NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	88		Excitement	6.0 [614]		MVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): +21.5%
San Antonio Spurs	102		Comeback	1.6 [945]		LVP	Anthony Carter (MIN): -8.6%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0.21	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.13	0.07	-0.01	13	77%	0.25	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.04
Mark Blount	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	12	67%	0.14	3	-0.09	3	0%	-0.06
Marko Jaric	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	-0.02	0.04	9	72%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Justin Reed	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Troy Hudson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	18	48%	0.05	4	-0.11	6	67%	-0.01
Trenton Hassell	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	5	60%	0.04	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Rashad McCants	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Griffin	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	5	25%	-0.06	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Anthony Carter	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	3	12%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.09	0.06	-0.01	18	61%	0.21	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.01
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.03	0.00	3	100%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.06	0.04	10	64%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.00	0.08	-0.01	7	57%	0.13	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	4	60%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tim Duncan	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	24	47%	0.07	2	-0.07	11	55%	-0.08
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fabricio Oberto	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	5	42%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	0.02	6	36%	-0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	2.6	29.4	17.6	25.2	2.3	31.3	134.4
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +21.7%

SAS +1.5%

SAS +11.0%

SAS +15.8%

SAS +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	SAS	NBA	MIN	SAS	NBA
this game	15.3	17.4	15.6	101.1	114.6	104.4
season	16.1	16.3		101.0	106.0
opponent	15.6	15.9		99.4	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.5	14.5	15.3	15.9	15.3
SAS	16.5	15.5	17.4	20.9	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marko Jaric	56	57	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.07	1	-15	16	15.3	15.1	0.21	18.9	14.7	4.20
Troy Hudson	15	14	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.05	-8	-6	-2	15.3	15.3	0.00	17.4	17.4	-0.01
Eddie Griffin	30	30	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.10	-3	-11	8	15.9	14.9	0.92	18.0	17.1	0.90
Anthony Carter	26	27	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.12	-3	-11	8	16.0	15.0	1.05	14.3	18.8	-4.51
Kevin Garnett	71	71	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.09	-4	-10	6	14.9	16.7	-1.82	17.9	15.7	2.15
Rashad McCants	26	27	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.07	-10	-4	-6	17.0	14.5	2.42	15.6	18.3	-2.70
Trenton Hassell	61	62	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.16	-4	-10	6	14.5	17.0	-2.42	18.3	15.6	2.70
Justin Reed	16	18	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.00	-10	-4	-6	16.7	14.9	1.82	15.7	17.9	-2.15
Mark Blount	57	59	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.01	-11	-3	-8	14.9	15.9	-0.92	17.1	18.0	-0.90
Ricky Davis	77	80	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.05	-18	4	-22	15.0	17.6	-2.64	17.4	17.6	-0.13

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Finley	52	51	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.01	14	0	14	15.7	19.9	-4.20	14.9	15.8	-0.88
Nazr Mohammed	30	31	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.01	12	2	10	17.0	17.6	-0.61	16.3	14.7	1.54
Brent Barry	33	32	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.04	9	5	4	17.1	17.6	-0.55	15.6	15.1	0.57
Manu Ginobili	35	34	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.06	8	6	2	19.8	15.9	3.94	16.3	14.6	1.64
Tony Parker	66	64	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.08	12	2	10	16.7	19.6	-2.87	15.3	15.2	0.06
Tim Duncan	69	67	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.05	7	7	0	18.5	13.6	4.89	15.1	15.9	-0.83
Robert Horry	22	23	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.07	11	3	8	13.6	18.7	-5.05	15.4	15.2	0.17
Nick Van Exel	20	21	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.11	4	10	-6	19.7	16.8	2.92	15.7	15.1	0.59
Rasho Nesterovic	50	48	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.10	-1	15	-16	18.2	16.4	1.78	14.8	15.8	-1.05
Fabricio Oberto	7	5	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.09	-1	15	-16	14.7	17.7	-2.96	15.6	15.2	0.36
Beno Udrih	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	16	-18	18.7	17.4	1.27	10.0	15.4	-5.39
Bruce Bowen	58	57	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.06	-3	17	-20	17.8	16.8	0.92	14.8	16.2	-1.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.38,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.65,0.61,0.68,0.75,0.67,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.62,0.59,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.82,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.9,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 74, IND 89	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.74,0.71,0.64,0.74,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.59,0.63,0.74,0.72,0.66,0.87,0.79,0.76,0.68,0.74,0.84,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.9%
NYK 91, POR 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.64,0.63,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.69,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.97,1,1,1,1	93.7%
POR 79, PHI 90	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.56,0.64,0.62,0.72,0.79,0.87,0.88,0.79,0.8,0.88,0.97,0.97,1,1,1	93.6%