NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	103		Excitement	6.7 [440]		MVP	Dell Curry (CHH): +19.0%
Charlotte Hornets	110		Comeback	1.4 [694]		LVP	David Wesley (CHH): -19.4%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Khalid Reeves	0.18	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18	0.14	0.06	0.01	12	75%	0.18	0	0.00	8	87%	0.01
Michael Finley	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.06	0.06	-0.01	11	74%	0.20	3	-0.07	5	100%	0.04
Samaki Walker	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Hubert Davis	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	13	54%	0.07	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Shawn Bradley	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	8	65%	0.05	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Kevin Ollie	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Scott	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	8	47%	-0.03	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
A.C. Green	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	10	36%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kurt Thomas	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.08	-0.02	13	38%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dell Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.10	0.07	-0.01	13	74%	0.24	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.01
Glen Rice	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.19,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.09	0.10	0.02	21	61%	0.20	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Vlade Divac	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.02	0.01	8	78%	0.11	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Matt Geiger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	6	71%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
J.R. Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	4	80%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tony Farmer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Muggsy Bogues	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Beck	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	4	30%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
David Wesley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.19,-0.22,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.19	-0.19	-0.13	-0.08	-0.02	19	41%	-0.10	3	-0.09	8	87%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.9	1.8	26.0	14.8	26.0	2.3	41.5	134.2
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +23.7%

DAL -1.4%

CHH +14.2%

CHH +3.9%

CHH +9.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	CHH	NBA	DAL	CHH	NBA
this game	16.6	15.4	15.6	115.7	120.9	102.5
season	15.8	15.7		98.3	104.0
opponent	15.9	15.5		102.6	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	16.0	14.6	21.8	14.4	16.6
CHH	14.6	14.8	12.5	19.6	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
A.C. Green	72	72	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.27	5	-12	17	16.6	16.9	-0.31	15.5	14.8	0.75
Kurt Thomas	36	38	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	-4	1	15.6	17.3	-1.66	14.9	15.7	-0.84
Hubert Davis	59	61	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.09	-2	-5	3	16.2	17.5	-1.26	15.1	16.0	-0.97
Khalid Reeves	69	70	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.31	4	-11	15	16.6	16.9	-0.35	15.0	16.6	-1.54
Kevin Ollie	20	21	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.01	-11	4	-15	16.9	16.6	0.35	16.6	15.0	1.54
Samaki Walker	16	17	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.02	-10	3	-13	16.7	16.6	0.15	15.4	15.4	-0.04
Michael Finley	75	78	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.28	-4	-3	-1	17.1	14.1	3.04	15.2	16.4	-1.17
Shawn Bradley	53	53	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.30	-4	-3	-1	17.5	15.4	2.08	16.1	14.4	1.74
Dennis Scott	45	45	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.18	-10	3	-13	16.2	17.0	-0.78	15.4	15.3	0.07

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dell Curry	59	58	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.21	9	-2	11	16.1	14.2	1.89	16.2	17.5	-1.36
Glen Rice	85	83	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.31	5	2	3	15.4	14.8	0.59	16.5	18.3	-1.83
David Wesley	79	78	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.25	6	1	5	14.5	21.0	-6.47	16.7	15.8	0.93
J.R. Reid	20	18	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.17	8	-1	9	18.9	14.4	4.57	15.3	17.0	-1.69
Vlade Divac	63	64	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.22	1	6	-5	14.8	16.7	-1.92	16.9	15.9	0.99
Anthony Mason	70	67	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.29	-3	10	-13	15.8	14.0	1.86	15.8	19.3	-3.51
Matt Geiger	27	27	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.02	6	1	5	14.1	15.9	-1.76	19.2	15.5	3.67
Corey Beck	38	35	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.08	1	6	-5	15.0	15.6	-0.62	17.6	16.0	1.60
Tony Farmer	6	7	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.04	2	5	-3	14.8	15.4	-0.59	18.4	16.5	1.95
Muggsy Bogues	8	8	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.01	0	7	-7	16.7	15.3	1.50	13.9	16.9	-3.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.5,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.66,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.59,0.62,0.7,0.74,0.56,0.66,0.78,0.74,0.8,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.87,0.81,0.9,0.91,0.97,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 91, POR 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.64,0.63,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.69,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.97,1,1,1,1	94.2%
MIN 84, CLE 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.73,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.59,0.71,0.64,0.78,0.74,0.83,0.89,0.91,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.97,1,1,1	94.1%
MIN 102, POR 107	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.58,0.59,0.7,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.7,0.76,0.73,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.85,0.94,0.96,1	93.8%