NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	71		Excitement	6.2 [550]		MVP	Horace Grant (LAL): +5.7%
Los Angeles Lakers	82		Comeback	1.6 [936]		LVP	Karl Malone (UTA): -23.4%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryon Russell	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	14	53%	0.09	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Donyell Marshall	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	10	62%	0.08	1	-0.06	6	83%	0.02
David Benoit	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Stockton	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.09	0.02	7	61%	0.15	5	-0.15	4	75%	0.10
Quincy Lewis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Olden Polynice	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
John Starks	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	9	28%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Manning	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.08	-0.06	0.00	2	0%	-0.10	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.06
Karl Malone	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.20	-0.08	-0.05	14	39%	-0.06	6	-0.17	8	100%	0.05

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Horace Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	5	60%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Penberthy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.03	-0.00	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.05	0.04	24	60%	0.20	5	-0.17	4	75%	0.02
Mark Madsen	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Foster	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Slava Medvedenko	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Rider	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	4	60%	0.06	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Ron Harper	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	5	33%	-0.05	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.2,-0.26,-0.23,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.16	-0.07	-0.02	21	43%	-0.15	3	-0.07	14	43%	-0.14

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.6	28.1	16.4	23.4	2.4	36.5	131.8
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +22.8%

UTA -0.3%

LAL +3.1%

LAL +22.8%

LAL +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	LAL	NBA	UTA	LAL	NBA
this game	17.5	15.7	15.5	82.6	93.2	100.9
season	16.0	15.6		105.3	106.8
opponent	15.2	15.5		101.8	100.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	18.3	19.0	16.4	16.2	17.5
LAL	15.9	14.6	17.0	15.1	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Olden Polynice	33	34	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.07	4	-15	19	17.6	17.4	0.25	16.9	14.9	1.95
David Benoit	1	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-13	15	8.0	17.6	-9.56	18.5	15.6	2.91
DeShawn Stevenson	1	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-13	15	8.0	17.6	-9.56	18.5	15.6	2.91
Bryon Russell	74	73	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.16	1	-12	13	17.5	17.1	0.43	16.2	12.9	3.29
Quincy Lewis	6	7	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.02	-7	-4	-3	20.0	17.3	2.74	12.4	15.9	-3.51
Karl Malone	70	71	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.13	-2	-9	7	17.2	18.5	-1.29	16.4	12.8	3.59
John Stockton	58	57	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.15	-2	-9	7	16.6	19.2	-2.61	15.7	15.6	0.12
John Starks	53	53	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.03	-8	-3	-5	17.0	18.2	-1.13	16.5	14.3	2.19
Danny Manning	20	20	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.02	-9	-2	-7	18.1	17.2	0.91	12.9	16.5	-3.51
Jacque Vaughn	28	31	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.03	-9	-2	-7	19.2	16.6	2.61	15.6	15.7	-0.12
Greg Ostertag	40	41	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.08	-14	3	-17	18.4	16.7	1.72	14.0	17.1	-3.02
Donyell Marshall	46	49	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.12	-13	2	-15	17.1	17.9	-0.79	14.7	16.8	-2.09

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Horry	49	47	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.14	17	-6	23	14.8	16.7	-1.86	17.1	17.9	-0.86
Kobe Bryant	82	83	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.16	11	0	11	15.7	15.2	0.53	17.4	17.7	-0.22
Mike Penberthy	28	24	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.07	10	1	9	14.5	16.2	-1.70	18.4	17.1	1.34
Isaiah Rider	36	34	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.07	10	1	9	15.6	15.7	-0.18	17.1	17.7	-0.56
Horace Grant	77	74	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.20	5	6	-1	15.9	13.6	2.31	16.8	21.6	-4.80
Shaquille O'Neal	72	72	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.11	3	8	-5	15.5	16.6	-1.10	18.2	13.9	4.30
Greg Foster	4	3	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.06	3	8	-5	14.5	15.7	-1.21	10.3	17.7	-7.38
Rick Fox	52	53	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.06	7	4	3	16.7	14.1	2.62	18.2	16.2	1.97
Mark Madsen	8	8	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.04	0	11	-11	12.6	16.0	-3.34	18.5	17.3	1.15
Slava Medvedenko	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	11	-11	15.0	15.7	-0.67	0.0	17.5	-17.45
Ron Harper	31	32	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	0.11	-11	22	-33	16.9	15.0	1.97	16.8	17.8	-1.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.52,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.8,0.73,0.83,0.76,0.78,0.9,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 87, PHI 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.75,0.78,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.79,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.62,0.59,0.53,0.48,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.79,0.71,0.73,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,1	93.3%
NYK 93, MIN 99	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.52,0.7,0.74,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.81,0.86,0.9,0.98,0.99,0.99,1	93.3%
MIN 88, SAS 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.38,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.65,0.61,0.68,0.75,0.67,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.62,0.59,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.82,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.9,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.3%