6	-5	11	17.4	18.4	-0.98	15.0	14.6	0.40
Courtney Lee	12	14	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.43	1	0	1	17.8	17.9	-0.10	15.9	14.6	1.33
Kyle Lowry	70	71	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.37	2	-1	3	18.2	16.7	1.51	14.1	17.6	-3.45
Shane Battier	67	67	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.37	2	-1	3	18.4	16.5	1.90	14.1	17.1	-3.01
Kevin Martin	76	74	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.29	0	1	-1	17.9	17.8	0.10	14.6	15.9	-1.33
Luis Scola	60	60	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.01	9	-8	17	17.7	18.5	-0.80	14.9	14.6	0.35
Chase Budinger	21	21	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.10	-1	2	-3	16.5	18.4	-1.90	17.1	14.1	3.01
Ish Smith	18	17	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.10	-1	2	-3	16.7	18.2	-1.51	17.6	14.1	3.45
Jordan Hill	30	30	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.23	-7	8	-15	18.3	17.7	0.63	14.8	14.8	-0.01
Charles Hayes	42	40	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	7	-13	18.5	17.4	1.11	14.4	15.1	-0.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.65,0.63,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.77,0.71,0.69,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.8,0.78,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.83,0.71,0.9,0.96,0.89,0.91,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 87, LAL 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.73,0.7,0.78,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.7,0.64,0.61,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.85,0.85,0.79,0.86,0.85,0.76,0.79,0.93,0.99,1,0.99,1,1	93.6%
DEN 87, SAS 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.59,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.87,0.91,0.83,0.71,0.87,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	93.6%
MIA 80, IND 87	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.81,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.67,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.52,0.7,0.66,0.75,0.8,0.67,0.74,0.85,0.83,0.86,0.95,0.95,0.98,1	93.1%